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PAY ATTENTION TO THE SLATE TIMES today, especially for the usual “main” slate, which starts at 5:40pm EST!
Bassitt will be the lock-button chalk play on the early slate, likely >50% owned on DK.
Turnbull probably the best/most popular SP2, as well as Wheeler.
DC & Tommy tend to fade Wheeler bc he’s usually overowned.
Unfortunately, those three are really the only guys on the slate who aren’t able to put up negative numbers, everyone else sucks. Eflin is the worst.
Sanchez & Bailey are the only other two playable ones (Sanchez > Bailey), but both are risky.
Garbage pitching slate, overall.
Williams will be the best play, & likely the chalk, unless Rizzo sits for CHC, in which case Castillo will be close to a lock-button play (at least on DK). Castillo still playable if Rizzo is in.
No interest in Quintana, Wainwright, Teheran, Stroman, or Covey.
If you need to get away from Williams &/or Castillo, it should be one of Pineda, Swanson, or Lauer.
TEX/KC will be mega-chalk.
MIL LHB vEflin are attractive.
DC recommends not approaching this slate w/ traditional “stacking” mentality. Pick a few mini stacks & one-offs & try to get 2-3 guys who will be low owned.
It’s a shitty slate, just put a lineup together. There really aren’t any BAD plays.
Love TOR (vCovey).
CHW is a sneaky stack, no one usually targets Stroman & they have a ton of upside.
MIN/SEA is the main game to target (MIN>SEA) for the bulk of your LUs.
CHC are a fun sneaky option. Castillo is good, but he does make mistakes.
MIL (LH) (early)
Position By Position
Players can be played on both sites & in both formats unless otherwise specified. The guys’ favorite plays will be in bold. “Lock-button”-type plays will be in BOLD CAPS. Positions listed are from FD.