Ricky Sanders breaks down tonight’s 7-game NBA DFS slate!!
Players are based on DK pricing/positions. Plays noted with (FD) are notably good plays on FanDuel. Please read the entire article, as the rankings are explained in the bottom half (along with what news can radically shift these rankings).
- Aaron Holiday (if no Malcolm Brogdon and better play on DK)
- Stephen Curry
- Ja Morant
- Russell Westbrook
- Trae Young
- Malchi Flynn
- Fred VanVleet
- Terry Rozier
- Caris LeVert
- De’Anthony Melton
- Gary Trent Jr./Andrew Wiggins
- Desmond Bane
- Saddiq Bey (disappointed last time out but now Hamidou Diallo is inactive)
- Kent Bazemore
- Kevin Durant
- Kyle Anderson
- Pascal Siakam
- Draymond Green
- Sekou Doumbouya (if starting)
- Danilo Gallinari
- P.J. Washington
- Clint Capela
- Brandon Clarke (DK)
- Nikola Vucevic
- Kevon Looney
- Goga Bitazde
Top Stud over $8K: Russell Westbrook
Top Value under $5K: Aaron Holiday (if Malcolm Brogdon out)
DK Core: Russell Westbrook, Pascal Siakam, Fred Vanvleet, Sekou Doumbouya (if starting again)/Desmond Bane
Top Stud over $8K: Stephen Curry
Top Value under $5K: De’Anthony Melton
FD Core: Stephen Curry, Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam, De’Anthony Melton
Key News to Watch:
Malcolm Brogdon/Jeremy Lamb/Goga Bitazde – As is the case every damn day, the Pacers have listed multiple players as questionable early in the day, leaving their playing status completely in flux. Both teams in this game are motivated to win given the Pacers are only 3.5 games up on the 11th place Raptors for play-in game purposes and the Hawks could fall back into play-in game territory. Essentially, this trio should be motivated to play if at all possible, which makes their situations tough to handicap. If Malcolm Brogdon were to sit, Aaron Holiday is still priced under $4,000 on DK and is coming off a game where he played 27 minutes with a 22-percent usage and he just happened to shoot 2-9 in that game including 1-3 from behind the arc. Prior to that performance, he had played 24-plus minutes in three straight games and has topped 24 DK fantasy points in each. Of course, if he sits, Caris LeVert will act as the alpha on offense as well. If Goga Bitazde is in, he is extremely cheap on DK, and Oshae Brissett is no sure thing if Bitazde sits because Domantas Sabonis is back.
Killian Hayes – If Killian Hayes were to be deemed inactive, that would leave the Pistons with Saben Lee as the one true ball-handler, as Hamidou Diallo has also been ruled out. In that scenario, Lee would be forced into a 30-plus minute rule by default and he is only priced at $3,400 on DK. With Hayes sitting, Lee becomes the top overall value on the slate, and there really is not much more to say about it.
Washington Wizards @ Toronto Raptors – This game features a pair of teams who are both highly-motivated to win given the Wizards currently occupy the final spot in the playoffs in the East and the Wizards are on the outside (11th seed) looking in. Additionally, the Wizards rank 24th in overall team defensive efficiency this year and are playing on the second end of a back-to-back without Rui Hachimura. Basically, that is a long-winded way of saying defense should be few and far between in this game, and points should be aplenty. Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam are all on red-alert to nuke a defense that has allowed the fourth highest field goal rate at the rim, highest field goal rate in the mid-range and 11th highest field goal rate from beyond the arc. Naturally, the three-point percentage correlates nicely for Gary Trent Jr., although this is his first game back (so he should remain away from the cash game picture). On the Wizards side, Russell Westbrook may even have to increase his rebounding with Rui Hachimura out, and the offense will flow mainly through Bradley Beal and him. Davis Bertans gets a boost with more forward minutes available and he is priced near the bare minimum on DK. In totality, this is my favorite game stack of the evening by a wide margin, so feel free to go nuts loading up on pieces from it.
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers – As noted above, both teams in this one are quite motivated as well, which should create a competitive game environment. Even though the Pacers could potentially be missing multiple important pieces, they are only listed as 6.0-point home underdogs and the Hawks’ 123.0-point implied total is three points higher than any team on the slate. With Turner out, the Trae Young/Clint Capela duo should be able to run the pick-and-roll freely, and we should see a few alley-oops to Capela due to the free rim. Danilo Gallinari has scored 28 and 16-points respectively in his last two games and he only played 24 last time out due to a blowout. Expect him to see closer to 25-27-minutes tonight. Meanwhile, the Pacers are tough to handicap until they announce their final inactives, but Holiday/LeVert could be the big winners if Brogdon sits. On the other hand, if Brogdon plays, he is quite viable here as well.
Slate Edges: Do not fade Fred VanVleet or Pascal SIakam + Brandon Clarke (DK specific)