Get an early look at the best cash game plays for tonight’s DFS hockey action!
UPDATE (11:25 AM ET): With Josh Morrissey out of the lineup, I would probably give a slight boost to Crosby, Guentzel, and Simon (adding him as a value option).
Tonight’s slate is a nice looking eight game slate that will have a roster lock of 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT.
While the general strategy hasn’t really changed on FanDuel, it’s clear that there has been a lot to consider with these new scoring changes on DraftKings. The three biggest changes, in my opinion, are the 5+ shot bonus, the 35+ save bonus, and the 3+ blocked shot bonus.
In my first article, I didn’t really put much thought into the blocked shot bonus, but in reality, it has become very clear that the 3+ blocked shot bonus is a pretty big deal. Someone who gets 3+ blocked shots will get 6.9 points, which is more points than a player that gets an assist and one blocked shot (6.3 points).
The only problem is that predicting defensemen who get a lot of blocked shots is very difficult, but hey, predicting defensemen who take a lot of shots is very difficult too. The main reason why targeting shots is more important is the impact that shots on goal have on point accumulation. Obviously, someone who shoots the puck a lot is more likely to accumulate points, and you have to consider the various bonuses for accumulating points as well (e.g. short-handed goals, 3+ points, and hat-trick).
The good news for me is that I have profited in my cash games in 4 out of 4 nights playing on DK, and I am hoping that the trend will continue tonight.
Keep in mind, I have also reposted the Frequently Asked Questions article from last season. Be sure to read this if you’re new to playing DFS NHL!
Elite Fantasy NHL Content Schedule (Main Slates Only)
- 2-3 games (Cheatsheet only)
- 4 games (Cheatsheet and GPP Article)
- 5+ games (Cheatsheet, Cash Game Breakdown, and GPP Article)
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
MAIN SLATE (8 GAMES – 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT lock)
*Salaries highlighted in GREEN are better values on a specific site)
1) Jared McCann, Penguins (DK: $3700; FD: $4300)
2) Connor McDavid, Oilers (DK: $8000; FD: $9100)
3) Sean Monahan, Flames (DK: $7500; FD: $7300)
4) Sidney Crosby, Penguins (DK: $7300; FD: $8500)
5) Erik Haula, Hurricanes (DK: $4800; FD: $4700)
6) Dylan Larkin, Red Wings (DK: $6300; FD: $7500)
7t) Adrian Kempe, Kings (DK: $3700; FD: $4100)
7t) Kyle Turris, Predators (DK: $3200; FD: $4200)
- McCann and the rest of the Penguins are in an incredibly good spot against a Jets team that is bleeding scoring chances and significantly undermanned on defense without a few of last season’s mainstays in Dustin Byfuglien and Jacob Trouba. Add the fact that Bryan Little hasn’t been able to play due to a concussion, yeah, we can see why there may be some difficulties keeping the puck out of the net. McCann gets a huge edge here just because of the fact that he’s super cheap throughout the industry, and will take a much bigger role now that Malkin and Bjugstad are out with injuries. There’s a lot to like about McCann beyond the salary, and it probably starts with the fact that he hasn’t been shy about shooting the puck.
- Beyond that, we’ve seen a lot of good from Sean Monahan so far this season. Although the chemistry with Johnny Gaudreau is undeniable, there’s been many instances throughout the last couple seasons where it seemed that Monahan may have been struggling with injuries, and in fact, in the 2018 offseason, Monahan underwent multiple surgeries for multiple issues throughout his body. All I know is, I’ve seen a little bit of Calgary so far this season, and Monahan looks extremely good. It’s to the point where he’s in the top 20 in iCorsi/60, which is something we don’t usually expect from Monahan. In my eyes, that FanDuel salary of $7300 is really enticing. They will likely get a lot of ice time against the trio of Kovalchuk-Kempe-Carter, who didn’t exactly look too hot throughout the Oilers game, and they were actually matched up against Neal-RNH-Nygard.
- The interesting thing about guys like Kempe and Turris is that while they are really cheap, there’s actually plenty of upside. In the case of Kempe, he centered the Kings 2nd line between Kovalchuk and Carter, which is a very very good spot to be in because the three of them are definitely not on the ice for defensive purposes. Beyond that, Kempe was actually getting multiple looks on the top power-play unit and received ice time at the end of the game in an empty-net situation. Turris is completely different. He’s getting time on the 4th line with very formidable linemates in Grimaldi and Jarnkrok, and they’re getting matchups against 3rd and 4th lines. In this case, Joe Thornton’s line has been one of the worst in hockey this season, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Turris’s line capitalizes. I know it’s a small sample size, but his iCorsi has increased this season as well.
1) Alex Ovechkin, Capitals (DK: $7700; FD: $8600)
2) Anthony Mantha, Red Wings (DK: $6600; FD: $6800)
3) Filip Forsberg, Predators (DK: $7200; FD: $7600)
4) Ondrej Kase, Ducks (DK: $5700; FD: $4100)
5) Jake Guentzel, Penguins (DK: $6200; FD: $7300)
6) Evgenii Dadonov, Panthers (DK: $5000; FD: $6100)
7) Elias Lindholm, Flames (DK: $5400; FD: $5300)
8) Alex Galchenyuk, Penguins (DK: $5000; FD: $5400)
9) Evander Kane, Sharks (DK: $5300; FD: $6600)
10) Max Pacioretty, Golden Knights (DK: $5300; FD: $6700)
11) Tyler Toffoli, Kings (DK: $3900; FD: $5600)
12) Reilly Smith, Golden Knights (DK: $5100; FD: $5800)
13) Joakim Nygard, Oilers (DK: $3700; FD: $3500)
14) James Neal, Oilers (DK: $4500; FD: $4700)
- Today’s a day where I don’t think it’s a great idea to fade Ovechkin, but it’s certainly possible due to the number of options available. Still, when I think of how important shot volume has become on DK, I feel you have to at least try to make room for him.
- Anthony Mantha finished the 2018-19 season extremely strong, but apparently a lot of the hockey community forgot, because they didn’t roster him even though he was significantly underpriced the first two nights. He is a little more expensive now, but considering he’s now not on Jeff Blashill’s shit list, and getting roughly 20 minutes a game with plenty of trust and opportunities to produce, we’re probably going to need to keep considering him on a nightly basis.
- We can make a strong case for Forsberg OR Arvidsson given how important of a role they both play in the Nashville attack; however, I have a strong preference for Forsberg, who has averaged 7.93 high-danger scoring chances per 60 compared to Arvidsson’s 2.48/60. Nevertheless, both of these guys aren’t afraid to shoot the puck.
- Ondrej Kase is currently leading ALL of hockey in the category of iCorsi/60, and by a wide amount. I understand that Detroit is 2-0, but they are 2-0 because of their offense, not their defense.
- Both Guentzel and Galchenyuk need to be given a strong look. Connor Hellebuyck didn’t start on Sunday against the Islanders and I don’t think it was just a coincidence. He has looked atrocious throughout training camp, and we saw last season that his mental game isn’t the strongest.
1) Roman Josi, Predators (DK: $6200; FD: $5900)
2) Justin Schultz, Penguins (DK: $4100; FD: $4300)
3) Mark Giordano, Flames (DK: $6400; FD: $6700)
4) Drew Doughty, Kings (DK: $5000; FD: $5700)
5) Oscar Klefbom, Oilers (DK: $6100; FD: $5100)
6t) Josh Morrissey, Jets (DK: $4900; FD: $4400) OUT OF THE LINEUP
6t) Ville Heinola, Jets (DK: $3300; FD: $3500)
8) Hampus Lindholm, Ducks (DK: $4000; FD: $4200)
- I would not sweat the fact that Josi hasn’t been able to put together some high shot volume/blocked shot games. His iCorsi is still at a high rate, so it’s only a matter of time where the shots will actually hit the net. Based on last season’s trends, Josi is going to be a guy who’s going to get a ton of 3+ blocked shot and 5+ shot bonuses on DK, and with his salary at a sub $6k price point on FanDuel, he cannot be overlooked tonight against a struggling Sharks lineup.
- Based on what we saw on Saturday, I think it’s a situation where we may need to give Justin Schultz a stronger look at D than Kris Letang. That’s at least for the time being while Schultz is at a very cheap salary on both sites, and actually getting time with the top power-play unit (this could change, as it seems to change very often with these two).
- You can consider Josh Morrissey on FD, but you will have to consider Ville Heinola on both sites at his sub $4k price tag. Morrissey was a late late late scratch against the Islanders, but he should be back in business tonight, and get 25+ minutes against the Penguins. Heinola has been the 2nd biggest offensive threat from the blueline for a Jets team that is forced to be aggressive on offense out of necessity.
1) Matt Murray, Penguins (DK: $8300; FD: $8400)
2t) Sergei Bobrovsky, Panthers (DK: $7700; FD: $8600)
2t) John Gibson, Ducks (DK: $7300; FD: $8200)
- Penguins goalies have always been a top target for me in the last couple seasons just because they tend to see a lot of shots on goal, and they also tend to get a lot of goal support. I would be absolutely shocked if Murray doesn’t see at least 30 shots tonight. With his forwards dealing with a lot of injuries, I think he has a chance of seeing 40+ under the right circumstances.
- If you don’t go with Murray, I think Bobrovsky and Gibson will give you a nice combination of a) skill, b expected shot volume, and c) goal support.
- DK: Jared McCann and Justin Schultz
- FD: Jared McCann and Roman Josi