RadThad breaks down tonight’s six-game NBA DFS slate!!
What’s up my peeps? This Sunday we have an exciting six game NBA main slate. It might not hit the NBA DFS “sweet spot”, but it’s pretty close. We’re getting close to the end of the regular season, so some teams are jockeying for playoff position, while others are jockeying for lottery picks. Either way, each team has something to offer so “leave no stone unturned”. Teams tend to do “funky” things with their rotations so stay alert (yes, I’m talking about you Denver Nuggets)!
I know that I usually bring you the GPP rundown on weekends, however, we’ve decided to switch things up a little. I’ll be bringing you my cash game strategy on the weekends in an attempt to help you build on that hard-earned bankroll of yours. As you should know by now, cash game strategy is very different from tournament strategy. In cash games, it’s all about value. Well, it’s not just about value, but you know what I mean. Your cash game roster should be very “fluid” throughout its construction. To paraphrase the immortal Bruce Lee, “It must be like water.”
Late breaking news can, and will, change your cash game core more often than not so the lineups you create right now will likely look very different from the one you submit prior to tip off. I’ll be sure to post any updates to the article as news breaks (including updated cash game core plays). I’ll also notify y’all of any updates via the Twitter machine. In the meantime, here are my cash game thoughts for today’s slate.
Top Stud (over $8K on FD): Anthony Davis (followed by Luka Doncic)
Top Stud (over $8K on DK): Luka Doncic (followed by Anthony Davis)
Top Value (under $5K on FD): James Johnson (followed by Torrey Craig)
Top Value (under $5K on DK): James Johnson (followed by Jarred Vanderbilt)
-On FanDuel my most common cash core of players consists of Delon Wright (SAC), Naji Marshall (NO), James Johnson (NO) and Mo Bamba (ORL).If you don’t want to roll with Bamba you can pivot to Richaun Holmes (MIN). Cole Anthony (ORL) can be put down as a “near core” play and can be paired with Wright if you decide not to go with Luka in cash.
-On DraftKings, I’m getting a lot of Wright, Bamba, Johnson and Marvin Bagley III (SAC). RJ Hampton (ORL) can be used as a bonus core play.
– Here are a few things to consider when constructing your cash game and tournament lineups for this slate:
–“How many Sacramento Kings players is too many?” Tyrese Haliburton (SAC) is expected to miss the rest of the season due to an injured left knee. On top of that, Buddy Hield (SAC) is listed as “questionable”, while De’Aaron Fox (SAC) and Harrison Barnes (SAC) are likely to sit tonight when the Kings take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. That makes Sacramento one of the teams to target when it comes to cash game value. Delon Wright (SAC), Marvin Bagley (SAC) and Richaun Holmes (SAC) all make the list as cash game viable options.
–“How many New Orleans Pelicans players is too many?” When it comes to the Pelicans and their matchup against the Charlotte Hornets tonight, Zion Williamson (NO) is “out”, Brandon Ingram (NO) is “doubtful” and Steven Adams (NO) is “questionable”. This opens the door for guys like Eric Bledsoe (NO), Naji Marshall (NO) and James Johnson (NO) to become fantasy relevant options. Marshall and Johnson are more viable FanDuel options, while Bledsoe, Johnson and the Pelicans center of your choice (Hayes or Hernangómez) come in as cash game viable choices on DraftKings. Lonzo Ball (NO) is a sneaky tournament option that could go overlooked on both sites.
-“How many Orlando Magic players is too many?” Michael Carter Williams (ORL), Terrence Ross (ORL), James Ennis (ORL), Otto Porter (ORL), Chuma Okeke (ORL) and Wendell Carter Jr (ORL) are all “out” for tonight’s contest against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jeez. This is a situation where it was probably easier to just list the players that are actually available to take the court. That being said, Mo Bamba (ORL), RJ Hampton (ORL), Dwayne Bacon (ORL) and Cole Anthony (ORL) are all pieces of the DFS cash game puzzle today.
-“How many Charlotte Hornets players is too many?” No one’s really asking that question today, but it is worth noting that Cody Martin (CHA) and Miles Bridges (CHA) are both “out” today versus the New Orleans Pelicans, while Devonte’ Graham (CHA) is listed as “questionable”. There’s no reason to load up on Hornets today in cash games, however, guys like LaMelo Ball (CHA), Terry Rozier (CHA) and PJ Washington (CHA) are fine cash game and tournament targets. You can run these guys out there with a few of the aforementioned Pelicans players and make yourself a tasty game stack (game total of 220.0, Charlotte favored by -5.0).
-Choose your “beefcake” wisely in cash games. Current cash game roster construction will allow you to splurge for only one “true” stud today. Personally, I’m going with Luka Doncic (DAL). There really isn’t a plethora of beefcake options to choose from today, and a number of studs are either “out” or “questionable” so the decision-making process is rather straightforward. Luka is projected to be the top fantasy producer on the slate, so it’s not like you’re taking a major risk by putting him into your lineup once you’ve locked in your core plays. Anthony Davis (LAL) comes in as an alternate cash game beefcake play if you’re willing to go that route. The Lakers roster looks like they are auditioning for an upcoming episode of “The Walking Dead”, with the majority of their players listed as either “questionable” or “out”. Davis is in that group of “questionable” players, but I think he takes the court tonight.
-Spend up at center in tournaments. Most DFS’ers will splurge for Luka tonight. That won’t leave a lot of salary to spend at the center position. Expect Richaun Holmes (SAC) and Mo Bamba (ORL) to occupy that slot in the vast majority of lineups. As a result, Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) and Nikola Vucevic (CHI) will go under owned. We all know that these guys both have GPP winning ceilings. Use this to your advantage in tournaments.
-Who are a couple of my favorite tournament options on this slate? Zach LaVine (CHI), Karl Anthony Towns (MIN) and Nikola Vucevic (CHI) make the list.
-In a nutshell, I’m using a mixture of Sacramento Kings, New Orleans Pelicans and Orlando Magic value plays, along with Luka Doncic (DAL), to bring my team to “NBA DFS glory” in cash games. That’s my current cash game strategy, but we all know how things tend to change very quickly as we get closer to tip off. You’ll need to stay alert and available in the event that things get weird. (GPP Tip: This tip is pretty self-explanatory. Do the opposite of what I just said. Another viable tournament strategy for this slate is to roll with a balanced lineup. The biggest mistake that I make when going with a “studs and scrubs” approach in tournaments is either using too many of the chalky value plays or using the wrong ones. Sometimes it’s best to let your opponent make the mistakes by avoiding situation entirely.)