Ricky Sanders breaks down tonight’s 6-game NBA DFS slate!!
Players are based on DK pricing/positions. Plays noted with (FD) are notably good plays on FanDuel. Please read the entire article, as the rankings are explained in the bottom half (along with what news can radically shift these rankings).
- Stephen Curry
- Kyrie Irving
- Malcolm Brogdon
- D’Angelo Russell
- Damian Lillard
- C.J. McCollum
- Marcus Smart
- Edmond Sumner (especially if no Jeremy Lamb)
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (if no Luka Doncic)
- Andrew Wiggins
- Kevin Porter Jr.
- Jaylen Brown
- Kelly Oubre Jr.
- Danuel House
- Norman Powell
- Christian Wood
- Blake Griffin
- Oshae Brissett/JaKarr Sampson (prefer Brissett’s minute floor)
- Robert Covington
- Jae’Sean Tate/Jaden McDaniels
- Giannis Antetokounmpo
- Karl-Anthony Towns
- Kelly Olynyk
- Tristan Thompson
- Jusuf Nurkic
- DeAndre Jordan
Top Stud over $8K: Karl-Anthony Towns
Top Value under $5K: Blake Griffin
DK Core: Karl-Anthony Towns, Blake Griffin, D’Angelo Russell, Edmond Sumer (especially if no Lamb)
Top Stud over $8K: Karl-Anthony Towns
Top Value under $5K: Tim Hardaway Jr. (especially if Doncic out)
FD Core: Karl-Anthony Towns, Tim Hardaway Jr., Kevin Porter Jr., Christian Wood
Key News to Watch:
Luka Doncic – Since the Mavericks play a whopping five games this week, it is not surprising to see the team resting players sporadically, and the questionable tag has hit Luka Doncic tonight. With the team trying to avoid the play-in tournament in the playoffs, each game is important from here on out, so there is no telling whether Doncic actually plays or not. Last month, Doncic missed a total of four games and Kristaps Porzingis led the team with 49.9 DK fantasy points per game (FPPG) during that stretch. However, he is listed as doubtful tonight, as is Josh Richardson, leaving Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Brunson and Trey Burke as the likeliest beneficiaries (since they will be needed to run a majority of the offense). In the frontcourt, Maxi Kleber is questionable as well, so Dorian Finney-Smith should play heavy minutes, and he has averaged almost 33 DK FPPG in three games without Porzingis this month. Similarly, the team should play more Dwight Powell and Boban Marjanovic, who have averaged 18.5 and 13.4 minutes per game (MPG) respectively without Porzingis in April. The status of Doncic is absolutely worth keeping an eye on as it will change the entirety of the Mavericks outlook.
Goga Bitazde – The Pacers are already without Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner so no Bitazde would lead to a healthy dose of Oshae Brissett. Over the course of the last week, Brissett has played 38-plus minutes in a game twice, and this could set up to be the third of the kind if Bitazde were out. Now, if Bitazde suits up, he is a great play in his own right, costing just $4,000 on DK. He has played 22-plus minutes twice over the course of the last two weeks and has topped 28 DK fantasy points in each of those outings. Either way, a Pacers big man will be playable, but Bitazde’s status will determine which.
Dallas Mavericks @ Golden State Warriors – The Mavericks situation has been covered already although it should be noted Finney-Smith is questionable in his own right. Content will be updated after the Mavericks finalize their active roster for the night but they are hard to pin down at this point with at least four questionable players (including J.J. Redick). On the Warriors side, well, they are extremely thin, as I am projecting them for just an eight-man rotation tonight. Normally, when healthy, the Warriors like to play 11-12 deep, so this form of the rotation is impactful to the values of, well, everyone. On DK, Kevon Looney is extremely cheap for a player projecting for minutes into the upper-20s, but his ceiling is virtually non-existent. Higher ceiling players like Stephen Curry, Kelly Oubre Jr., Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are the ones to focus on in tournaments. Oubre Jr. is projecting for 35-plus minutes and Green has registered a rebounds/assists double-double in back-to-back contests. Sure, the Warriors are favored here, but not by much, meaning this game could remain close throughout. If that is the case, these Warriors will play heavy minutes, and stacking them will be a profitable way to approach the slate.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets – Two of the league’s worst teams squaring off may not move the needle for the average NBA fan but it sure should be exciting for fantasy purposes. Right now, the Timberwolves sit as 1.5-point favorites in a game with a 234-point total, and this game may fly a bit under the radar with the Trail Blazers/Pacers game sporting the highest total (242-points). Karl-Anthony Towns’ matchup jumps off the page against a Rockets team that ranks 25th in defensive efficiency versus opposing centers and has allowed a 55.7-percent FG rate to the position. Jaden McDaniels, like Looney, is a solid source of minutes but a questionable source of upside. If stacking the game, playing McDaniels makes some degree of sense. Ricky Rubio is reasonably-priced across the industry but D’Angelo Russell being back has hurt his playing time. Still, the defensive stats and box score filling nature of his skill set can propel him to a respectable outing versus an awful defense. On both sites, the price points are close enough that Russell’s upside so far exceeds Rubio, making Russell the clear play of the two if the salary is available (plus he is finally coming off a 50-plus fantasy point explosion so maybe he can get on a roll here). Christian Wood and Kevin Porter Jr. are the best plays on the Rockets but named like Kelly Olynyk and Jae’Sean Tate are projecting for 33-plus minutes also. On FD, Danuel House is priced near the bare minimum, so he is a fine site-specific play. A pair of the league’s worst defenses squaring off could lead to a competitive, scoring bonanza, and that has my attention.
Slate Edges: Karl-Anthony Towns/D’Angelo Russell stack