Chris Paddack (SD)– $8900 on Fanduel/$10,200 on DraftKings:
Paddock has the luxury of not only pitching at home tonight, but he also gets to face the Baltimore Orioles (ranked 23rd in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching).
He also brings a 26.5 K% (10.9 SS%) to the table. That level of strikeout upside, when combined with his salary and matchup, makes Paddock a fine choice in both cash games and tournaments.
He’ll likely be a highly owned commodity tonight, so consider making a pivot to a lesser owned “ace” (for lack of a better word) in GPPs.
Caleb Smith (MIA)– $9400 on Fanduel/$10,600 on DraftKings:
Smith doesn’t have a great matchup ahead of him when he faces Arizona (21.1 K %, ranked third in wRC+ against left-handed pitching), however, he does have a slate high 31.0 K% (14.1 SS%).
Going up against the Diamondbacks is enough to take Smith out of my cash game player pool, however, that type of strikeout upside puts him near the top of my “GPP wish list”.
If you’re still on the fence, consider the fact that Smith pitches better at home. That might be enough to put you on “Team Caleb”.
Merrill Kelly (ARI)– $7800 on Fanduel/$8200 on DraftKings:
I wouldn’t consider Kelly a great starting pitcher (19.1 K%, 9.8 SS%), however, he does have a great matchup tonight when he takes on the Marlins in Miami (ranked 29th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching).
Any other night he might not make my radar, but with a Coors Field game on the slate, you’re going to want to save some money for “beefcake” hitters.
In this case, you can use Kelly as an SP2 in cash games and place him under the “beggars can’t be choosers” column.
Patrick Corbin (WAS)– $10,500 on Fanduel/$10,800 on DraftKings:
Do you remember when I said you should consider making a pivot to a lesser owned “ace” in GPPs tonight?
Well, Corbin is your guy.
His salary and matchup against the Atlanta Braves (ranked ninth in wRC+ versus left-handed pitching) will decrease his level of ownership while his 28.4 K% (13.5 SS%) puts his upside near the top of the bunch.
I often talk about playing the “ownership game” in DFS. Vegas has Corbin as a -145 favorite, so this is certainly a situation you’ll want to take a chance on.
Sonny Gray (CIN)– $9200 on Fanduel/$9400 on DraftKings:
Gray also finds himself in a situation where the “irresistible force” meets the “immovable object”, at least when it comes to this slate.
He brings a sexy 28.7 K% (10.6 SS%) and 55.2 GB% to the table, but has to face a stingy Pittsburgh Pirates team (19.2 K%, ranked 11th in WRC plus versus right-handed pitching).
I won’t risk my hard-earned bankroll in cash games to find out who wins this battle – even though Vegas thinks he’ll wind up victorious (-180 favorite) – but I will have Gray rostered in a GPP lineup or two.
Jamie Barria (LAA)– $7200 on Fanduel/$7200 on DraftKings:
I just saw live footage of Barria getting ready for tonight’s matchup against Detroit and I could have sworn I saw him licking his chops (ranked 30th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching).
Barria might only have slightly greater than average strikeout upside against any other team (22.7 K%, 11.0 SS%), however, he’ll have an opportunity to give his best “Cy Young impression” tonight against the Tigers (league worst 26.6 K% versus right-handed pitching).
He’s a slate high -240 Vegas favorite so consider Barria a viable SP2 option in both cash games and tournaments.