We are nearly to August, which means the home stretch is on the horizon. Just a couple months left of grinding daily baseball for us and a good time for us to stay focused while others fall into the allure of football.
This 14-gamer features four teams with implied run totals greater than six (Dodgers: 7.3, Rockies: 6.7, Yankees: 6.65, Angels: 6.3) as you have Coors Field in action and Yankees and Angels facing two of the worst starting pitchers in the league.
Dbacks’ rookie Taylor Clarke is a homer machine, allowing 13 over his first 11 starts and one appearance. He only kept a ball from leaving the yard in two of those.
Meanwhile, Tigers’ Drew VerHagen has pitched just 10 major league innings this season, yet has allowed 16 earned runs which translates into a 14.40 ERA. Crazier chalk-busting has occurred this season but these Halo bats are still good plays up and down the lineup.
Other chalky’ish’ stacks include Rangers against Mike Leake and Mariners against Ariel Jurado, which could very well be a solid game stack in 95-degree Texas heat.
Toronto righties against Royals’ Mike Montgomery are decent plays. Though Montgomery likely won’t pitch more than five innings (if he’s efficient), he really is not as bad of a pitcher as his 2019 numbers (6.09, 1.77) may suggest. He did manage five innings (64 pitches) against the Indians in his last outing, allowing just one run but, unfortunately, no strikeouts.
Coors may be more popular on the Dodgers’ side of things since it’s Kyle Freeland toeing the rubber for them today. Most have respect for Julio Urias so I wouldn’t anticipate the Rockies being very chalky today.
Getting sneaky, those pesky Dbacks righties in Yankee Stadium could very well drop a boatload of runs.
Everyone seems to love and root for Reynaldo Lopez and he’s been pitching the best ball of his career over this past month, but I do believe these Mets bats can be dangerous today.
A very inconsistent Joe Musgrove takes the mound in Cincy and he’ll likely be chalky on DK since he is so cheap (just $5100). I’d lean on the side of playing him but would still consider a hedge stack against him if I’m building multiple lineups.
Finally, the Royals against second-year mediocre righty Sean Reid-Foley will certainly be an against-the-grain stack for tourneys today. As they say, never trust a man with three first names.
Chalky Stacks: NYY, LAA, LAD, TEX, TOR, SEA
Sneaky Stacks: ARI, NYM, CIN, KCR
Chalk Home Run: Mike Trout
Sneaky Home Run: Matt Thaiss
Core 4: Thaiss (1B on DK) + Trout (OF) + Turner (3B) + Grichuk (OF)
- Omar Narvaez (LH/SEA) – Best straight up cash play given the matchup and reliability. Hitting almost .300 this season from the middle of the Mariners lineup.
- Dustin Garneau (LH/LAA) – Cheap punt option and a differentiation play from an otherwise chalky Angels’ stack.
- Russell Martin (RH/LAD) – Very ineffective this season, but we’re in Coors and the pitching matchup is nice. Guessing Will Smith gets the day off.
- Travis d’Arnaud (RH/TBR) – Eight homers in 97 PA against lefties this season.
- Carson Kelly (RH/ARI) – A .396 AVG and .434 ISO against lefties; my favorite GPP catcher.
- Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL) – A solid .415 wOBA against RHP taking on a below-avg Erick Fedde.
- Luke Voit (RH/NYY) – Already spoke of Clarke’s penchant for serving up longballs.
- Edwin Encarncion (RH/NYY) – Only .228 vs RHP but has 20 of his 30 HR this year against them.
- Daniel Vogelbach (LH/SEA) – A massive .307 ISO against righties this season. Jurado garbagio.
- Josh Bell (SW/PIT) – 4-for-9 (2 HR) vs. Roark; Roark has a .397 wOBA against lefties.
- Whit Merrifield (RH/KCR) – The one Royal I’d go to war with in cash games. Hitting .302 with 15 swipes this season.
- Rougned Odor (LH/TEX) – Eight homers in July is his most in a month since July of 2017.
- Eduardo Escobar (SW/ARI) – Hitting .354 with a .430 wOBA against left-handed pitching.
- Gleyber Torres (RH/NYY) – Just getting a piece of that Yankees stack in an ideal matchup.
- Justin Turner (RH/LAD) – No homers in 24 PA against Freeland but has 12 hits (that’s .522).
- Matt Thaiss (LH/LAA) – Power-hitting rookie smashed two bombs on Sunday and followed it up with a two-hit game yesterday. So cheap and playable at 1B or 3B on DK (3B only on FD).
- Nolan Arenado (RH/COL) – Usually at home against a lefty is ideal but Urias is god-like.
- Jose Ramirez (SH/CLE) – Contrarian play vs. Verlander but he’s .407 with 2 HR against him in 32 PA. One of the hottest hitters on the planet right now.
- Mike Moustakas (LH/MLW) – A’s Bassitt serves up nearly 12% BB vs lefties and has allowed 10 dingers against them.
- PUNT: Travis Shaw (LH/MLW) – If he happens to be in the lineup, a very tempting play at just $2200 on DK to help salaries work
- Trevor Story (RH/COL) – If you play him, pair him with Arenado on a contrarian stack which isn’t so contrarian when you realize it’s Coors and against a lefty (albeit, a dominant one, but how many innings can Urias actually pitch?)
- Francisco Lindor (SW/CLE) – 10-for-29 with a .423 wOBA in 33 PA against Verly.
- Bo Bichette (RH/TOR) – The rookie call-up I’ve been waiting for and I’m going to play him today.
- Luis Rengifo (SW/LAA) – Your punt option if he’s in the lineup.
- Mike Trout /Shohei Ohtani (RH, LH/LAA) – The top plays among the pricy guys. Very little explanation needed when you see that it’s VerHagen on the mound.
- A.J. Pollock (RH/LAD) – Prefers to hit lefties and he’ll face a subpar one in a great hitting environment.
- Christian Yelich (LH/MLW) – Not ideal as opposing offenses just seem to struggle in this pitcher’s park but Yelich is the exception to most things this season.
- Ketel Marte (SW/ARI) – It’s almost always a Marte Partay when a lefty is on the mound.
- Lourdes Gurriel (RH/TOR) – 10 dingers in just 99 PA against lefties this season.
- Justin Upton /Kole Calhoun (RH, LH/LAA) – Calhoun has three homers in his last five while Upton is just so dirt cheap on DK ($3600) but that’s because he can’t hit his way out of a paper bag these last couple weeks. Might be a nice recharge spot for him.
- Hunter Pence/ Nomar Mazara (RH, LH/TEX) – Play those Rangers’ bats against Leake in this type of environment. Leake has a 5.60 ERA away from his home field.
- Jeff McNeil / Michael Conforto (LH’s/NYM) – A couple of sneaky bats if you think regression rears its ugly head for Reynaldo.
- Bryce Harper (LH/PHI) – Nice hitting environment in Philly today so the youngster Beede could get touched up.
- Ramon Laureano (RH/OAK) – Hitting .333 over the past 10 days and could be your late-night hammer at low percentage.
- Teoscar Hernandez (RH/TOR) – Last three DKP: 18, 14, 28. I’ve been waiting to pick up Teoscar for this week’s juicy games in season-long so may as well use him in DFS too.
- Shin-Soo Choo (LH/TEX) – Oh yea, almost forgot Big League Chooooo!
- Juan Lagares (RH/NYM) – So cheap, and though he offers almost no power, he could string a couple hits together for you.
- Randal Grichuk (RH/TOR) – Homered and tripled yesterday; play your Jays this week.
- Kris Negron (RH/LAD) – Nothing special as a hitter though he was just traded to the Dodgers where hitting is infectious. He should be in the lineup in Coors Field today.
- Kevin Pillar (RH/SFG) – I’m praying Drew Smyly follows up last week’s gem with another here, and I’d love to use him in my lineups today. If you were already thinking along the same lines, you may want to consider a Giants’ hedge stack here because outside of that last start, it’s been dirty dirty for Drew this season.