Ricky Sanders breaks down tonight’s 4-gamer for GPP action!!
Players are based on DK pricing/positions. Plays noted with (FD) are notably good plays on FanDuel. Please read the entire article, as the rankings are explained in the bottom half (along with what news can radically shift these rankings).
- Russell Westbrook (especially if no Beal)
- Terance Mann (if one of George/Leonard sits)
- Devonte’ Graham
- Terry Rozier
- Chris Paul/Jamal Murray
- Malik Monk
- Paul George
- Bradley Beal
- Will Barton
- Devin Booker
- Kawhi Leonard
- Chandler Hutchison
- Danny Green
- Gordon Hayward
- Mikal Bridges (price preferred on FD)/Miles Bridges (GPP only)
- Tobias Harris
- Rui Hachimura (if no Beal)
- Deni Avdija (if no Beal)
- Michael Porter Jr.
- Marcus Morris
- Nikola Jokic
- Deandre Ayton
- Clint Capela
- Bismack Biyombo
- John Collins
Top Stud over $8K: Russell Westbrook (if no Beal)
Top Value under $5K: Malik Monk
DK Core: Russell Westbrook (if no Beal), Nikola Jokic, Malik Monk
Top Stud over $8K: Russell Westbrook (if no Beal)
Top Value under $5K: Chandler Hutchison
FD Core: Russell Westbrook (if no Beal), Devonte’ Graham, Chandler Hutchison
Key News to Watch:
Bradley Beal – Once again listed as questionable, Bradley Beal’s status is huge for determining how to value the rest of the Wizards team. At least Daniel Gafford’s status seems firm (listed as “out” as of the 1:30pm ET injury report), so Rui Hachimura and the big men’s playing time is mostly settled, but the usage levels are in flux. In four games without Beal, Hachmiura’s usage has increased by over seven full percentage points (to 24.7-percent) and Russell Westbrook’s has ballooned to a ridiculous 37.1-percent. Last night, Westbrook displayed his insane upside acting as the complete alpha, and he would clearly come equipped with a massive triple-double ceiling once again if Beal were to sit. Deni Avdija quietly played 31-plus minutes on Monday but ran pure (4-6 FGs, 2-3 from beyond the arc) from the field. The price did not change much but he would still rate as nothing more than a volatile option with Beal on the bench.
Los Angeles Clippers – Late into the evening last night, Paul George was ruled out with what the team called “right foot soreness.” It just so happened that the foot injury was the same one he was dealing with in February so the injury certainly could be legitimate. However, there is a possibility that the team was simply showing an abundance of caution on the front end of a back-to-back and did not want to push him…which leaves the possibility that the team will not want to push one of their superstars on the second end of the back-to-back. While the injury report shows nothing of the like at this point, I am a bit concerned Kawhi Leonard could randomly sit tonight, and that would change the constitution of the offense. If one of the superstars on the team sat, the other would become one of the top plays of the night, and Terrance Mann, who has topped 29 DK fantasy points in each of his last three, would rate as a top value in all formats as well.
Charlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards – Regardless of whether or not Bradley Beal plays, the Wizards are one of the fastest-paced teams in the league, and they have actually sped up quite a bit (108.2 PACE) when Beal has been out. In those four games, the team is averaging 116.5 points per game (PPG) and allowing over 121 PPG. Essentially, their games have been crazy stackable even with one of their superstars out, and tonight is no different versus a guard-heavy Hornets club. All the Hornets guards are in play, with Malik Monk still sitting under $5,000 on DK, and that is before discussing the forwards and Bismack Biyombo (who I am projecting for over 20-minutes at $3,200). Miles Bridges played a whopping 36:46 against the Suns, although Monk was out, and it will be interesting to see whether they continue to ride the hot hand and reward the positive results. As for the Wizards, they were basically covered in the last section, although Chandler Hutchison is a sneaky punt option. While Jerome Robinson started the last game, the newly-acquired Hutchison played more minutes, and he simply has more of an offensive prowess. At minimum price, he is a nice way to allow fantasy owners to try and pair multiple superstars in the same lineup.
Philadelphia 76ers @ Denver Nuggets – It is always nerve-racking to focus on the first two games of a four-game slate and then have to sweat late but there is really no other way to approach tonight. In the month of March, no team has played slower than the Atlanta Hawks, and the Magic might rarely score 100-points with what is left on their roster. By default, that leaves the 76ers/Nuggets are the second most favorable game stack of the night. At home this season, Nikola Jokic is sporting a 42.1-percent assist rate compared to a 37.8-percent assist rate on the road due to the favorable home scoring. Since Joel Embiid is out, the team is lacking a center with the size and skills to match Jokic at the top of the key on defense, leaving him with plenty of space to either drive to the basket or shoot. Oh, and the altitude is often tough for big men, so I am projecting Dwight Howard’s minutes to get cut a bit for that combined with the foul trouble risk. On the other side, Tobias Harris has strangely thrived against Aaron Gordon in his career, and that is without factoring in his 27.9-percent usage rate sans Embiid in 2021. The Nuggets allow the eighth highest frequency of three-point shot attempts so that could give a reason to take a shot on the ever-volatile Danny Green in tournaments on this slate as well.
Slate Edges: Chandler Hutchison if no Bradley Beal and Terance Mann is one of George/Leonard sit