RadThad breaks down tonight’s five-game NBA DFS slate!!
What’s up my peeps? To paraphrase The Rock, “Finally!!!.. the NBA has made it to… the playoffs!” Okay, well almost. Ladies and gentlemen, we are at the end of the NBA regular season!
If you stuck with it this far you have to be excited about the NBA playoffs being right around the corner. This weekend, we’ll see a combination of teams fighting for last-minute playoff seeding and teams tanking hard for lottery slots. It’s going to be nothing short of a free-for-all in some cases, so expect guys that you’ve never heard of to take the court and have “career” games.
There’s going to be a lot of (kids cover your ears) “shenanigans” going on today. I didn’t want to have to use the “S” word, but it was more than appropriate in this case. Like I said before, the playoffs are drawing near so don’t risk too much of your hard-earned bankroll this weekend. Be smart. You have to be “in it to win it”!
Instead of going in depth, in terms of playoff seeding and play in game implications, I’ll just tell you the teams that have nothing to play for: Chicago and Minnesota are playing for pride, San Antonio is locked into the #10 play in spot and Boston is locked into the #7 seed. The other teams on today’s slate have something to gain by winning, so use them as you normally would.
I know that I usually bring you the GPP rundown on weekends, however, we’ve decided to switch things up a little. I’ll be bringing you my cash game strategy on the weekends in an attempt to help you build on that hard-earned bankroll of yours. As you should know by now, cash game strategy is very different from tournament strategy. In cash games, it’s all about value. Well, it’s not just about value, but you know what I mean. Your cash game roster should be very “fluid” throughout its construction. To paraphrase the immortal Bruce Lee, “It must be like water.”
Late breaking news can, and will, change your cash game core more often than not so the lineups you create right now will likely look very different from the one you submit prior to tip off. I’ll be sure to post any updates to the article as news breaks (including updated cash game core plays). I’ll also notify y’all of any updates via the Twitter machine. In the meantime, here are my cash game thoughts for today’s slate.
Top Stud (over $8K on FD): Kevin Durant (followed by Jayson Tatum)
Top Stud (over $8K on DK): Kevin Durant (followed by Jayson Tatum)
Top Value (under $5K on FD): Drew Eubanks (followed by Devin Vassell)
Top Value (under $5K on DK): Drew Eubanks (followed by Gorgui Dieng)
-On FanDuel my most common cash core of players consists of Payton Pritchard (BOS), Keldon Johnson (SAS), Julius Randle (NYK) and Drew Eubanks (SAS). You can add Devin Booker (PHO) as a bonus core play.
-On DraftKings, I’m getting a lot of Pritchard, Randle, Eubanks and Tremont Waters (BOS). You can considerGorgui Dieng (SA) a bonus core play as well.
– Here are a few things to consider when constructing your cash game and tournament lineups for this slate:
–“How many Boston Celtics players is too many?” Kemba Walker (BOS), Marcus Smart (BOS), Robert Williams (BOS), Tristan Thompson (BOS) and Jaylen Brown (BOS) are all “out” for Saturday’s game against the Minnesota Timberwolves for one reason or another. This leaves the door open for guys like Tremont Waters (BOS), Payton Pritchard (BOS) and Aaron Nesmith (BOS) tobecome cash game viable options today. Jayson Tatum (BOS) and Evan Fournier (BOS) are both banged up, however, they are listed as “probable”. The Celtics are locked into the number seven seed, so use caution if you’re thinking about using these guys in anything other than tournaments.
–“How many San Antonio Spurs players is too many?” DeMar DeRozan (SAS), Jakob Poeltl (SAS), Trey Lyles (SAS) and Luke Samanic (SAS) are all “out” for Saturday’s contest against the Phoenix Suns. Dejounte Murray (SAS) and Rudy Gay (SAS) are both listed as “questionable”. This is a meaningless game for San Antonio, so there’s a chance they could sit as well. This puts players like Drew Eubanks (SAS), Keldon Johnson (SAS), Devin Vassell (SAS) and Gorgui Dieng (SA) in play. If Murray and Gay sent you can also consider Lonnie Walker (SA) and Patty Mills (SA).
-Choose your “beefcake” wisely in cash games. The “studs and scrubs” approach will dominate lineup construction today in both cash games and tournaments. Ideally, you want to choose scrubs from teams that have nothing to play for (Chicago, San Antonio is locked into the #10 play in spot, Boston is locked into the #7 seed and Minnesota) and studs from teams that want to win. I know it sounds simple enough, but you’d be surprised how many lineups will deviate from this strategy. Sticking with guys like Julius Randle (NYK) in cash games and surrounding him with some of the aforementioned value plays would be a wise move.
-Spend up at center in tournaments. Many of the value plays on today’s slate will occupy the center slot in cash games on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you want to construct a unique lineup you should consider paying up at the position. Guys like Karl Anthony Towns (MIN) and Nikola Vucevic (CHI) present a deal of risk, considering the fact that the Timberwolves and Bulls have nothing to play for. That being said, they should go low owned today and could present GPP winning upside if they play their usual allotment of minutes.
-Who are a couple of my favorite tournament options on this slate? T.J. McConnell (IND), Coby White (CHI), R.J. Barrett (NYK) and Domantas Sabonis (IND) make the list.
-In a nutshell, I’m using a mixture of San Antonio Spurs and Boston Celtics value plays, along with Julius Randle (NYK) to bring my team to “NBA DFS glory” in cash games. That’s my current cash game strategy, but we all know how things tend to change very quickly as we get closer to tip off. You’ll need to stay alert and available in the event that things get weird. (GPP Tip: This tip is pretty self-explanatory. Do the opposite of what I just said. Another viable tournament strategy for this slate is to roll with a balanced lineup. The biggest mistake that I make when going with a “studs and scrubs” approach in tournaments is either using too many of the chalky value plays or using the wrong ones. Sometimes it’s best to let your opponent make the mistakes by avoiding situation entirely.)