Our season is slowly winding down and these are probably the last few days before things really get crazy between strange lineups, studs from playoff clinching teams resting and certain pitchers getting less than usual workloads.
Today’s slate includes Coors Field with the Cardinals coming to town and it’s a stack that will take much of our attention today in cash games since it’s Chi Chi Gonzalez and his 7.29 ERA on the mound for the Rockies. To make matters worse (but better for those using Cardinals) is that the Rockies’ bullpen has allowed a league-high 2.79 HR/9 over the last two weeks. Use those bats with confidence today.
There are always many ways to go on a slate like this. The Dodgers have an implied total of over six runs today because of the matchup with the Orioles in their friendly hitting environment. Their starting pitcher Ty Blach is someone Dodgers’ bats are familiar with from his days with the San Francisco Giants.
The Astros will be a top-three stack on recency bias alone. But it’s not bias technically when we’re talking about the best offense in baseball. They dropped 15 runs on these’ A’s last night in a hurry and it’s a particularly good spot for these Houston lefty bats as Roark has a .369 wOBA against left-handers. Impressive though that Roark has improved that wOBA by nearly 40 points since coming to the A’s, so you can keep that in mind but don’t let it be a deciding factor for not using Astros.
Not sure how sneaky they’ll really be but on such a big slate, value stacks will be a’plenty. One of them that shouldn’t be more than 10 percent owned are the Indians against Angels’ rookie lefty Jose Suarez who sports a 6.45 ERA and a 2.50 HR/9 this season as he continuously gets blasted.
The Cubs in the late games are in play against a rookie SP who is coming from Double-A for just his second big-league start (Ronald Bolaños).
Finally, a quick consideration for Mariners in GPPs for the ballsy types. Trevor Bauer could certainly rack up double-digit K’s against this group but could also serve up 3 HR and 6 ER in the process. Something to think about if you’re building many lineups and want to get weird.
- CARDINALS (@ COL – Chi Chi Gonzalez)
- ROCKIES (v STL – Michael Wacha)
- ASTROS (v OAK – Tanner Roark)
- DODGERS (@ BAL – Ty Blach (L))
- RED SOX (@ TOR – bullpen game)
- INDIANS (@ LAA – Jose Suarez)
- CUBS (@ SD – Ronald Bolanos)
- MARINERS (v CIN – Trevor Bauer)
- WHITE SOX (v KC – Jakob Junis)
- DODGERS, CARDINALS, INDIANS, ASTROS LHH’s, BRAVES
Chalk Home Run
- Marcell Ozuna
Sneaky Home Run
- Juan Soto
(based on ideal pricing per site)
FD: Albies (2B) + Ozuna (OF) + Edman (OF) + Donaldson (3B)
DK: McBroom (OF) + Ozuna (OF) + Rizzo (1B) + Suarez (3B)
Molina should be the most popular option on DK with a reasonable 4.3k tag and a date in Coors Field. However, he offers very little power and upside. Contreras facing a rookie in his second career start or Smith in Camden feel like much better options. Narvaez is priced down for the matchup with Bauer though both you and I know that can go one of two ways very easily.
- Yadier Molina (RH/STL)
- Willson Contreras (RH/CHC)
- Will Smith (RH/LAD)
- Roberto Perez (RH/CLE)
- GPP only – Omar Narvaez (LH/SEA)
Plenty of solid mid-priced options on DK and FD as most folks will look to spend up at 3B, OF and SP. Goldschmidt is the priciest option on FD yet comes in fifth highest (5.1k) on DK where I’m sure he’ll be popular. Ironically, three 1B-eligible Dodgers take up the top-three spots price wise (Bellinger 1B/OF, Pederson 1B/OF and Freese). Santana has just 10 of his 33 homers against lefties but it’s more than half his plate appearances (421 vs. RHP, 194 vs. LHP) and he’s hitting a cool .331 this season against lefties (Angels’ rookie Suarez is horrendous). Rizzo against the rookie in San Diego is a nice late-night hammer. McBroom will be popular if he’s in the Royals’ lineup today as he’s only $2,000 on DK – hard to pass up. Vogelbach has been awful since the break (batting .169) but still hits homers and we’re sticking with that sneaky theme of using Mariners in multi-entry GPPs tonight.
- Paul Goldschmidt (RH/STL)
- Carlos Santana (SW/CLE)
- David Freese (RH/LAD)
- Anthony Rizzo (LH/CHC)
- VALUE – Ryan McBroom (LH/KCR)
- GPP only – Daniel Vogelbach (LH/SEA)
Call him the man with the bad contract, call him man on fire – Albies doesn’t care. Just consider him for your DFS lineups as he has five double-digit fantasy point efforts in his last seven and is facing a lefty. Wong deserves consideration since he’s been hitting in the top-third of the lineup offering a degree of both pop and speed lately. Altuve is a constant among 2B’s and Arraez is our punch-and-judy slap hitter who could produce a meaningful effort without actually going deep. Spangenberg didn’t get a hit last game after eight straight with a hit but did drive in a run last night. Hernandez should be in the mix as well in Baltimore if he’s in the lineup.
- Ozzie Albies (SW/ATL)
- Kolten Wong (LH/STL)
- Jose Altuve (RH/HOU)
- Luis Arraez (LH/MIN)
- Cory Spangenberg (LH/MLW)
- Kike Hernandez (RH/LAD)
Boy oh boy, the position is loaded! Donaldson, Suarez and Arenado are your big bashers with 20+ point upside tonight. Donaldson has five homers in his last 10 alone while Suarez has six over the same period of time and is just six homers shy of 50. You *could* go the value route since there are three viable options but I don’t think that’s necessary on a main lineup tonight as this is the position that’s always top-heavy with studs. Moncada is 7-for-17 with 2 HR against Junis in his career so consider him as a low-owned option as well.
- Josh Donaldson (RH/ATL)
- Eugenio Suarez (RH/CIN)
- Nolan Arenado (RH/COL)
- Tommy Edman (SW/STL)
- Yoan Moncada (RH/CHW)
- Justin Turner (RH/LAD)
- VALUES: Travis Shaw (LH/MLW), Abraham Toro (SW/HOU), Jedd Gyorko (RH/LAD)
Story and Lindor are in fantastic matchups but are expensive tonight. DeJong will probably be the highest-owned SS tonight given the perfect matchup against Chi Chi and a struggling bullpen. Segura is a one-off as a lead off guy against a lefty (Fried) while Mondesi has a good matchup against Nova with multi-SB upside.
- Trevor Story (RH/COL)
- Francisco Lindor (SW/CLE)
- Paul DeJong (RH/STL)
- Jean Segura (RH/PHI)
- Adalberto Mondesi (SW/KCR)
- Xander Bogaerts (RH/BOS)
Tough to pick among this group as it’s littered with studs as per usual. Alvarez cranked out another 2 HR last night and if you can believe it, has 72 RBI in his first 71 major league games – why stop now? Acuña is arguably the best hitter on the planet as he hit his 38th bomb last night and is closing on a 40-40 season. Ozuna will probably be the highest-owned expensive outfielder given the high implied run line as the centerpiece of Cardinals’ stacks.
- Yordan Alvarez (LH/HOU)
- Ronald Acuña (RH/ATL)
- Charlie Blackmon (LH/COL)
- Marcell Ozuna (RH/STL)
- Betts/Martinez (RH’s/BOS)
- GPP – Juan Soto (LH/WAS)
Castellanos is averaging 12.3 DKP over the past 10 days with five homers in that span as he’s found new life with the Cubbies and is turning into a certifiable star. Pollock should be the leadoff man in Baltimore which carries its weight in gold. Soler, Rosario and Reyes offer two-homer potential in tonight’s matchups while Brantley is cash game gold almost every time a righty is on the mound.
- Nick Castellanos (RH/CHC)
- A.J. Pollock (RH/LAD)
- Jorge Soler (RH/KCR)
- Eddie Rosario (LH/MIN)
- Michael Brantley (LH/HOU)
- Franmil Reyes/Oscar Mercado (RH’s/CLE)
Plenty of options among the cheap bats on a full slate and many of these guys will help open cap for some big stacks and decent starting pitchers. Renfroe faces a good pitcher (Quintana) but a lefty nevertheless while Bader is one of the only St. Louis bats under 4k on DK. If Grisham leads off again, he’s in the conversation after smacking a homer as cheap chalk yesterday. Ervin should be considered as well if he’s in the lineup and leading off. Last, but certainly least, Brinson will probably fool us again but, for what it’s worth, he’s 2-for-2 with 2 HR against Chase Anderson in his career. Can lightning strike thrice?
- Hunter Renfroe (RH/SDP)
- Khris Davis (RH/OAK)
- Harrison Bader (RH/STL)
- Trent Grisham (LH/MLW)
- Eloy Jimenez (RH/CHW)
- Lewis Brinson (RH/MIA)
- Phillip Ervin (RH/CIN)