1.Jacob deGrom – The Mets’ ace has returned to dominance and will face the hapless Marlins in Miami tonight. There is no better matchup in all of baseball, especially for a right-hander pitcher like deGrom that thrives against fellow right-handers. He put up 30 fantasy points against them last time out, and frankly that’s about his floor in this matchup. He’s expensive, he’ll be chalk, but he’s also essentially a free square on your lineup. On a 15-game slate he’ll be popular, but his price and the fact there are so many options will hold his ownership down, at least to some degree. I advise paying up if you can.
2. Max Scherzer – I do have Scherzer quite a bit behind deGrom, though he’s still easily my second highest projected pitcher tonight. There will be an ownership gap between Scherzer and deGrom, no doubt about it (with deGrom higher owned) but in my opinion the gap will not be big enough where I’m willing to play Schezer over deGrom in my own lineups. It is extremely difficult to fit both Scherzer and deGrom in on DraftKings, though there just may barely be enough value to squeeze them in if you really want to.
3. Jon Gray (GPP) – Gray comes with some risk, as he typically does, going up against a powerful Philadelphia Phillies’ lineup in a park where power hitters can thrive. It’s still a nice park upgrade for Gray, though, who obviously pitches half his games at Coors Field. While home runs could bit him here, there should be plenty of strikeouts as well. Gray’s numbers when he’s on the road vs. right-handed batters are extremely impressive with a 35% strikeout rate and low walk rate as well. The Phillies are also very right-handed heavy, and their lefties, Bryce Harper, Cesar Hernandez, and Odubel Herrera, all have decently high strikeout rates as well. I think we could see double digit strikeouts out of Gray here and if he can limit the long ball we could see a gem and some pretty low ownership.
4. Frankie Montas – We’ve been on Frankie from the jump this season and he hasn’t let us down. He’s been solid basically every time out and has the chance to be much more than that against a horrible Tigers’ offense. Montas throws some serious gas with secondary pitches to back it up, and in my estimation there is still a lot of growth left to come here. That’s an exciting prospect and there is an absolute gem coming from Montas sometime soon. Could very will be tonight as the matchup is certainly there for it.
1.Aaron Sanchez – Not the most exciting option as he gets blown up all the time, but Sanchez did have one of the best strikeout performances of this career last time out and if you’re looking to spend on bats, you’ll need a cheap option. There is risk here, for sure, but Sanchez does have strikeout upside here against the White Sox in good pitching conditions. At $6900 on DK he’s worth a shot.
2. Ivan Nova – I definitely don’t *want* to use Ivan Nova, who is a low strikeout pitcher facing an improved Blue Jays lineup. But he’s improved recently and I think there may be just a little something here with Nova going forward. He’ll pitch in nice cool conditions in Chicago and you’re really hoping for 6 solid (not spectacular) innings from Nova and a win. He could very well do it vs. the Blue Jays, though of course he’s always susceptible to the long ball as well. It’s just a price play at $6200 and you’re hoping to survive Nova and win with the bats.
3. Joey Lucchesi (FD only) – He’s just super cheap on FD and in a good matchup. He’ll be very chalk. Play in cash, if you want. I’ll be fading in GPP though.