Zack Greinke (ARI)– Greinke wins today’s “which righty gets to face the Marlins sweepstakes” (ranked 29th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching). He’s been strong lately with 49.0, 58.0, 21.0 and 46.0 Fanduel points in his last four outings. He has also used his 23.7 K% (9.8 SS%) effectively, with nine strikeouts in two of his last three starts. Vegas likes his chances at success, as he’s a -167 favorite. Time to get on board in cash games.
Griffin Canning (LAA)– Canning hasn’t been a model of consistency lately (19.0, 40.0, 10.0, 1.0 and 27.0 Fanduel points in his last five starts), however, a matchup against Baltimore could put him on the right path (ranked 26th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching). Vegas thinks his future is bright, as he’s the largest favorite on the slate (-230). You can have faith in Canning and his 25.5 K% (13.8 SS%) in cash games. EDIT: Canning is not starting tonight and has been replaced by Nick Tropeano.
José Urquidy (HOU)- After two less than stellar starts, Urquidy came through with a gem against Texas (one earned run on two hits with nine strikeouts through 7.0 innings). Armed with a 30.4 K% (14.2 SS%), he will be out to prove that his last outing wasn’t a fluke. He’s only a mild Vegas favorite (-105), however, he’s still in a good spot versus the St. Louis Cardinals (ranked 22nd in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching). He’s not an exceptional value on Fanduel, but his salary on DraftKings makes him worth the risk in cash games. He’ll likely be very heavily owned, so consider making a pivot in GPPs.
Joey Lucchesi (SD)-. Lucchesi (22.6 K%, 11.3 SS%) is coming off of his worst start of the season (six earned runs on 10 hits, with three walks and three strikeouts on the road against the Chicago Cubs), however, he’s in a nice bounce back spot tonight when he takes on the San Francisco Giants (ranked 29th in WRC + versus left-handed pitching). If you read Ted Schuster’s MLB Cash Game Breakdown, you already know that he is a better pitcher at Petco Park, allowing just a .255 wOBA at home this season. Vegas likes his chances at success as a GPP option (-148 favorite), and so do I.
Michael Pineda (MIN)- With the above starting pitching options available, I expect Pineda to fly under the radar tonight. He doesn’t have a flashy strikeout rate (22.1 K%, 12.6 SS%) and his opponent (Chicago White Sox) has an implied run total of 4.5. Let’s not forget that the White Sox are ranked 23rd in WRC plus against right-handed pitching and have a 26.0 K% against righties. He’s a strong Vegas favorite (-155) and a strong GPP option as well.
Additional starting pitchers to consider in GPPs include: Lance Lynn (TEX) and Derek Norris (DET) – as a GPP pivot off of Urquidy.