- The most popular stack will likely come from the TEX-KCR game with Lance Lynn and Homer Bailey on the mound. Lynn has an odd reverse split this season (.318 wOBA vs LHP, .371 vs RHP) where it’s always been the other way around. Either way, expect rookie second basemen Nicky Lopez to be a popular play since he’s cheap on both FD ($2400) and DK ($3300). He’s shortstop only on both sites so hopefully they’ll adjust to his rightful position so you can play him and Mondesi together whenever you’d like to.
- Willie Calhoun went yard in his first MLB game of the season yesterday and is an outright bargain on FanDuel ($2100). Best believe these Rangers lefty bats will be popular as they now have four OF-eligible bats of that handedness (Gallo, Choo, Mazara and Calhoun). Calhoun DH’d yesterday giving Hunter Pence the day off. This OF/DH situation is getting crowded with these five guys in the mix but it’s always easier to build when the opposing starting pitcher is a righty.
- Anibal Sanchez (WAS) is allowing a .423 wOBA and 2.81 HR/9 to left-handed bats this season. Consider using some of these Mets lefties (McNeil, Conforto, Nimmo) and you can maybe skip Robinson Cano as he’s been horrendous in May (.209 – 0 HR – 1 RBI in 46 PA).
- Both Chris Bassitt (OAK) and Spencer Turnbull (DET) have been utterly excellent this season. Each of these guys have ERA’s currently under 2.60 though their end-of-season ratio will likely end up somewhere close to 3.50 so correction is coming for both. Bassitt has nearly doubled his career SwStr% (up to 12% this year) but is allowing nearly 2 HR/9 while Turnbull hasn’t allowed many homers at all (0.60 HR/9) but has an xFIP nearly double his ERA. The Vegas run total of 8.5 isn’t very respectful of either guy and alludes to some potential damage. Because everyone hates this Tigers offense we’re more likely to see higher ownership on Bassitt and the A’s hitters then the other way around. There are a couple Tigers I wouldn’t mind today including a dirt cheap Niko Goodrum on DK ($3300), power-hitting Christin Stewart and the red-hot Ronny Rodriguez. We got to get a little nutty on a four-gamer.
C – Yasmani Grandal (RH/MLW), Martin Maldonado (RH/KCR), Wilson Ramos (RH/NYM)
1B – Ronald Guzman (LH/TEX), Rhys Hoskins (RH/PHI), Ryan O’Hearn (LH/KCR)
2B – Keston Hiura (RH/MLW), Cesar Hernandez (SW/PHI)
3B – Jeff McNeil (LH/NYM), Mike Moustakas (LH/MLW)
SS – Nicky Lopez (LH/KCR), Ronny Rodriguez (RH/DET)
OF – Adam Eaton (LH/WAS), Willie Calhoun (LH/TEX), Alex Gordon (LH/KCR), Michael Conforto (LH/NYM), Stack: 3 of 4: Gallo/Calhoun/Mazara/Choo (expect one of them to get a day off for Pence); alternative stack is MLW – Cain/Yelich/Braun
- Luis Castillo (CIN) is having himself one helluva season (32% K, 1.76 ERA, .189 wOBA vs RHH) which might make it tough to stack these Cubs bats expecting Castillo to get shelled. He does have quite the history against them including five starts last season where he spun two gems and allowed 11 runs in the three other starts. I’d pay less attention to BvP here since this is a new version of Castillo – an unhittable one. Only six games on this slate but, to me, the Cubs will likely be a low-owned contrarian stack should you choose that adventure.
- Many will go all-in game stack on STL-ATL with that whopping 10 run total. Old man Adam Wainwright on the road is a different, less feared animal while Julio Teheran has been shellacked often in his career by Matt Carpenter (7-for-14, 2 HR) while RHH Marcell Ozuna has done his own fair share of damage against him (17-for-45, 3 HR). On the other side, there are some scary Braves bats we can stack including Freeman, Acuna, Markakis and power-hitting rookie Austin Riley who not surprisingly crushed a dinger in his first major-league game. Since MIN-SEA has some rain issues which could affect that game, STL-ATL is easily the most fun and stackable game on the slate.
- Dylan Covey (CHW) is a guy we love to use LHH’s against and so we’ll have viable options like Justin Smoak, Rowdy Tellez, leadoff man Eric Sogard and cheap punt OF’er Billy McKinney. Let’s not forget about that righty power either (Guerrero and Grichuk). The Jays make an interesting stack tonight and they happen to be -145 favorites on the road.
- Last, but not least, think I’ll be staying away from the hitters in the PIT-SDP game. The Padres travel a couple hours south back to their home after a series with the Dodgers and will face a boring, but stingy Trevor Williams (3.40 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 0.54 HR/9, 35.8% HH). On the other side, Eric Lauer is far from a model of consistency but this current Pirates’ offense has the league’s second-worst wOBA against southpaws (.282; only Giants are worse) and rank eight-worst against southpaws with a 26.6% strikeout rate. Josh Bell is red hot but he’s a much weaker force against left-handed pitching. Bell vs LHP: .184 ISO, .337 wOBA, 29.5% K. Bell vs RHP: .426 ISO, .479 wOBA, 19.5% K. I’m on the Fade Bell train on this main slate with so many viable options at first base today.
Core 4 for Cash: Acuña (ATL) + Markakis (ATL) + Carpenter (STL) + Smoak (TOR)
Fade: Josh Bell (SW/PIT), PIT and SD offenses
Chalk Stacks: Braves, Cardinals, Jays
Sneaky Stacks: Reds, Mariners
C – Curt Casali (RH/CIN), Willson Contreras (RH/CHC), Brian McCann (LH/ATL)
1B – Joey Votto (LH/CIN), Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL), Daniel Vogelbach (LH/SEA), TOR LHs: Smoak or Tellez
2B – Eric Sogard (LH/TOR), Kolten Wong (LH/STL), Greg Garcia (LH/SDP)
3B – Matt Carpenter (LH/STL), Eugenio Suarez (RH/CIN), Vlad Guerrero Jr. (RH/TOR), Austin Riley (RH/ATL)
SS – Paul deJong (RH/STL), values: Jose Iglesias (RH/CIN), J.P. Crawford (LH/SEA)
OF – Nick Markakis (LH/ATL) + Ronald Acuña (RH/ATL), Marcell Ozuna (RH/STL), Eddie Rosario (LH/MIN), Nick Senzel (RH/CIN), punts: Billy McKinney (LH/TOR), Nicky Delmonico (LH/CHW), Kyle Schwarber (LH/CHC)