Kyle Lowry ($7400 DK, $8000 FD) – At first glance, we may look at this matchup against the Grizzlies and wince, but this Grizzlies team is in shambles right now, losing 11 of their past 12 games and allowing 114 PPG over their past five. Lowry has a 16.4% usage rate and averages .95 FPPM when on the court with Kawhi, but those numbers skyrocket to 23.2% and 1.34 FPPM when not on the court with Kawhi. Kyrie Irving destroyed this Memphis team for 38 points and 11 assists last night. Lowry obviously isn't on Kyrie's level offensively but he's certainly no slouch either and this Memphis team is not defending nearly as well as we've come to expect from them at the moment.
Lonzo Ball ($6900 DK, $7700 FD) – Don't look now, but Lonzo is rolling with three straight 40+ fantasy point games. He's beginning to look for his offense more with 17 shot attempts in each of the past two games, while knocking down at least two threes in each. We saw a monster total from Houston/Brooklyn last game – 287 total points (one OT) – and the Lakers are a young team that loves to push. With the Rockets super small with Clint Capela out, we could easily see guys like Tyson Chandler and JaVale McGee (who appears to be on his way out of the rotation anyway) pushed off the court and for this one to turn into a track meet, which is exactly what we want when rostering Lonzo.
James Harden ($13,400 DK, 14,300 FD) – Duh. He's obviously a really tough fade right now, but with all the value out there already, he's also likely to take on 40% ownership or more. If I'm fading in GPPs, I'm using instead guys like Nik Jokic or Giannis who have 70-80 fantasy point upside and hoping that Harden goes for 60-70. But, really, I'm going to have him on most of my teams and just take the free square.
Jaylen Brown ($4300 DK, $4400 FD) – Jaylen Brown is a good young player in a tough situation. There are too many backcourt and wing players who need minutes on this team and as a result he's seen his minutes drop from 30.7 per game last year to 26.1 this year. The thing is though is that the Celtics WANT to get him more minutes so in this situation where Gordon Hayward is out, there's the opportunity to do that. The Hawks are not a cakewalk this year – they play hard and they'll bite you if you don't take them seriously – but they love to play with pace and Brown is an excellent athlete and decent open court player. He's flashed 40+ fantasy point upside this year and this is a spot where he could do it again.
Justin Holiday ($3800 DK, $4100 FD) – Scary, I know, but I just can't past the 36 minutes, 12 FGAs, and 30+ fantasy points last night on the road in Boston. The Grizz are on the road at Toronto, which isn't any easier, but at least Holiday won't have to deal with Kawhi Leonard in this one. I like using Holiday with Lowry for those times when the Grizz keep it close enough for the starters to return for their final shift.
Jonathan Isaac ($3700 DK, $4400 FD) – If Gordon misses today and I think it's more likely he sits than plays, we could see minutes upside for Isaac. He's not a great fantasy performer or anything, but if we can get a guy at his price who's got a decent shot of playing 33-35 minutes, he's worth a look. Isaac is a strong defensive player and the Magic are going to want him on the court as much as possible to try to deal with Giannis and Middleton.
Omri Casspi ($3700 DK, $4300 FD) – I wouldn't play Holiday and Casspi together as they overlap too much, but they do still see some minutes together on the court. Casspi is going to see 20 minutes, but has upside for more, and at .89 FPPM on the year, that's decent value. Really though, we like that we saw him play 36 minutes just two games ago, and gameflow, if Toronto gets out to a big lead, could see him get big minutes again here.
Blake Griffin ($9000 DK, $9700 FD) – When Drummond and Blake share the court on the year, Blake has a 29.7% usage rate and he averages 1.21 FPPM and when he doesn't share the court with Drummond, he has a 36.8% usage and averages 1.44 FPPM. Add in the fact that Blake also has tremendous minutes upside and is in a paced up spot against the Kings, and this is a great play today.
Kyle Kuzma ($7500 DK, $7600 FD) – Kuzma and Lonzo are both regularly playing 35+ minutes for the Lakers and with the value out there today, I really like pairing these two, running it back with Harden, and hoping this one turns into one of those huge totals like we saw in the recent Brooklyn/Houston game the other night. Kuz loves to shoot – he's averaging exactly 20 FGAs over his last five games – and he's still priced pretty well on both sites.
There's value at center with Ante Zizic (if TT misses again), Zaza Pachulia, and Robin Lopez projected to start and Ivica Zubac coming off a monster game where he undoubtedly earned another shot at significant minutes off the bench. Yes, Jon Leuer is probable, but Zaza should still take on 20+ minutes here and the Bulls are looking to shop RoLo so they're giving him an opportunity to show he's still got something in the tank. It was comical last game watching Lauri Markkanen and Bobby Portis try to guard Jokic so the Bulls are making an adjustment here and using RoLo on Hassan Whiteside. If Whiteside and RoLo mirrors minutes – which is a definite possibility – Whiteside has only been seeing low-to-mid twenties, but that's still enough for RoLo to make an impact at his price. Lastly, with Zubac, as mentioned in the writeup about Ball, there's the chance this Rockets/Lakers game turns into a track meet and the Lakers could want some young legs in Zubac out there. Lastly, if I'm paying up at C, I like going Nik Vucevic tonight, especially if Aaron Gordon misses.