A very unique travel-day Thursday slate where we have no games early on. All eight of them start at regular main slate time. The slate appears as straightforward as could be from the perspective of projecting ownership, meaning most will attempt to jam in as many Red Sox and Yankees as humanly possible.
The Angels-Red Sox game will have some foul weather, so we’ll have to keep tabs on possible delays. If we’re good to go, very much like J.D. Martinez as a primary lock-em-in play coming off a game where he went yard and facing a lefty at home. Angels’ lefty Dillon Peters has allowed five homers in 25 big league innings thus far and will have his hands full in this one. Note that most of the Angels’ bullpen are righties, but handedness doesn’t particularly matter for most of this crew when they’re scorching.
Love the Yankees, of course, but I honestly wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if lefty Thomas Pannone shocks the world and stifles them. He whiffed nine batters in his last start, averages nearly a strikeout per inning and has a decent 10 percent swinging-strike rate. His ratios this season are far worse than he actually is. Of course the better percentage play is that the Yankees bats smash, but in GPPs, it’s a spot to differentiate by avoiding them altogether on one of your three three-entry max lineups.
Other spots of interest include Braves since these bats are straight blazing. Playing in Miami is never ideal for hitters and second-year righty Elieser Hernandez is going to be a slightly above-average MLB pitcher. I’m not messing with Twins bats against the studly Mike Clevinger but this is still the league’s best offense we’re talking about with the Twins so you can never count them out completely.
Cubs righty bats against Reds’ lefty Alex Wood is an interesting GPP spot as are the Indians facing Kyle Gibson in a good hitting environment. Gibson does have a solid 1.08 WHIP at home (.216 BAA) and three nice starts in his last four.
With Nola and Bum on the mound in AT&T Park, there’s no reason to go chasing the bats here in what will likely be a 2-1 game between one bad offense and a struggling one. The other game projected to be low scoring is COL-SDP. We all know how much the Rockies struggle on the road and lefty Eric Lauer has been fantastic at home (2.60 ERA). Lauer has done a nice job of managing right-handed bats (.301 wOBA).
Finally, don’t be surprised if a couple of these Blue Jays’ bats pop off. Domingo German has been sharp most of the year but has allowed eight homers in his last four starts. Note that two of those were against the Red Sox and another was the Twins. Nevertheless, there’s a nice little spice to these Jays with Bichette and Vladdy Jr. in town.
- Red Sox (v LAA – Dillon Peters, LHP)
- Yankees (@ TOR – Thomas Pannone, LHP)
- Braves (@ MIA – Elieser Hernandez, RHP)
- Indians (@ MIN – Kyle Gibson, RHP)
- Blue Jays (v NYY – Domingo German, RHP)
- Angels (@ BOS – Chris Sale, LHP)
Chalk Home Run
- J.D. Martinez
Sneaky Home Run
- Nick Castellanos
DK: Aaron Judge (OF/NYY) + J.D. Martinez (OF/BOS) + Sam Travis (1B/BOS) + Nick Castellanos (RH/CHC)
FD: Jose Ramirez (3B/CLE) +J.D. Martinez (OF/BOS) + Nick Castellanos (OF/CHC) + Sam Travis (1B/BOS)
- Christian Vazquez (RH/BOS) – Three double-digit DKP in his last four games; pristine matchup
- Austin Romine (RH/NYY) – Two homers in his last three games, filling in well for El Gary
- Kevan Smith (LH/LAA) – Not much pop, but smacking LHP is his thing; he’s facing one of the best in Sale, but one that’s down on his luck; Smith is 3-for-6 against him too
- PUNT- Jake Rogers (RH/DET) – A bit of spunk in his bat and speed in his legs facing a pitcher (Jorge Lopez) who is often pushed around
- Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL) – Everyone’s favorite; if you want to fade the chalk play just about any other first baseman
- Carlos Santana (SW/CLE) – A six-game hit streak and 4 HR in 38 PA vs. Gibson
- PUNT– Sam Travis (RH/BOS) – Cheap; double-digit DKP in two of last three
- Jason Kipnis (LH/CLE) – .424 with 14 RBI (4 HR) over his last 10; also 14-for-34 against Gibson
- Ozzie Albies (SW/ATL) – 30+ DKP in each of his last two games; a nice pairing with Freddie
- Michael Chavis (RH/BOS) – Going to fall under the radar in BOS stacks but deserves consideration
- PUNT– Jose Peraza (RH/CIN) – 4-for-9 with a homer vs. Hamels but he’s cheap for a reason: because he stinks! Probably not the punt I want to run with today but listed regardless
- Kris Bryant (RH/CHC) – Boasts a .373 ISO against left-handed pitching this year
- Jose Ramirez (SW/CLE) – Back to the JoRam we’re used to; playable in cash and GPPs daily
- DJ LeMahieu (RH/NYY) – Leadoff stud and MVP candidate has already surpassed his career-best home run mark (up to 18 now)
- Nolan Arenado (RH/COL) – Arenado against a lefty is against the grain only because he’s on the road
- PUNT Harold Castro (LH/DET, 2B/OF on DK) – Preferred punt to Peraza today
- Xander Bogaerts (RH/BOS) – Can’t spell Boston stack without Bo-gaerts
- Bo Bichette (RH/TOR) – Ten games in his career and has a hit in every single one so far; stud
- Javier Baez (RH/CHC) – Solid .360 ISO and 170 wRC+ against left-handed pitching
- GPP- Trevor Story (RH/COL) – Four hits (two homers) in six career at-bats vs. Lauer; homered yesterday
- GPP- Francisco Lindor (SW/CLE) – Frankie is always in play, regardless of the pitcher on the mound
- BEST PLAY– JD Martinez (RH/BOS) – About to be the hottest man in baseball next few weeks
- Mookie Betts (RH/BOS) – We’re going all-out with Red Sox today and Mookie is cheaper than usual on DK
- Mike Trout (RH/LAA) – Give me Trout in the matchup of Trout vs. Sale; also, that bullpen isn’t very forgiving; Trout’s 28th year should be a doozie
- Ronald Acuña (RH/ATL) – One of baseball’s top five hitters this year; leads league in SB over the past month
- DK VALUE- Aaron Judge (RH/NYY) – Has just been treading water and that’s why he’s so cheap on DK; and being cheap is why he’ll be chalky today; play in cash
- Nick Castellanos (RH/CHC) – Good lord! Hitting .359 against left-handed pitching this year
- Cameron Maybin (RH/NYY) – 32, 18, 14, 11: those are his last four game logs/DraftKings points
- GPP– Oscar Mercado (RH/CLE) – Someone you’ll want to include on your contrarian CLE stacks
- GPP– Hunter Renfroe (RH/SDP) – Massive power bat; only Yelich has more homers in MLB over this calendar year
- Aristides Aquino (RH/CIN) – Both MLB homers have come against LHP (also 5-for-10)
- GPP–Franmil Reyes (RH/CLE) – In a cold, hard slump in AL (hitless last four games) which means his price has dropped considerably; didn’t hit 27 HR by accident so could be a nice tourney play
- FD VALUE– Ian Desmond (RH/COL) – An against-the-grain play if you want to get sneaky
- FD PUNT–Lewis Brinson (RH/MIA) – Minimum salary on FD and in play as a punt against a lefty pitcher if you’re feeling lucky; could swipe a bag if he gets on base