A very happy Memorial Day to you and yours! We have 14 games in total with the concentration of this article on the 10-game main slate that starts at 1:05pm ET. Every AL team is in action today and we have a doubleheader with the Pirates and Reds with Luis Castillo and his squad a big favorite in Game 1.
We’re going to have a full week of Coors Field but Monday’s game is the least exciting from a hitter’s perspective since we have two respectable pitchers on the mound (Greinke and Jon Gray). It’s also the lowest Vegas total you’ll ever see for the Cubs (3.35) as they visit Houston to face Gerrit Cole and the Astros. The two games that may see some stack action are DET-BAL and KCR-CHW – four teams with less than stellar offenses that will all have below-average pitchers on the mound. There is likely to be some fireworks happening here, though weather in both Chicago and Baltimore is expected to be less than ideal for hitters.
Chalky Stacks: Reds, Nationals, White Sox, Red Sox
Lower Percentage/Sneaky Stacks: Orioles, Royals
Stacks to Fade: Blue Jays, Yankees
Core 4 for Cash:
- DK main (10 games): Votto (CIN) + Iglesias (CIN) +Soto (WAS) + Benintendi (BOS)
- FD early (7 games): Dietrich (CIN) + Votto (CIN) + Puig (CIN) + Renfroe (SDP)
CASH: Alex Avila (LH/ARI), Pedro Severino (RH/BAL), Martin Maldonado (RH/KCR)
Avila with the LvR matchup in Coors (and I picked him up on multiple season-long teams so you know he’s gonna hit). Severino is crushing lefties this season (.455 wOBA, .333 ISO) while opposing starter Daniel Norris is serving up 41% hard-contact to righty bats. Maldonado homered off Domingo German yesterday and he’s our resident puntician on DK where he’s oh so affordable.
GPP: Gary Sanchez (RH/NYY), James McCann (RH/CHW), Austin Hedges (RH/SDP)
Sanchez is very pricey and though his career ISO is higher against lefties, I don’t often target hitters against Matt Strahm. Don’t get me wrong, I’ll use hitters against Strahm, but they’ve got to make sense – and at $5500 on DK there are just other pricey bats I prefer today. McCann is also GPP today because I play him mostly against LHP. I will indulge in a cheap Hedges at Yankee Stadium coming off homers in back to back games.
CASH: Matt Olson (LH/OAK), Cron or Walker (RH/ARI), Mitch Moreland (LH/BOS), Joey Votto (LH/CIN),
It’s a very rare occasion where we don’t love the first base position. Many of our studs are off the main 10-game slate or don’t have ideal matchups. I’m good with Olson and I do believe he will be under-owned today. Angels’ starter Trevor Cahill bounced back with a decent outing after sucking hard for two months but still allows a .417 wOBA to opposing lefty bats. Hamate or no hamate bone, it doesn’t matter to Olson who has been crushing (.289 / 3 HR since returning to the lineup 10 days ago). Moreland against Jefry-Rod could work too as the Indians’ starter has a xFIP around 5.00 with a weak 15% K and 8% SwK.
Hmm, I wonder if Votto could finally be turning it around? Three straight multi-hit efforts as he’s managed double-digit DKP in every game of that Cubs series. He’s cheap enough and will likely be the chalkiest 1B of the bunch. I’m not opposed to going with the herd.
GPP: Ryan O’Hearn (LH/KCR), Matt Adams (LH/WAS), Jose Abreu (RH/CHW)
O’Hearn has actually been one of the worst starting hitters in the league this season. But his xStats have been solid and he has been hitting righty pitchers hard (42%). He homered yesterday and has a nice matchup – as do all the Royals – with one very awful starting pitcher named Ivan Nova. Adams has that raw pop and I don’t mind him at all against Jose Urena who we love to pick on with lefty power bats.
DK PUNT: Kendrys Morales (SW/NYY)
CASH: Jonathan Villar (SW/BAL), Whit Merrifield (RH/KCR), Nicky Lopez (LH/KCR)
Very possible that Villar and company have a Coors hangover – that’s my main concern with Baltimore bats. Merrifield hits well and is consistent, but over 5k is a hefty tag. That’s why I’d rather pay down for Little Nicky.
GPP: Jason Kipnis (LH/CLE), Ian Kinsler (RH/SDP), Derek Dietrich (LH/CIN) on FD
Punting seems like a good idea at second base today. Kipnis is only $3600 on DK and Kinsler is even cheaper (and might lead off in Yankee Stadium today). My favorite 2B of them all though is Dietrich, and he’s very affordable on FD (just $2700). I’d make sure to include him on any Reds stack.
CASH: Rafael Devers (LH/BOS), Renato Nunez (RH/BAL), Anthony Rendon (RH/WAS)
Devers has been a machine in the month of May hitting .363 with all six of his homers this month. J-Rod is due to start giving up some dingers and I’d want Devers in my Boston stacks. Nunez is one of the few Orioles who crush left-handed pitching (.310 ISO).
GPP: Alex Bregman (RH/HOU), DJ LeMahieu (RH/NYY), Nolan Arenado (RH/COL)
Not sure if you knew but LeMahieu is hitting .448 against left-handed pitching this season. He’s basically the only Yankee hitting lefties. Did you know they have the least amount of home runs against LHP’s this season with just seven? Their lack of power is one of the reasons why I’m fading Bronx Bombers today. Arenado has zero homers in 67 career plate appearances against Greinke – that’s why he’s a GPP only for me.
CASH: Adalberto Mondesi (SW/KCR), Trea Turner (RH/WAS), Jose Iglesias (RH/CIN)
If I’m paying up, it’s Mondesi or Turner for me. Speed, baby, speed. Paying down, it’s Iglesias to help me fit at other positions. Iglesias has little power but is hitting .307 on the season and has three multi-hit games in his last four.
GPP: Trevor Story (RH/COL), Luis Rengifo (SW/LAA)
Story has a slightly better history against Greinke, and by slightly, I mean, a lot better – 5 HR in 39 PA. Arenado has been hotter and yes, both are at Coors, but if I have to choose, I’m going Story based on BvP. Rengifo has three multi-hit games in his last four and the speedster owes us a couple of steals. Could happen today if he gets on base against a red-hot Bassitt.
EXPENSIVE: Mike Trout (RH/LAA),Trey Mancini (RH/BAL), Juan Soto (LH/WAS), Hunter Renfroe (RH/SDP; cheap on FD), Alex Gordon(LH/KCR; midrange on FD), Mookie Betts (RH/BOS)
Trout has never homered off Bassitt but has four hits in five at-bats against him. Shockingly, there are six outfielders who are pricier than him on DK today. Mancini is the Orioles’ top lefty crusher and if I’m stacking O’s today, he’s the centerpiece. Soto is up there at $5400 on DK and could be the masses’ top spend at the position today. Renfroe is about to earn himself a trip to the Home Run Derby this July. He smashed three homers over the weekend in Toronto and now has 14 on the season.
MIDRANGE: Senzel/ Winker/ Puig (R/L/R, CIN), Aaron Hicks (SW/NYY), Raimel Tapia+ David Dahl (LH’s/COL), Andrew Benintendi (LH/BOS)
You could run with the Reds OF stack and include two of Votto, Dietrich, Suarez or Iglesias. Loaded from top to bottom with Nick Kingham a nice target to pick on. In general, I prefer the cheaper outfielders today as we have more than usual to choose from.
CHEAP: Keon Broxton (RH/BAL), Gerardo Parra (LH/WAS), Eloy Jimenez (RH/CHW), Niko Goodrum (SW/DET), Robbie Grossman (SW/OAK), Jackie Bradley Jr (LH/BOS)
Plenty of options under 4k today on DK. Many of these guys are cheap on FD as well. I just have a good feeling about Broxton with the Orioles this week. He’s been in the lineup and playing centerfield every day. Parra should be in the lineup with a righty on the mound and Eloy has been hot since coming off the IL and gets one of our favorite guys to pick on: Homer Bailey. Goodrum is one of the only left-handed Tigers’ bats in the lineup (a switch-hitter actually) and he’s on a six-game hit streak. He’s got some power coming his way and this is a good place to start.
DK – LATE SLATE
C – Omar Narvaez (LH/SEA), Willians Astudillo (RH/MIN)
1B – C.J. Cron (RH/MIN), Daniel Vogelbach (LH/SEA), Joey Votto (LH/CIN)
2B – Mike Moustakas (LH/MLW), Derek Dietrich (LH/CIN), Ehire Adrianza (RH/MIN)
3B – Asdrubal Cabrera (SW/TEX), Miguel Sano (RH/MIN), Kyle Seager (LH/SEA)
SS – Elvis Andrus (RH/TEX), Jorge Polanco (SW/MIN), J.P. Crawford (LH/SEA)
OF – Christian Yelich (LH/MLW), Jay Bruce (LH/SEA), Hunter Pence (RH/TEX), Joey Gallo (LH/TEX), Ryan Braun (RH/MLW), Jesse Winker (LH/CIN), Carlos Gomez (RH/NYM)