Ya boy is back! Back in the saddle as a dad bringing you big phat stacks to help you cash. It sure feels like we’re in a heyday: the hottest part of the summer with so many double-digit implied run totals it makes our head spin.
In addition to the whopping 14-point total in Coors (SFG-COL) we have WAS-BAL, DET-CLE, TOR-BOS, CIN-CHC, NYM-MIN and ARI-TEX all set in Vegas with implied run totals between 10 and 11. So many stacks to choose from that we don’t necessarily have to put all of our eggs in the Coors basket.
We do have some rain around our great nation, which in most spots looks like there may be delays that could affect starting pitchers, but should be alright for hitters. Always be sure that you’re checking weather reports throughout the day and specifically in the hour before lock. As of now, the following look to be trouble spots rain-wise: Progressive Field (DET-CLE), Wrigley Field (CIN-CHC), Target Field (NYM-MIN), Camden (WAS-BAL) and Busch Stadium (PIT-STL). For this reason, most of the hitters I like from these games will be listed as GPP options.
Stacks-wise, I do very much like the Rockies and their whopping 7.5 total, but so will most, and they are expensive. That means paying down for pitchers (especially easy to do on FanDuel) or just grabbing a few key pieces there.
Otherwise, I very much like the Indians (6.75 IRL) at home against lefty Ryan Carpenter, Nats’ bats (6.1) against Asher Wojciechowski, Red Sox taking on rookie Jacob Waguespack and some Dodgers (righties and lefties) facing the volatile Vince Velasquez.
The Indians game does appear to have the biggest possibility of rainout or early postponement so be careful there. Some of the sneaky stacks worth looking at are the Cubs’ lefties taking on Anthony DeSclafani, White Sox against Glenn Sparkman and the A’s at home against lefty Marco Gonzales.
Chalky Stacks: COL, SFG, BOS, WAS, CLE
Sneaky Stacks: CHW, OAK, CHC, LAD
Favorite Stacks: CIN, COL, WAS, CHW
Chalk Home Run: Nolan Arenado
Sneaky Home Run: Yasiel Puig
Core 4: Arenado (COL)+ Altuve (HOU)+ Betts (BOS)+ Puig (CIN)
CASH: Travis d’Arnaud (RH/TBR), Roberto Perez (RH/CLE), Buster Posey (RH/SFG)
d’Arnaud is riding the hot hand, having the most epic of performances yesterday with three homers. The thing about d’Arnaud is he’s always been a decent power hitter when healthy so this shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. He’ll likely be leading off again with a lefty (Sabathia) on the mound. Perez has been a true lefty masher (.323 ISO) but also has maintained a fantastic .292 average against them. It gets no worse than Tigers’ Carpenter allowing a 2.63 HR/9 this season. Posey had a nice start to Coors (3-for-5 with a homer) and now has two of his five homers in his last three games. Very affordable at just $4200 on DK.
GPP: Gary Sanchez (RH/NYY), Chance Sisco (LH/BAL), Christian Vazquez (RH/BOS), Francisco Mejia (SW/SDP), Victor Caratini (SW/CHC)
Sanchez is due, last hitting a bomb on the 4th of July. The Yankees are at home working against lefty Jalen Beeks for the bulk of the middle innings. Sanchez is hitting lefties with just as much aplomb as righties (.293 ISO vs. .311). Sisco, Vazquez, Mejia and Cartini round out the GPP options. Very few will play Vaz on DK for $4700 but why wouldn’t you at least consider it? Five homers in his last 10 with an insane 1.174 OPS over that span. Mejia listed here because he’s the punt option at under five percent ownership against a decent right-handed rookie (Yamamoto).
CASH: Brandon Belt (LH/SFG), Pete Alonso (RH/NYM), Joc Pederson (LH/LAD), Jose Abreu (RH/CHW)
Belt has a .320 average at Coors Field over the last 3.5 seasons and is very nicely priced on both sites considering the matchup. Alonso is perfect for this slate as he’ll certainly go under-owned as the Mets don’t boast a huge IRL. Michael Pineda has been better over the past month but is still prone to longballs. Joc is in play for a Dodgers’ offense that should go under-owned considering all the potential high-scoring stacks we have. Abreu is simply us picking on Sparkman.
GPP: Anthony Rizzo (LH/CHC), Paul Goldschmidt (RH/STL), Mark Canha (RH/OAK), Joey Votto (LH/CIN)
If weather is okay, Rizzo is my favorite non-Coors first baseman taking on DeSclafani and his .392 wOBA against lefties. The only starting pitchers who have been worse against lefties this season are teammate Tanner Roark (.410 wOBA) and Jordan Lyles (.403). Goldy’s bat has heated up lately so he’s in play against the rookie Agrazal who has allowed three homers over his first three big-league starts. Consider Canha against a lefty as always though he’s just 2-for-12 against Marco G.
CASH: Jose Altuve (RH/HOU), Max Muncy (LH/LAD), Robinson Cano (LH/NYM)
Not many overwhelming options at 2B but Altuve takes the cake as he’s somehow just the 23rd priciest one on the slate on DK. Two homers in his last four and went 8-for-17 in the Rangers’ series. Muncy the lefty against Velasquez the righty is a match made in homer heaven. Cano is simply a DK punt play as he’s usable now since he’s been warmer lately crushing bombs in back-to-back games this weekend.
GPP: Joe Panik (LH/SFG), Mike Moustakas (LH/MLW), Derek Dietrich (LH/CIN)
Panik won’t hit for power but could give you a multi-hit effort and double-digit points rather easily. Mous has cooled off of late but the Brew-Crew is at home taking on 21-year-old rookie Bryse Wilson who is still rather raw and volatile. Dietrich is in play for my Reds stack which I will certainly employ on one of my three main squads today as they take on rookie Alec Mills in his MLB debut.
CASH: Pablo Sandoval (RH/SFG), Nolan Arenado (RH/COL), Rafael Devers (LH/BOS), DJ LeMahieu (RH/NYY)
Pablo didn’t do much at all in the double-header but if he’s in the lineup, he’s a very nice play in Coors. I do prefer Arenado though. There really isn’t a comparison there although anything can happen in one game. Devers has been one of baseball’s hottest hitters over the past month and faces rookie Waguespack. The pitcher held his own against the Red Sox in his second career outing but wasn’t all that great in Triple-A with a 5.30 ERA and 10.6% walk rate. LeMahieu continues to be a cash game staple for us.
GPP: Anthony Rendon (RH/WAS), Matt Chapman (RH/OAK), Jose Ramirez (SW/CLE), Matt Thaiss (LH/LAA)
Rendon has just one homer in his last nine and we prefer to play him against lefties. But having the chance against Woj and this horrendous bullpen is something we just can’t pass up. If the weather holds up and there’s no postponement, make sure you don’t finish building lineups without one Rendon in there. Chapman has never hit a homer off Marco G but is 9-for-20 against him and has been the team’s MVP thus far. Ramirez has three homers over his last six and has bat has been heating up over the past month. My favorite play for the money. Thaiss is your sneaky punt today with his big power upside.
CASH: Trevor Story (RH/COL), Garrett Hampson on FD (RH/COL), Francisco Lindor (SW/CLE), Brandon Crawford (LH/SFG)
Story would easily be leading the National League in runs scored if not for missing about 10 games. He’s tied with Bryant for fourth, behind only Bellinger and the Braves’ duo of Acuna and Freeman. Not as great as we’re used to against lefties this season but still a fantastic play against lefty Pomeranz. Hampson’s your punt if he’s in the lineup while Lindor is the guy you must start your Cleveland stacks with. Crawford will see plenty of love because it’s Coors and because he produced more yesterday than he pretty much has all season (6-for-9 with 3 HR in the doubleheader yesterday, just six homers all season before that).
GPP: Trea Turner (RH/WAS), Elvis Andrus (RH/TEX), Xander Bogaerts (RH/BOS), Andrelton Simmons (RH/LAA)
A few solid run-producers here with Turner, Andrus and Bogaerts today. Turner hasn’t stolen a base in 10 days but this is a fantastic series in Baltimore for the Nats to run wild. Andrus is hitting a cool .300 though the power is a bit light (.108 ISO vs. LHP). Bogaerts has been an absolute monster all season long. Four homers in his last six and with 20 on the year, he’s just three shy of his career best and about 70 games to truly blow that total out of the water. Very expensive but a nice, solid GPP option.
EXPENSIVE: Cody Bellinger (LH/LAD), Juan Soto (LH/WAS), Charlie Blackmon (LH/COL), Alex Dickerson (LH/SFG), Nelson Cruz (RH/MIN), Mookie Betts/ JD Martinez (RH’s/BOS)
Ho-hum, another two dingers for MVP-Belli yesterday. They should keep the offense pouring against the Phillies in this nice power park. Soto and Cruz are two one-offs I like very much based upon their matchups while Blackmon and Dickerson are solid Coors plays. Blackmon is the priciest OF on DK nearing 6k despite the fact that he’s not as good against lefties. But ‘not as good’ still means a .259 ISO and .374 wOBA against them.
MIDRANGE: Jeff McNeil (LH/NYM), Victor Robles (RH/WAS), Ian Desmond (RH/COL), Eloy Jimenez (RH/CHW), Yasiel Puig (RH/CIN), Oscar Mercado (RH/CLE), Kyle Schwarber (LH/CHC)
McNeil boasts the league’s best average over the last calendar year and makes for a nice contrarian pairing with Alonso or in a sneaky stack including Cano and Michael Conforto. Robles and Desmond’s teams have nice totals – Robles has been hot, flashing both power and speed while Desmond is us taking advantage of a LvR matchup in a nice hitters’ environment. The rookie Mercado cranked two bombs yesterday and is a must-play for those employing a Cleveland stack. Puig is basically baseball’s best hitter over the past couple weeks, flashing a .444 average with five homers and a .447 OBP over his last 10. Don’t forget Schwarber against the lefty DeSclafani.
CHEAP: Tyler O’Neill (RH/STL), Garrett Hampson on DK (RH/COL), Billy McKinney (LH/TOR), Khris Davis (RH/OAK), Marwin Gonzalez (RH/MIN), Christin Stewart (LH/DET)
Let’s see what type of value materializes when lineups are out, but right now give me some O’Neill against the rookie Agrazal coming off a big two-homer game. McKinney is back with the big club and is dirt cheap, smashing a value homer against the Red Sox yesterday. Marwin usually has a nice lineup slot with the Twins when a lefty is on the mound and Steven Matz could be a sneaky guy for us to pick on today.