Ricky Sanders breaks down tonight’s massive 10-game NBA DFS slate for GPP action!!
Players are based on DK pricing/positions. Plays noted with (FD) are notably good plays on FanDuel. Please read the entire article, as the rankings are explained in the bottom half (along with what news can radically shift these NBA DFS rankings).
- Mike Conley
- Jordan Clarkson
- Dejounte Murray/Malcolm Brogdon
- Saben Lee
- Chris Paul
- Fred VanVleet
- Kevin Porter Jr. (if no John Wall)
- Tyrese Haliburton
- James Harden
- DeMar DeRozan
- Joe Ingles
- Royce O’Neale
- O.G. Anunoby
- Bojan Bogdanovic
- Buddy Hield/Mikal Bridges/Troy Brown (if no Zach LaVine)
- Pascal Siakam
- Giannis Antetokounmpo
- Julius Randle
- Jerami Grant
- Harrison Barnes/Jayson Tatum (if no Jaylen Brown)
- Rudy Gobert
- Nikola Vucevic
- Bam Adebayo
- Robert Williams/Deandre Ayton
- Andre Drummond/Christian Wood (FD specific)
Top Stud over $8K: Giannis Antetokounmpo
Top Value under $5K: Royce O’Neale
DK Core: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Mike Conley, Royce O’Neale, Dejounte Murray
Top Stud over $8K: Pascal Siakam
Top Value under $5K: Jordan Clarkson
FD Core: Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam, Mike Conley, Jordan Clarkson
NBA DFS Slate Notes
Key News to Watch:
Jaylen Brown – Apparently, Jayson Tatum is recovered from his bout with COVID-19 as he scored 34-plus points for the second time in his last three games on Monday. Even with Evan Fournier in rotation, that did not stop Tatum from dominating the usage, as he garnered a 29.7-percent usage rate in the one-game sample. Comparatively, Tatum sports a 30.4-percent usage rate for the year, so he may take a minor hit with Fournier but should remain similar (especially as long as Brown remains out). Assuming Brown plays, this team becomes tough to handicap, with Robert Williams being the safest player on the team to maintain his role pre-trade deadline. I also like the under in this game, so the Celtics really are not a priority for me, and I will have limited exposure, especially if Brown plays.
Zach LaVine – Look, Zach LaVine is almost assuredly closer to doubtful tonight given his recent comments. So, I am treating the Bulls like he is sitting. With LaVine out, the offense is going to run completely through Nikola Vucevic, which means we should see similar rates to his days in Orlando. The biggest threat to a massive game from Vucevic is the Bulls’ competitiveness, as they have been blown out in back-to-back games since acquiring the big man. To be fair, LaVine was playing hurt in those contests, and the team had been adjusting, trying to fit both LaVine/Vucevic into the offense together. Running the offense through Vucevic could help stabilize everything, especially with the Suns on the second end of a back-to-back. Troy Brown Jr. and Tomas Satoransky would be the other big winners if LaVine sat, with Brown probably seeing 20-plus minutes, especially if a questionable Coby White were to sit too.
Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies – How many Jazz are too many Jazz? The answer is probably four, as virtually everyone on the team has stepped up their play with Donovan Mitchell out. With Mitchell off the floor, Rudy Gobert, Jordan Clarkson, Mike Conley and Joe Ingles have all averaged 0.98-plus DK fantasy points per minute, and all are projecting for 29-plus minute roles in my model. If targeting three-plus members of the Jazz, it likely makes sense to run back the stack with a Grizzlies player to maximize exposure to the game environment. In three of his last six meetings versus Gobert, Jonas Valanciunas has topped 43 DK fantasy points, so he is my top choice. However, Ja Morant has had some explosions (three 42-plus fantasy point outbursts) in his own right versus the Jazz over the past two seasons. The total in this game is approaching 230-points, and the Jazz production is going to be quite condensed; of course, this creates a phenomenal potential fantasy bonanza environment.
Toronto Raptors @ Oklahoma City Thunder – The other condensed team on this slate is the Raptors, who will be missing Kyle Lowry and recently traded Norman Powell. Essentially, the offense is going to run through Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam, who are some of the top overall plays on the slate. But do not sleep on O.G. Anunoby, either. Admittedly, Anunoby is more volatile than the others, but he has topped 33 fantasy points in three of his last six games without Lowry, including a 53.5 fantasy point outburst versus the Pacers. To give full context, Siakam was out in that game as well, but the potential for stocks is quite evident in this matchup versus the Thunder, who allow the fourth-most steals per-48 minutes to opponents (and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains out). Ty Jerome played 30-minutes without Gilgeous-Alexander the last time, and the only reason he was left out of my player rankings is that he too is listed as questionable. My guess is he ends up playing since the team is basically running an eight-man rotation, and that leaves the potential for almost anyone (other than the backup center) to blow up. Josh Hall, Kenrich Williams, Moses Brown and Svi Mykhailiuk are all on my tournament radar as potential last guys into a lineup (especially if playing multiple Raptors).
Slate Edges: Nikola Vucevic
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