It’s truly an amazing slate on this fine Friday. So many options galore it might make your head explode! Coors Field slates always makes everything more fun. Not only is it never as simple as being able to load up on a Coors game stack because of high salaries, but with other great offensive stacks tonight, it may not even be the wisest choice.
In cash, it’s hard to ignore Rockies’ righty bats when they are at home and facing a lefty. No doubt that rookie Orioles lefty John Means has been fantastic through seven starts and four relief appearances (2.63 ERA, 1.10 WHIP), but keep in mind those are result stats – and there’s plenty of underlying to the contrary including a 5.07 xFIP and below average 18.8% strikeout rate. Coors will be the ultimate test and it’s hard to imagine Means cruising through the likes of Arenado, Story and even veteran lefty-crushers Reynolds and Desmond unscathed.
Other stacks that should come in over 10% owned include the Angels (vs. LHP Drew Smyly – 6.51 ERA, 1.95 HR/9, 15.2% BB), the Twins (eight homers in yesterday’s game and leading the league in runs) and the Athletics (big home favorites taking on LHP Wade LeBlanc who served up 4 HR / 7 ER in his latest start). And we can’t forget some of these Orioles bats against a guy who’s pretty much been a career minor leaguer with stretches of unimpressive runs in the majors (RHP Jeff Hoffman). That means almost every other GPP stack is going to be relatively low-owned.
One of the stacks I hope stays under-owned are the Dodgers (depending on the opposing SP). Who is toeing the rubber for the Pirates is still a mystery, but if they get the pleasure of facing RHP Chris Stratton, then we’re in a good spot. It’s a different looking Dodger Blue squad this season but it’s same old Stratton (1.75 WHIP). These two faced off five times last year and the numbers weren’t pretty (7.32 ERA and 11 BB in 19.2 IP). I’ll be looking forward to some of these lefty bats who crush bad right-handed pitching.
Not even listed here are the Cardinals who will get a Faulty Folty and temps reaching the upper 80’s. But their top guys are always rather pricey. The Mets are always inconsistent but can pop off for an eight-spot at any time. This is potentially one of those nights. And I surely don’t mind looking into a Dbacks stack against LHP Drew Pomeranz as we’ve all seen what these AZ bats can do against them.
Chalky Stacks: Rockies/Orioles, Angels, Twins, Athletics
Lower Percentage/Sneaky Stacks: Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Mets, Cardinals
Favorite one-off:Pete Alonso(NYM)
Core 4 for Cash:
- DK: Arenado (COL) + Desmond (COL) + Pearce (BOS) + Piscotty or Pinder (OAK)
- FD: Arenado (COL) + Pinder (OAK) + Canha (OAK) at UT + Alonso (NYY)
CASH – Chris Iannetta (RH/COL), Yasmani Grandal (RH/MLW) – on FD, Jonathan Lucroy (RH/LAA)
GPP – Gary Sanchez (RH/NYY), Carson Kelly (RH/ARI), James McCann (RH/CHW)
Sanchez had the day off yesterday and should be well rested and ready to pop off again. Three homers in three games in Camden. Jakob Junis is among the home run leaders (HR allowed that is!) since the beginning of 2018 but the game taking place away from Yankee Stadium makes Gary less intriguing, not to mention the dicey weather. You’ll likely see many on Iannetta today at just $4100 on DK. A bit cheaper than that is Lucroy against Smyly and the Rangers’ pen. Lucroy’s metrics against lefties aren’t great and he’s not a big home run threat, but he’s a decent cash game option. Dbacks’ Kelly is 12-for-27 (.444) against LHP this season and he’s hit 3 of his 4 homers this season against them. McCann is a BvP play here today (career 5-for-11 with 2 HR, 7 RBI) even if it is Jose Berrios. Grandal is dirt cheap on FD.
CASH: Pete Alonso (RH/NYM), Mark Reynolds (RH/COL), Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL), Rhys Hoskins (RH/PHI)
First base is loaded today, as it should be on a nearly full Friday 14-game slate. Alonso is my fave today – he boasts a .488 ISO and 61% HH against LHP taking on fellow rookie Geovany Soto in a good hitting environment tonight. Reynolds at home vs. a lefty is just a thing. Sometimes you don’t want to look a gift horse in the mouth. Freeman over Paul Goldschmidt is a tough choice but Goldy hasn’t been his clutch self lately and Mike Foltynewicz may actually rebound here when all least expect it. Freeman could easily pop off against a lately-erratic Miles Mikolas. Last, but certainly not least, we’ve got Hoskins who actually faces a righty today (his preferred platoon) and that righty (Chase Anderson) allowed a 1.71 HR/9 last season and has an ERA (2.66) that portends to some good luck given that 4.77 xFIP. Or a better way to put it – Hoskins in hitters’ haven Miller Park against a righty who serves up homers – done.
GPP: Matt Adams (LH/WAS), C.J. Cron (RH/MIN)
Cron is anything but sneaky these days. Two homers one game, five hits the next. This entire team is on fire and I’m not sure that Reynaldo Lopez is the guy to put it out. If you want to save at the position or get weird then Adams and Pearce are two ways to go. Adams has four hits in five career at-bats against Pablo Lopez and we don’t know which Pablo will show up – the one who served up 10 runs two starts ago or the one who shut out that same team (the Mets, of course!). The answer likely lies somewhere in between and if Adams is in the lineup, I’m intrigued.
Steve Pearce (RH/BOS, also OF on DK) or/and Mark Canha (RH/OAK, cheaper on FD)
Pearce finally got off the schneide hitting his first dinger of the season on Thursday (I popped in the chat before lock letting y’all know I’d have 100% exposure). He’s just so cheap on DK ($3000) and faces a lefty (Miley) who he happens to be 7-for-19 lifetime against. Canha hits exclusively against lefties and has five homers in his last 10. A true righty crusher. Getting Pearce and Canha in your lineup together offers you plenty of flexibility without losing much upside.
CASH: Jonathan Villar (SW/BAL), Brendan Rodgers (RH/COL), Luis Arraez (LH/MIN)
Villar is slashing a pathetic .167/.231/.278 over his last 10 but a series in Coors might be the perfect elixir for him. Rookie Rodgers should be in the lineup today against the lefty. He’s still looking for his first big-league homer but has hit safely in each of his last three games after going 0-for-3 in his debut. Arraez is a nice cash game bat with contact skills who is cheap and in a good matchup.
GPP: Max Muncy (LH/LAD) – DK play, Kolten Wong (LH/STL), Chad Pinder (RH/OAK)
If it’s Joe Musgrove on the mound I’m less bullish on Muncy and the Dodgers’ lefties so let’s hope it’s Stratton. Muncy has a five-game hitting streak and though he’s flashing more power against lefties (.302 ISO v LHP, .194 v RHP) he’s still a better option against righties. Wong is 5-for-9 with a homer, a stolen base and five walks against Foltynewicz over the last few years. It’s going to be great hitting weather at Busch today and Folty has allowed 15 ER in his last three starts. Pinder against a lefty is usually always in play. He was second in HH% against lefties last season behind Braun and crushed two bombs against lefties last weekend.
CASH: Nolan Arenado (RH/COL), Manny Machado (RH/SDP), Matt Chapman (RH/OAK), David Fletcher (RH/LAA, also OF on DK), Rio Ruiz (RH/BAL)
Only one man has hit lefties better than Arenado over the last couple seasons and that’s J.D. Martinez. Arenado against lefties at home is a cheat code, and it’s even better knowing the horrendous bullpen that’ll follow John Means. Arenado has a .444 ISO and .504 wOBA vs. LHP this season. How do we not love Machado in Rogers Centre for such cheap prices? He’s just $3300 on FD today. I’m actually not all that in love with A’s bats today and think Wade LeBlanc has a bit of a bounce-back today but Chapman still works against lefties (.386 ISO) and he’s a midrange option as a potential late-night hammer. As for Fletcher, he will be like 3% owned in cash but he leads off against lefties and you can use him as an OF too (include Trout on those). Fine in GPP too. Ruiz will probably get the start at 3B since Renato Nunez hits under .200 against RHP and Ruiz hits them better (45% HH and a mediocre .327 wOBA compared to Nunez’s .265).
GPP: Eduardo Escobar (SW/ARI), Vlad Guerrero Jr. (RH/TOR), Anthony Rendon (RH/WAS), Miguel Sano (RH/MIN)
Escobar against Pomeranz is a very good matchup. Esco is hitting .364 in 77 AB against them this year with a wOBA well over .400. A nice late-night hammer at a low percentage. The other three (Guerrero, Rendon, Sano) are all in play for the power potential. Guerrero will likely come in lowest percentage because of industry respect for lefty Joey Lucchesi and his churve. Actually wait, Rendon will be even lower owned because he’s basically the same price as Arenado on DK and very few outside of mass multi-enterers are going to make that pivot.
CASH: Trevor Story (RH/COL), Trea Turner (RH/WAS), Gleyber Torres (RH/NYY, also 2B on DK)
Story is the main play today at the position and those planning to have any Rockies’ exposure would be making a mistake to not include him on their stacks or minis. Story was a top-five hitter against southpaws last season but oddly is middle of the pack this season (.342 wOBA, .167 ISO). You can expect those rates to start soaring upward soon. Turner is always a threat to steal any time he’s on base and has multi-hit upside today. Gleyber got a rest yesterday and should be ready to mash again today facing Junis and this sad Royals’ bullpen.
GPP: Xander Bogaerts (RH/BOS), Amed Rosario (RH/NYM), Corey Seager (LH/LAD)
Yes, Wade Miley deserves respect at home but this is a different story with these Red Sox righties who mash left-handed pitching. Bogaerts has a .348 ISO and 48.6% HH against lefties. Rosario is that gut play where I feel he’ll be going deep today, and he’s somewhat cheap. Seager in play more so if it’s Stratton on the mound today.
CASH – Mike Trout (RH/LAA), Dwight Smith Jr (LH/BAL) + Trey Mancini (RH/BAL), Marcell Ozuna (RH/STL)
GPP – Cody Bellinger (LH/LAD) + Joc Pederson (LH/LAD), Raimel Tapia (LH/COL), Mookie Betts (RH/BOS) + J.D. Martinez (RH/BOS)
Trout is pricey but a great cash play against extreme fly-baller Drew Smyly. Will you be able to fit him in with good pitching and Rockies’ bats? Probably not and most won’t. That’s why you should try. If running with any Orioles against Hoffman, the projected 2-3 hitters (Smith, Mancini) are who I’d want. Betts will go under-owned since Miley gets respect at home and it’s a Coors slate. His teammate JDM is sneaky if you see that he’s ok to play. He’s had a back issue and illness and both have kept him out of playing this week. If he starts you can be rest assured it means he’s ready. Ozuna in great weather against Folty and also the lefty bats for the Dodgers if Stratton starts. Last, but not least, you can consider Tapia today too. He’s been hitting lefties well (.378 wOBA / 43.5% HH) despite being a slap-hitting lefty himself.
MIDRANGE: Aaron Hicks (SW/NYY), Ian Desmond (RH/COL), Nelson Cruz (RH/MIN), Franmil Reyes (RH/SDP), Ketel Marte (RH/ARI), Mark Canha on DK
Desmond will likely be the highest percentage of the midrange because of the ‘at home vs the lefty’ narrative and decent price tags ($4600 DK, $3500 FD). Hicks could work well as part of a sneaky Yankees’ stack against Junis. Cruz is expected to return to action today and if so is in play right away. The Franimal in Rogers Centre intrigues me and I’m not worried about the rookie Trent Thornton. Marte against lefties has been a thing since last season and he’s got 5 HR against them already this season.
CHEAP: Stephen Piscotty (RH/OAK), DK Flex: Pinder (OAK), Pearce (BOS), Fletcher (LAA), Garrett Cooper and/or Brian Anderson (RH/MIA), Wil Myers (RH/SDP)
Certainly don’t mind many of the options in this range. Piscotty is hitting .373 with a team-leading 11 RBI in 56 PA against southpaws this season. The A’s have a few pieces we can stack today even though Khrush Davis will be out and I’d be looking at Piscotty, Pinder and Canha. The rest of these guys have been previously mentioned though the Marlins guys haven’t and they are certainly in play against rookie Kyle McGowin making his first MLB start. Myers is way too cheap since he’s been awful but in Toronto today he’s a sneaky punt.