Identify the players on tonight’s NBA DFS slate who have the safest floors for your DraftKings & FanDuel cash game lineups!
What’s up #EliteMafia. Happy Thursday!
I like small slates, but tonight’s four-game slate has to be one of the ugliest ones I have seen in a while. Aside from some of the injuries at hand, we have a couple of potential lopsided games, which limits our options from an already thin player pool. That being said, there is still money to be made this evening, so I will dive into my favorite options on the slate.
Before jumping into it, let’s take a look at the injury news around the league. Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Damian Lillard, and LeBron James are among the notable players that have already been ruled out tonight. Here are some of the players listed as questionable: Anthony Davis and Draymond Green. As you can see, there is not a ton of injury news pending for this slate, so it is very straight forward. That said, as always, things can change in a hurry in the NBA, so monitoring news throughout the day is important because it can change the way we approach a slate.
Remember, we use FD positions as they are more rigid, but you should have plenty of options at each position to build on DK as well given the roster fluidity and multi-position eligibility of many players.
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Let’s jump right into it!
Highest Projected Total
- Lakers – 115.5
- Thunder – 114.5
- Pacers – 114
- 76ers – 108.5
- Kings – 108
Biggest Pace Bump
- Pacers: +2.7
- Knicks: +0.4
- Warriors: +0.3
- Kings: +0.2
NBA DFS Position By Position
De’Aaron Fox – Fox has played some solid basketball as of late, scoring at least 20 points in three straight games and in six of his last 10. Tonight’s matchup is not ideal by any means but did post 31.3 DK points in 27 minutes against the Thunder in their last meeting. Fox can lack consistency at times, making him a bit riskier than I would like for cash on a normal night, but he comes at a fair price considering his production. With that said, his minutes are consistent, and the usage is there, so he should be able to return value tonight and has the upside to exceed expectations. Fox has been ruled out for Thursday night.
- Malcolm Brogdon – I much prefer Brogdon on FD where he is just $5,900, compared to $7,300 on DK. He draws a strong matchup tonight against a Portland team that ranks 27th in defense rating and a team that will be without their best player. The Trail Blazers have been very generous to opposing point guards this season, yielding the third most fantasy points per game. Brogdon is averaging 13.7 points, 6.1 assists, and 6.8 rebounds per game in the month of February, displaying his ability to contribute to multiple categories. He has scored at least 30 FD points in all but four games this month and at this price tag this type of production is hard to pass up on, especially in a favorable matchup. You can consider him on DK, but he is a strong point per dollar play on FD.
- Rajon Rondo – The Lakers will be without LeBron James tonight, which means that Rondo should see more minutes. In the two games that James has sat out this season, Rondo played 28 and 33 minutes, which is the range we should be expecting tonight for him. Taking that into consideration, in addition to the favorable matchup, the price, and the fact that Rondo averages a fantasy point per minute, makes him one of the stronger point per dollar plays on the slate. Not to mention, he sees a 1.4 percent usage bump with James off the court. Rondo’s ability to not have to score points to post up fantasy numbers makes him a safe bet to pay off his near minimum salary on both sites, so long as the minutes are there, which should be the case this evening.
- C.J. McCollum – The price has gone up for McCollum but rightfully so, as he has been highly consistent with Lillard out. In the last three games, McCollum is averaging 39.3 minutes, 32 points, 10.7 assists, 6.3 rebounds, and 1.0 block per game, scoring no less than 50 DK points in a single game. He has displayed his ability to be not only an efficient scorer, but also a facilitator. Tonight’s matchup is not ideal, but tough matchups have not stopped him from posting up strong numbers as we witnessed in his last game against the Celtics. McCollum has averaged a 34.9 percent usage rate over the last three games and should continue to be a usage monster until Lillard returns. Despite his price increase, McCollum remains a viable option in all formats considering his role at this time.
- Josh Richardson – With both Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid out this evening, Richardson should see an increased workload. In situations like this, he is actually the one that benefits the most as he sees a 4.6 percent usage bump with both Simmons and Embiid off the court. Aside from the increased role, Richardson draws a favorable matchup against the Knicks who rank 21st in defense rating. Being that Embiid suffered the injury during last night’s game, the sites were unable to adjust Richardson’s price, making him a strong value option tonight.
- Tobias Harris – This is not the first, nor will it be the last 76ers player you will see in this article. As I mentioned above, Philly will be without two high usage players this evening which means that some of the other players on the roster will be in line for more opportunities. We have seen it multiple times this season that when Embiid sits, Harris’ production increases (has averaged +4.7 more DK points per game with Embiid out). In addition, Harris sees a 2.3 usage bump with Simmons and Embiid out. Take all of this into consideration along with the great matchup at hand and this should be an easy path to success for Harris in tonight’s game.
- Danilo Gallinari – I missed out on Gallinari on Sunday, but I am going back to the well here. He has been fairly consistent over the last month, exceeding expectations in 77 percent of his contests. Tonight, he draws a very nice matchup against the Kings who are 18th in defense rating. Gallinari has faced off against Sacramento twice this season and has averaged 16.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 30.8 DK points per game. He is reasonably priced on both sites and should have no issue returning 5X in this matchup, with upside for more.
- Anthony Davis – You might see the red Q next to Davis’ name, but there is no need to worry as he is fully expected to play tonight and is the top option on this slate. With no James tonight, Davis should dominate the usage for the Lakers and be very active. When James is off the court, Davis sees a 4.9 percent usage bump. In addition to the fact that he will get more opportunities tonight, he draws a phenomenal matchup against the Warriors who are one of the worst defensive units in the league. Davis should have his way against Golden State and will be in a great position to produce a strong stat line. He scored 54 DK points in 35 minutes against the Warriors once this season and James played in that game. A ceiling game is not out of the question for Davis tonight.
- Domantas Sabonis – Sabonis is in a great spot this evening against a Portland team that has struggled immensely against the PF position, allowing the most fantasy points per game to the position. Power forwards are averaging 24.9 points, 12.7 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 2.5 three-pointers, and 1.5 blocks per game against the Trail Blazers. Portland is yielding the most rebounds per game to opposing teams, which bodes well for Sabonis who has been very active on the boards with double-digit rebounds in three straight games and in seven of his last 10 games. During that stretch he has no less than eight rebounds in a single game. The last time he faced off against Portland, Sabonis had one of his better games, recoding one of his four triple-doubles of the season. Granted, Myles Turner did not play in that contest which played a role in that performance; however, it does show what Sabonis is capable of doing in a matchup as good as the one at hand.
- Al Horford – Didn’t I tell you that you would see another Philadelphia player in this article? Well, here he is. Despite his recent struggles, Horford is a strong play tonight against the Knicks considering the circumstances. When Simmons and Embiid are off the court, Horford sees a 3.5 usage bump and averages 5.9 more DK points per game. He faces off against a New York team that is yielding over 45 DK points per game and is a poor defensive unit. Horford has shown signs of life over his last two games, scoring at least 26 DK points in each of those contests. At his price on both sites, that type of performance would be good enough to pay off his salary and we know he has the upside to exceed expectations here. He is a viable option in all formats tonight and makes for a strong point per dollar play.
- Kyle Kuzma – Another Lakers player makes the list, and this should come to no surprise with LeBron out tonight. In the two games that James has sat out this season, Kuzma played 22 and 40 minutes, while scoring no less than 16 points in any of those games and eclipsing 25 DK points in each of those contests. When James is off the court, Kuzma sees the second biggest bump in usage, with a 3.3 percent increase. Whether he comes off the bench or is in the starting lineup, Kuzma should be in for an increased role and makes for a strong play at his price tag on both sites. He is PF/C eligible on DK, allowing you to get creative with your roster construction.
- Hassan Whiteside – Whiteside has scored no less than 45 FD points in each of his last three games and has now double-doubled in seven consecutive games. He faces off against the Pacers this evening, a good defensive unit, but a team that struggles against opposing big men. Indiana is surrendering 24.9 points and 16.2 rebounds per game to opposing centers, while yielding the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position. Whiteside had his way with this defense the last time they played against each other, scoring 21 points with 14 rebounds and blocking six shots. He is the most expensive center on the board tonight, but rightfully so. Feel free to plug him in all formats tonight, as he should be able to produce strong numbers this evening.
- Dwight Howard – While there are a couple of interesting mid-priced centers on the board in Steven Adams and Myles Turner tonight, I am either paying up for Whiteside or paying down for Howard. Based on the other values available, I am leaning towards the former, though on a site like DK rostering both is totally fine. Howard is not expected to get a significant boost with James out, but it certainly does help and in a matchup like the one at hand, he has a good chance to be dominant when on the court. As it is, he averages well over a fantasy point per minute and if he gets 20-25 mins tonight, he should have no trouble exceeding expectations when taking his salary into account. He has faced off against the Warriors twice this year and has averaged 25.8 DK points per game, while playing 16.3 minutes per game in those contests. Howard is $4,100 on both sites, making him a solid point per dollar option on this slate.
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