It’s definitely the last normal Friday of the regular season since the final one next week will likely have some truly tough and watered-down lineups. Not to mention crazy pitcher scenarios that could throw off all logic. As for today, it’s a fairly similar situation to what we’ve seen most of the season – Dodgers, Astros, Yankees, Twins and Braves all in good matchups facing less than stellar starting pitchers.
Angels’ righty Jaime Barria is a strange bird. A reverse-splits pitcher for his second consecutive season as he has served up a whopping 13 homers and a .392 wOBA to opposing right-handers. Of course we can use the lefties (Alvarez, Brantley) but Altuve, Bregman and Springer are the priorities for this stack. Altuve is my favorite for cash games.
The Twins have a gorgeous matchup against a guy who needed September roster expansion to crack the rotation (Eric Skoglund). In 14 major league innings this month, Skoglund has allowed more homers (three) than he has strikeouts (two) and has walked seven batters along with 13 runs allowed. Between Double-A and Triple-A this year, he has an ERA of just under 6.00 in 73 innings. The Twins are my favorite stack of the night and I’ll want to load up in cash games (Cruz my favorite player straight up).
The Dodgers at home are intriguing as well. Cody Bellinger is still fighting for the NL MVP and it’s a great matchup for him and his teammates against horrendous Rockies’ rookie Peter Lambert who has a swinging-strike rate under eight percent and pretty terrible ratios (6.99 ERA, 1.71 WHIP – and that’s not even Coors-leaning as his road ERA is 6.69.
The Mariners and Orioles matchup is the best game stack you can find. An over the hill King Felix, a bad Orioles starter and two of the worst bullpens in baseball. If you want to get sneaky, you can stack against J.A. Happ with his former team – a young and smokin’ hot lineup in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.
- Astros (v LAA – Jaime Barria)
- Twins (v KC – Eric Skoglund (L))
- Dodgers (v COL – Peter Lambert)
- Yankees (v TOR – Jacob Waguespack)
- Braves (v SF – Tyler Beede)
- Marinersand Orioles (King Felix vs. TBD – Brooks? Woj?)
- Nationals (@ MIA – Robert Dugger)
- White Sox (@ DET – Jordan Zimmermann)
- Blue Jays (@ NYY – J.A. Happ (L))
- Blue Jays
Chalk Home Run
- Cody Bellinger (LAD)
- Nelson Cruz (MIN)
Sneaky Home Runs
- Gavin Lux (LAD)
- C.J. Cron (MIN)
(based on ideal pricing per site)
DK: Gardner(OF) + Cruz(OF) + LaMarre(OF) + K.Seager(3B)
FD: Gardner(OF) + Gurriel Jr.(OF) + Garver(C/1B) + Sano(3B)
Notice I don’t have Yasmani Grandal among my options tonight but I won’t fault you for considering him. Outside of that random five-homers allowed game in Wrigley with the wind blowing out and Pirates’ lefty Steven Brault has been stingy with allowing homers (just 10 in 101 innings not including those 2.2 at Wrigley). Narvaez and Garver are guys you’d have to spend up on over on DraftKings which means they will be rather low-owned. Perez against the lefty is a great play, as is Piña who has cooled off of late but is hitting .319 with a .400 wOBA against left-handed pitching (that same Brault where we brought up Grandal). Collins is hitting .136 but has a little bit of steam these last couple games and is a decent punt target facing old-man Zimmermmmmannn.
- Omar Narvaez (LH/SEA)
- Mitch Garver (RH/MIN) – FD lock
- Roberto Perez (RH/CLE)
- Zack Collins (LH/CHW)
- Manny Piña (RH/MLW)
Freeman is the top play at the position despite sitting at 38 homers for almost two full weeks now. He needs to join his 21-year-old teammate in the 40-HR club this weekend. Abreu has been a stud this season and he happens to hit Zimm well (11-for-26 with 2 HR). Gurriel is priced way too decently and it’s that RvR matchup we talked about with Barria. Cron has been bad but does hit lefties well while Mancini is a solid cash game play but is getting up there in price.
- Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL)
- Jose Abreu (RH/CHW)
- Yuli Gurriel (RH/HOU)
- C.J. Cron (RH/MIN)
- Trey Mancini (RH/BAL)
Altuve is one of my favorite all-around bats on the slate but the problem is fitting everyone in. Hiura is a bit pricey on DK and you’ll probably only see him in MLW stacks, which I’m not sure I love today. That makes him a tournament option for today’s slate. Look to see if these two Dodgers (Muncy, Lux) are in the lineup. I’m feeling a homer from the rookie Lux tonight.
- Jose Altuve (RH/HOU)
- Keston Hiura (RH/MLW)
- Gavin Lux (LH/LAD)
- Max Muncy (LH/LAD)
- Jonathan Schoop (RH/MIN)
Sano has been incredibly reliable of late. A great cash game play and if I were making three lineups (which I probably am), I’d play him on at least two tonight. Seager is the probably the guy I’ll play on my third lineup with that matchup in Baltimore while Guerrero Jr. is my punt play because you’re still getting him at a great price and he’s in Yankee Stadium.
- Miguel Sano (RH/MIN)
- DJ LeMahieu (RH/NYY)
- Anthony Rendon (RH/WAS)
- Kyle Seager (LH/SEA)
- Josh Donaldson (RH/ATL)
- Vlad Guerrero Jr. (RH/TOR)
I’m sure you’ve noticed a theme here these last couple weeks – Lindor as the top option at the position that is. He’s always in play whether he’s facing a lefty or righty. It’s just a matter of price and being able to fit him. Turner and Bregman are your other spend-ups with Bregman being my preferred play because of the matchup and power upside. Seager is a good mid-ranged option while Crawford and Perez are your punts. Crawford’s BvP against Folty sticks out to me as he’s 10-for-19 with three homers against him.
- Francisco Lindor (SW/CLE)
- Trea Turner (RH/WAS)
- Alex Bregman (RH/HOU)
- Corey Seager (LH/LAD)
- Brandon Crawford (LH/SF)
- Hernan Perez (RH/MLW)
If I could play just one expensive outfielder, it’d be Nellie Cruz. He smashed two homers last night and is just one away from 40. Bellinger and Springer are the two other studs vying for that spot on my main team but playing two of these guys on the same lineup might be hard to do unless you literally build around them. Great for cash games, all three of these guys!
- Nelson Cruz (RH/MIN)
- Cody Bellinger (LH/LAD)
- George Springer (RH/HOU)
- Ronald Acuña (RH/ATL)
- Juan Soto (LH/WAS)
This may feel like a random mix of mid-rangers but they are all carefully hand-selected for this slate based on matchups and other factors. Gardner is under 3k on FD and he’s hard to pass on given his recent power surge (five homers in his last eight games an averaging 12 DKP/G over his last 10). Puig has multi-hit games in three straight and has now reached base safely in every single game this month. Pederson has been stuck on 32 homers since September 4 but that was quite a two-game span where he crushed four homers. The team he faced? The Rockies, at home.
- Brett Gardner (LH/NYY) – FD lock
- Yasiel Puig (RH/CLE)
- Joc Pederson (LH/LAD)
- Randal Grichuk (RH/TOR)
- Kyle Lewis (RH/SEA)
- Ryan Braun (RH/MLW)
Let’s see what type of value opens up once lineups come out but this is what I’ve got for now. Gurriel Jr. is an easy play on FanDuel on what is once again a mispriced salary. He crushed a bomb last night and faces Happ the lefty. Gurriel Jr. has a massive .381 wOBA against lefties (and just .204 against righties). LaMarre is my DK special at just $3200 there while Mr. McBroom is back in our lives at just $2600 on DK, available as a 1B, but a preferred play here in the outfield if you really need the cap space.
- Lourdes Gurriel– FD (RH/TOR)
- Ryan LaMarre (RH/MIN)
- Matt Joyce (LH/ATL)
- Josh Reddick (LH/HOU)
- Ryan McBroom 1B/OF on DK(RH/KC)
- Nick Martini (LH/SD)