Check out the Cash Game Breakdown for tonight’s 8-game slate!!
Hey guys, I’m filling in for Armando today, but he will be back rocking the Cash Game Breakdown soon.
Tonight we have a healthy 8-gamer in the Association which should give us plenty of options for cash. Let’s dive right into it and talk about some of the top plays on the slate!
Dennis Schroder ($6200 DK, $5900 FD) – Schroder tends to fly under the radar a little bit but he’s been a very consistent wing man for LeBron James since Anthony Davis went down. He’s likely going to see mid-30s minutes in a close game, which this one projects to be, and his usage rate hasn’t dipped below 24% over the past six games. That minutes and offensive load gives Schroder a great shot of getting us 5x-6x his salary in this one.
Jrue Holiday ($6500 DK, $5800 FD) – Holiday was sidelined with Covid for a significant stretch in February and has been eased back into the lineup over the past five games. Last game he ramped up to 32 minutes and now we’re seeing a situation where his salary hasn’t adjusted yet to his upgraded minutes projection, especially on FD. The Bucks also have the highest projected total on the slate and are playing in a game that should be filled with fantasy goodness. Holiday is coming off a solid 38 fantasy point outing against this same Wizards team two days ago.
De’Aaron Fox ($9100 DK, $9000 FD) – Fox has been on a massive heater the past three games, putting up some huge fantasy scores. His usage rate has regularly been well above 30% over the past 8-9 games and now we have what should be an absolute track meet against Charlotte. If you caught Lunch Money this morning, both Ricky and Frank expect this game to hit the over of 239, which should make for a great fantasy environment.
Deandre Melton ($4600 DK, $5400 FD) – This is really a DK only play at the pricing. Memphis has ruled out Justise Winslow for load management, which should open up some additional minutes off the bench for Melton. Melton is a sneaky good offensive player who makes for a strong value at $4600 if we’re getting 24-26 minutes out of him, which he should have a pretty good shot at with Winslow out.
Caris LeVert ($7000 DK, $4100 FD) – We’ve got one of the widest discrepencies in salary that you’ll ever see between sites here. LeVert is overpriced on DK but significantly underpriced on FD. LeVert returned after a two month layoff, started and played 27 minutes in his return against Phoenix two days ago. LeVert is an outstanding talent and point per minute producer and assuming he sees another 25+ in this one, the $4100 price tag is way too low.
James Harden ($11,000 DK, $11,300 FD) – With Kevin Durant likely out for another couple weeks, it will continue to be the James Harden and Kyrie Irving show for the Nets. Harden has 60+ fantasy points in seven of his last 10 games. He’s regularly hovering around 40 minutes of action and his usage rate is off the charts. So far this is a relatively injury/covid-free slate so there’s not a ton of obvious value to make a true stars and scrubs lineup, and my preferred spendup is Giannis, but if we can get enough value to open up later on in the day, jamming in Giannis/Harden wouldn’t be a bad way to go.
Immanuel Quickley ($5600 DK, $4600 FD) – Quickley is a decent play at the price on DK but a we’re getting some really nice value on FD. As mentioned in the Burks writeup, the Knicks are without a couple of key guard pieces and we know that coach Thibideau likes to run a tight rotation with whoever he has. And outside of Julius Randle, RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley this squad as it currently stands is filled with low-usage players, which should give Burks plenty of opportunity to shine.
Will Barton ($5300 DK, $5500 FD) – It’s been a bit of an up and down season for Barton but he appears to have found his groove over the past six games. His minutes have ranged from 28-36 over that stretch with a floor of 26 fantasy points and a ceiling of 35. The big thing is we are seeing him become much more involved in the offense with a usage rate above 20% in most games and topping out at 24.8% last game.
RJ Barrett ($6200 DK, $5700 FD) – This should shape up to be a pretty good spot for Barrett. As Ricky mentioned this morning, the Knicks have three extremely low-usage players in Frank Ntilikina, Reggie Bullock and Nerlens Noel in the starting lineup, which leaves Barrett and Julius Randle to do the heavy lifting with this starting group. Quickley and Burks will both come in and be aggressive offensively, but Barrett should have 14-16 minutes of prime opportunity at the beginning of the first and second halves to do his thing to go along with the rest of the minutes he’ll get.
Kawhi Leonard ($8900 DK, $9100 FD) – If you want to pay up here, this is a nice price for Kawhi on both sites, down from the 9400 to 9700 we were seeing earlier in the year. One of the issues with rostering Kawhi is that we don’t always know if we’re going to get the 35+ minutes that we’d like to see if we’re paying this price, but this Clips/Mavs game has a close spread within two points and if it stays close, we should get those Kawhi minutes.
Alec Burks ($4400 DK, $4100 FD)– Burks is a SF on DK but a SG on FD. The Knicks will be without Derrick Rose for sure and likely Elfrid Payton, who is doubtful, which should open up some additional minutes for Burks off the bench. He’s played 26 and 27 minutes the past two games with the Knicks short and has gotten up a total of 30 shot attempts. He’s a very nice salary saver on DK where the value options are currently fairly scarce but can certainly be used on FD as well at just $4100.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (11,100 DK, $11,100 FD) – I apologize for beating this already dead horse, but with the generally improved minutes outlook for Giannis, he’s putting up consistently high scores that will almost always provide a really nice base for our cash teams. We’ve got an outstanding game environment with Bucks/Wizards having the highest projected score on the slate and Giannis is the most dominant player in the game. He’s just a really strong, safe cash option today.
Kristaps Porzingis ($8300 DK, $8100 FD) – Much prefer Porzingis if Ibaka is out. If he is, it’s going to be difficult for Zubac to chase him out to the three point line while Marcus Morris will have a hard time matching up with his length. Dallas didn’t play yesterday and they don’t play tomorrow so this should be a likely spot for Porzingis to get 33-34 minutes.
Kyle Kuzma ($6000 DK, $5600 FD) – Not a bad time to hop on the Kuzma train. The past two games he’s played, including Friday, Kuzma’s usage % has been above 30%. He’s been getting up a ton of shots and really hitting the boards. Kuzma has been a little banged up but he should be ready to roll tonight after a couple days of rest.
Julius Randle ($9800 DK, $9200 FD)/Domantas Sabonis ($9600 DK, $9100 FD) – Both guys are cash game staples in fine matchups, we’re just in a situation where we only have enough salary to make our lineups and getting up to Giannis should be a priority today. If you can make it work, both project pretty well tonight.
*Center is a bit of a difficult position to fill tonight. Nikola Jokic very clearly has the highest projected raw total at the position on the slate but he doesn’t project very well point per dollar. Still, if you’d like to lock in those points on FD, he’s certainly an option and even though the median projection isn’t that great, he’s always going to have upside. On DK, we have more positional flexibility so we can use Giannis there as well if we want to look for our value at other positions.*
Cody Zeller ($4900 DK, $4300 FD) – We should expect around 24-25 minutes out of Zeller tonight, which is ok, but really we are playing the matchup here as Sacramento is a poor rebounding team and this projects to be a very fast paced game where there should be rebounding and easy basket opportunities for Zeller. Nothing exciting, but this is a spot where we can save some salary with Zeller, who has a great shot of hitting value at a position that is a little difficult to fill tonight.
Jonas Valanciunas ($7600 DK, $7400 FD) – Another way to go here is Valanciunas, who has been playing very well and getting a ton of run of late with 30, 37 and 32 minutes the past three games. Even though Deandre Ayton is a much improved defender since his rookie season, Jo-Val is a load in the paint and a big time fantasy producer at 1.3 fppm, it’s really just a question if the minutes will hold up for Jo-Val.
Montrezl Harrell ($6200 DK, $5800 FD) – The Lakers continue to be without Marc Gasol and Damian Jones has started in his place (Anthony Davis is out as well), which is great because Harrell is coming off the bench and maximizing time against opposing bench players but has still seen 30+ minutes in each of the past two games. It’s kind of the best of both worlds for him as the minutes are up but he’s playing lots of minutes against inferior players.
Ivica Zubac ($4600 DK, $4400 FD) – This is a play we’d only want to look at if Serge Ibaka is ruled out. Ibaka is Q after leaving last game with a back injury. Zubac is never a guy who is going to play big minutes, but he’s cheap and a strong point per minute producer – over a fantasy point per minute – so getting 24-26 minutes out of him would make him a very strong play today and he’d have a good shot of getting that if Ibaka were to miss.
FD Core: Giannis, LeVert, Quickley, Holiday
DK Core: Giannis, Burks, Barton, Schroder