A nine-game Monday slate and it’s a rare one where the chalk offenses don’t pop out to us at first glance as they usually do. And as I’m sure you’re well aware of, Mondays are always a backwards kind of slate.
Not sure what it is exactly, but it may have something to do with the end of the weekend and that it’s a Monday, and a new series. Mayhem typically ensues and it’s a good time to get really contrarian in tournaments. On a slate where there is no true chalk that sticks out besides some of the starting pitchers, we’re able to get sneaky with a little bit of research.
No weather concerns of note today. Zack Wheeler is looking to follow up on his impressive 11-K effort last time out, rookie John Means hopes to continue a hot little run and it’ll be the third of the season for Mike Soroka after allowing just two runs through his first two starts. Rookie Nick Margevicius currently boasts a strikeout rate which seems unsustainable for him (nearly 23 percent) and much of today’s chalk will be right-handed Braves’ bats. It’ll be quite the test for the A’s new ace Frankie Montas. Will he be able to harness that impressive slider of his against a Red Sox offense that is climbing out of its slumber? Let’s dig in and find out.
Chalky Stacks: BRAVES, NATIONALS, ASTROS, RED SOX
Contrarian Stacks: RAYS, DODGERS, ORIOLES, ATHLETICS
My Favorite Stacks: NATIONALS, ASTROS, ROCKIES, DODGERS, ATHLETICS
Sneaky Game Stack: ROCKIES/BREWERS
CASH: James McCann (RH/CHW), Tyler Flowers (RH/ATL), Kurt Suzuki or Yan Gomes (RH/WAS)
McCann is up to $4000 on DK after a week where he hit over .350. He was impressive against southpaws last season but this year has a .000 ISO against them despite posting a .360 wOBA so far. He may be hitting cleanup or fifth again today with Eloy Jimenez sidelined. Flowers is interesting because he had a wOBA over .450 against lefties last season but just .142 this year so far (along with a 45.5% strikeout rate). He did smash two homers on Friday and will be chalky because of the matchup with a lefty anyways. Either Nats’ catcher is in play and I really like this stack against Michael Wacha who already has control issues and is making his first start off the IL.
GPP: Pedro Severino (RH/BAL), Robinson Chirinos (RH/HOU)
Severino and Chirinos are listed on a day where there simply aren’t many backstops who stick out. Sadly Severino is priced too reasonably on DK ($3500) which is also a reason why he’ll be skipped over on most teams. He doesn’t offer much in terms of power or average but on today’s slate against Manny Banuelos and an average White Sox’ pen, he could pay off. Chirinos launched the game-winning three-run shot on Sunday Night Baseball and Twins’ starter Jake Odorizzi is known to allow his fair share of homers.
CASH: Daniel Murphy (LH/COL), Matt Adams (LH/WAS), Ji-Man Choi (LH/TBR)
Not sure what more you can ask from Murphy. Hell of a series in Atlanta where he went 5-for-15 with two homers and four RBI. Adams hit a walk-off homer himself yesterday, is relatively cheap and should be in the lineup with Ryan Zimmerman currently on the IL. Choi is someone I added in all my 12-team seasonal leagues who I expect to pop off and likely hit his second homer of the season tonight.
GPP: Jose Abreu (RH/CHW), Freddie Freeman (LH/ATL)
Abreu’s bat has looked lively of late as he’s 8-for-12 in his last three games. Fully-priced at 5k on DK and a somewhat reasonable 4k on FD. Freeman is here in the GPP section because it’s LvL for him against Margevicius but he’s coming off games with back-to-back homers and has a strong history against left-handed pitchers.
CASH: Ozzie Albies (RH/ATL), Jose Altuve (RH/HOU), Brandon Lowe (LH/TBR)
Albies is the chalk du jour today coming off his two-homer game on Sunday and the fact that he’s smashing left-handed pitching this year (.321 ISO, .462 wOBA) despite zero walks against lefties this season. Altuve against Odorizzi is in play as always if you don’t mind spending up and Lowe has been one of this season’s big surprises as he’s in the midst of a dominant season and the Rays face a righty in Brad Keller who has been scuffling lately.
GPP: Jose Rondon (RH/CHW), Ryan McMahon (LH/COL), Brian Dozier (RH/WAS)
Rondon is my sneaky, cheap pick today. Well, much more so for FanDuel where he’s just $2300 ($3800 on DK). He should be in the lineup today against a lefty and is hitting .400 against them in 20 PA. McMahon is a nice LvR matchup despite the fact that Zach Davies is a respectable starting pitcher. Dozier is a shell of his former self but has some value if he’s hitting second tonight. Though we might see Howie Kendrick playing instead.
CASH: Nolan Arenado (RH/COL), Alex Bregman (RH/HOU), Howie Kendrick (RH/WAS)
Speaking of Kendrick, he has a great history against Wacha. Just 13 at-bats against him, but nine hits. He’s been scorching the ball when in the lineup and deserves consideration today. Arenado and Bregman rarely need much of a reason to be considered and Arenado has been particularly warm at the plate with three homers in his last five.
GPP: Justin Turner (RH/LAD), Michael Chavis (RH/BOS), Manny Machado (RH/SDP)
At some point Turner will heat up and show why he’s one of the best all-around hitters in the league. He’s been getting more days off lately but had a three-hit game on Friday. He’s still waiting to launch his first homer of the season. The rookie Chavis has been on fire so there are many good reasons to consider him today. Machado is way off the grid because he’s been cold, but how often can you get a stud like him for reasonable prices? ($3400 FD, $4000 DK)
CASH: Trevor Story (RH/COL), Carter Kieboom (RH/WAS)
Don’t love the position at all today. Story will be somewhat chalky today but at his price tags, he may be hard to fit in. Kieboom is making himself known in the big-leagues thus far with two homers in his first three major league games.
GPP: Marcus Semien (RH/OAK), Hernan Perez (RH/MLW), Xander Bogaerts (RH/BOS)
Semien against a lefty is always in play, and he’s quite affordable today as you may not see many use him against stout lefty Eduardo Rodriguez. Perez should be in the lineup with a lefty (Kyle Freeland) on the mound. Freeland is back after an IL stint and may not have his best stuff. Bogaerts listed in case the Red Sox are able to get to Montas today.
CASH: Cody Bellinger (LH/LAD), Ronald Acuña (RH/ATL), Michael Brantley (LH/HOU), Juan Soto (LH/WAS), Andrew Benintendi (LH/BOS), Stevie Wilkerson (SW/BAL)
The Dodgers are a sneaky stack today because Jeff Samardzija is on the mound. He’s been solid at home when healthy, but Bellinger and company may have other plans. Bellinger remains baseball’s hottest hitter with 14 homers and a .427 average and has hit a dinger every other day over the past week. Acuña against the lefty rookie will garner a bunch of chalk as well. Brantley is an amazing contact guy who has a .375 wOBA and miniscule eight percent strikeout rate against righties. Soto against Wacha for my Nats’ stacks and Benintendi the lefty as my Red Sox’ bat of choice. Don’t forget about the much disrespected (at least on DK) Wilkerson. He may not be in the lineup today but if he is, don’t forget he can help you fit in a decent offense with Justin Verlander should you plan to go that direction.
GPP: Stephen Piscotty/Khris Davis/Chad Pinder (RHH’s/OAK), David Dahl (LH/COL), Joc Pederson (LH/LAD), Betts/Martinez (RH’s/BOS), Michael Conforto (LH/NYM), Johan Camargo (SW/ATL), A.J. Pollock (RH/LAD)
Slim pickens but there’s always something on our tournament horizon. Starting with this A’s trio who are sneaky in a good road ballpark, all three of whom hit lefties well. Even Davis who typically prefers to mash righties but has half his homers (five of 10) against them in way less PA (31 vs LHP, 80 vs RHP). Dahl is damn pricey but it’s for a good reason. This Rockies offense is firing on all cylinders. Joc could shock with yet another bomb against Shark who I don’t think has a good home start today. Camargo is always in play against a lefty and should be in the lineup today. Pollock has really been struggling at the plate but he’s too good of a hitter to not get it going soon. He is dirt cheap on DK for just $3600.