Welcome to the NFL DFS RB Coach, where we identify the best running backs for our lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel and SuperDraft!
This is an early look at the best RB’s available on the main Sunday slate, provided every Wednesday during the season. It’s important to note this NFL DFS article is posted mid-week, so injuries and other news can change the outlook as we get closer to Sunday.
Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions (1.15x SD, $8,000 DK & $8,800 FD)
Without Michael Thomas, Kamara has 22 catches in the last two games. Drew Brees will not throw downfield at all, which is a problem for the offense even if Kamara has benefited. Kamara only had six carries last week but has racked up 5 TD’s in three games this season. The Lions are 29th run defense DVOA, 30th in rushing yards allowed per game, and allow 5.7 yards per carry. I think Kamara will be popular, but you have to wonder if the weak Lions run defense will lead to fewer receptions for Kamara. Kamara should be productive but have my questions about whether he is worth the price tag.
Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys (1.3x SD, $7,000 DK & $8,300 FD)
The Browns continue to run all over their opponents. Chubb has 232 rushing yards and four rushing TD’s in his last two games. The lack of passing catching is not ideal with just one catch per game. He faces the Cowboys, who have a terrible defense. The presence of Kareem Hunt, not allowing for all the carries, leaves Chubb as a GPP only option for NFL DFS. Chubb will be productive, but he would be a must-play if he were getting 25+ touches per game.
Dalvin Cook – Minnesota Vikings vs. Houston Texans (1.2x SD, $7,600 DK & $8,700 FD)
We saw last week how Cook could put up a big game if the Vikings stayed in the game. Cook has scored in every game this season and faces the Texans, who are 26th in run defense per PFF, 24th in run defense DVOA and 32nd in rushing yards allowed per game. They also allow 5.2 yards per carry. Houston has faced some great teams early, so their offense will be much better this week. There are some concerns if Minnesota falls behind. If the Vikings do stay in the game, you can expect another great game from Cook. I am not sure if I play him in Cash, but he seems like a great GPP option.
Mike Davis – Carolina Panthers vs. Arizona Cardinals (1.6x SD, $5,700 DK & $6,300 FD)
Is Christian McCaffrey special? I am not sure, but what we do know is Davis has 16 catches in the last five quarters since McCaffrey was injured. Davis was far from special, but catching that many passes is going to make you valuable. The Cardinals are allowing 4.4 yards per carry and are 23rd in run defense DVOA. Arizona plays at a crazy fast pace, which leads to more chances for the offensive plays for the opposing team. Nobody played Davis last week, and I doubt he draws much attention this week. He is still Cash and GPP playable.
Kenyan Drake – Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers (1.35x SD, $6,000 DK & $7,000 FD)
We faded Drake last week, and it worked out great. The issue with Drake is Kyler Murray’s running a lot more – in particular, near the goal-line – which limits Drake’s touches in the red zone. I do think the Panthers are a worse run defense than the Lions, so more interested this week. Carolina is giving up 4.9 yards per carry and is 29th in run defense DVOA. Drake is averaging 18 rushing attempts per game but losing passing game work to Chase Edmonds, which is not ideal for NFL DFS. Drake feels like a better play this week, so can be used in Cash and GPP’s. He has to be due for a rushing TD.
James Robinson – Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals (1.65x SD, $6,500 DK & $6,600 FD)
Who would have thought Robinson would be this productive before the season started? He has looked great so far this season with 3 TD’s in the last two weeks. Robinson has become the do-everything back for the Jaguars, including six catches for 83 yards last week. The Bengals are 31st in rushing yards per game allowed and allowing 5.0 yards per carry. The Jaguars are still a terrible team, but Robinson is going to be involved no matter the game flow. It is a battle of two bad teams. Robinson is Cash and GPP playable.
Darrell Henderson – Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants (1.75x SD, $5,800 DK & $6,400 FD)
The Rams have rushed for 150+ yards in each of their first three games. The offensive line has been much better this season, ranking second in run blocking per PFF. Henderson appears to be the lead back with 195 rushing yards the last two games. The terrible Giants come to town this week, so expect the running game to get a ton of work. Assuming Cam Akers remains out, Henderson is Cash and GPP playable.
Devin Singletary – Buffalo Bills vs. Las Vegas Raiders (1.6x SD, $5,900 DK & $6,000 FD)
He is only an option if Zack Moss remains out. The Raiders are 28th in rushing yards allowed and allowing 5.6 yards per carry. They are also 28th in run defense per PFF and 32nd in run defense DVOA. The Bills are passing more than they should be, and Singletary getting most of the work is intriguing after netting 121 total yards last week. Josh Allen loves to steal rushing TD’s, so that is some concern. Singletary is best left as a GPP option.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots (1.4x SD, $6,400 DK & $7,400 FD)
The TD’s have been lacking for CEH, but he has become more involved in the passing game with five catches for 70 yards. While the rushing yards were tough to come by, he did run tougher inside the tackles in Week 3. The Patriots are giving up 4.6 yards per carry and rank 25th in run defense DVOA, so there should be more success running the football this week. The price tag might be a little higher than I like, but he is a strong GPP option.
David Montgomery – Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts (1.65x SD, $5,500 DK & $5,800 FD)
The loss of Tarik Cohen will benefit both the Bears and Montgomery. The team had an infatuation with a one-dimensional player that hurt the offense. Montgomery is a great pass catcher who will not allow the defense to key in on the play-calling. The Colts are a good defense, so the rushing yards have not been great by opponents. However, they are still allowing four yards per carry, but big leads have limited rushing attempts. I am not sure the Nick Foles QB change makes the Bears offense that much better, but the cheap price tag has me interested in Montgomery. He is definitely a GPP play and a possible cash play on DK & SD, depending on other value.
Carlos Hyde – Seattle Seahawks vs. Miami Dolphins (1.7x, $5,300 DK & $5,700 FD)
The next man up with the injury to Chris Carson. We do not know the extent of Carson’s injury but would expect Hyde will be the starter for a few weeks. I do expect for Travis Homer to get more passing catching duties than Hyde, but he should get the majority of the carries. The Dolphins are 25th in rushing yards allowed and allowing 4.9 yards per carry. The price tag on FD and SD is more appealing than the DK one. Hyde is a Cash and GPP option on FD and SD.
Reminder: Ted will be hosting his RB Coaching Session in the NFL DFS chat room at 4pm ET!