Ricky Sanders breaks down tonight’s 6-game NBA DFS slate!!
Players are based on DK pricing/positions. Plays noted with (FD) are notably good plays on FanDuel. Please read the entire article, as the rankings are explained in the bottom half (along with what news can radically shift these rankings).
- Tyler Johnson
- Stephen Curry
- Mike James
- Lonzo Ball
- Trey Burke/Jalen Brunson
- Landry Shamet
- D’Angelo Russell/Tim Hardaway Jr.
- Caris LeVert
- Andrew Wiggins
- P.J. Dozier
- Kevin Durant
- Brandon Ingram
- Josh Richardson
- Kevin Porter Jr.
- Michael Porter Jr.
- Kevin Durant/Blake Griffin
- Kristaps Porzingis
- Zion Williamson
- Juan Toscano-Anderson
- Aleksej Pokusevski
- Draymond Green
- Karl-Anthony Towns
- Guillermo Hernangomez
- Goga Bitazde (pivot to Oshae Brissett if he is out)
- Jeff Green
- Steven Adams
- Nikola Jokic
Top Stud over $8K: Kevin Durant
Top Value under $5K: Guillermo Hernangomez
DK Core: Kevin Durant, Tyler Johnson, Trey Burke, Guillermo Hernangomez
Top Stud over $8K: Kevin Durant
Top Value under $5K: Tyler Johnson
FD Core: Kevin Durant, Tyler Johnson, Guillermo Hernangomez, Tim Hardaway Jr.
Key News to Watch:
Goga Bitazde – Similarly to my article earlier in the week, Goga Bitazde is listed as questionable for tonight’s contest, which leaves the Pacers frontcourt in flux. Injuries will already keep out both Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner so no Bitazde would lead to a healthy dose of Oshae Brissett. Over the course of the last week and a half, Brissett has played 38-plus minutes in a game thrice, and this could set up to be the fourth of the kind if Bitazde were out. Now, if Bitazde suits up, he is a great play in his own right, costing just $4,000 on DK and $4,900 on FD. He has played 22-plus minutes twice over the course of the last two weeks and has topped 28 DK fantasy points in each of those outings. Either way, a Pacers big man will be playable, but, yet again, Bitazde’s status will determine which.
Jeremy Lamb – The only other questionable player on the slate at this point is Jeremy Lamb and Justin Holiday has been one of the main beneficiaries of his absence. In eight games with Lamb this month, Holiday has averaged 15.8 DK fantasy points per game compared to 20.8 DK fantasy points per game in seven games without Lamb. Otherwise, most everyone else’s production has remained stagnant, other than Edmond Sumner. Until last game, Sumner had been on a tear, playing 34-plus minutes in back-to-back games and scoring 20-plus in each. Upon closer look, he shot lights out in each of those games, so the production was probably unsustainable anyways. Still, in a game with the highest total on the slate by 7.5-points, Sumner certainly has a chance at a positive outlier shooting performance yet again…he is just best-suited for tournaments.
Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers – No Kyrie Irving leaves the Nets with just one of their big three (Kevin Durant) and just in time for Durant’s minute limit to be completely removed. Durant should anchor an offense that Vegas is implying will score 125-plus points tonight. In all formats, he is a tough-to-impossible fade. Beyond Durant, Tyler Johnson and Mike James will split the point guard minutes, and the minutes between the two has been inconsistent as of late. Given recent minute allotments, Johnson possesses the safer floor, but James has played 21-plus minutes twice in his last three (whereas Johnson has only played over 20 once in that span). Neither provides much in the way of offense so Blake Griffin, who has topped 30 DK fantasy points in back-to-back games, should be called upon to play a major role on offense as well. On the Pacers side, it is unclear how the frontcourt will shape up, but Malcolm Brogdon and Caris LeVert will clearly be heavily involved. LeVert has posted a dud in back-to-back games while Brogdon disappointed in a game the team got blown out by the Trail Blazers last time out also. Outside of their main scorers and frontcourt, Edmond Sumner saw his minutes cut in the last game, and Doug McDermott is lacking a true ceiling. Focus on the names mentioned in this tidbit and there should be clear skies ahead.
Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves – Surprise, surprise, a Timberwolves game is being headlined in one of my articles. On days I write, this team always seems to be playing in massive total games with close spreads, and the Timberwolves are all of a sudden playing competitive basketball. Since D’Angelo Russell returned to the rotation, the team is 7-6, including three straight wins (two against the Jazz and one at the Rockets) heading into tonight. Yet again, Karl-Anthony Towns draws one of the best possible matchups on the slate, as the Warriors have been murdered by opposing centers for most of the season; they rank 23rd in defensive efficiency versus the position and allow the sixth most points per-48 minutes to the position. However, with Kevon Looney back, they have improved drastically, ranking first in defensive efficiency over the course of the last 10 games. It should be noted they have faced Nikola Jokic and Joel Embiid during that stretch although there were some subpar centers mixed in also. All of this is a long-winded way of saying Towns is a very good play but not the lock he was the other day. D’Angelo Russell should thrive in this game environment and it is somewhat of a revenge game. Over the course of his last four games, he has dished out seven-plus assists three times, and the uptick in assist rate is a great sign for his overall prospects. On the Golden State side, Kent Bazemore will earn additional playing time with Kelly Oubre Jr. out, and he is one of the top values of the slate. Stephen Curry is a threat to score 30-plus points and the fast-paced nature of the game should lead to Draymond Green flirting with a triple-double. This is easily amongst the top two game stacks of the night and should be treated as such.
Slate Edges: Draymond Green