A 14-game slate that may have some weather issues with a storm brewing on the east coast. Here are a few matchups in danger of rainout or delay:
- Royals @ Yankees (New York)
- Giants @ Pirates (Pittsburgh)
- Twins @ Orioles (Baltimore)
- Braves @ Indians (Cleveland)
- White Sox @ Tigers (Detroit)
Many of our targeted offenses are playing in rainless weather or domes, so either way we’re going to have some fun making strong lineups today. The Rockies side of the PHI/COL game will be much more popular because of German Marquez. Rockies have a few bargains whose prices haven’t been adjusted, including Ryan McMahon who hit two bombs in his return from the IL. The other team projected for five-plus runs (5.5 – most on the slate) are the Astros, taking on southpaw Drew Smyly who has lasted beyond the third inning in just one of his three starts. Getting sneaky, we’ve got the Mets against Adam Wainwright who likely won’t have many stacking against him after throwing back-to-back gems. Aaron Brooks may finally come back down to earth facing a Blue Jays team that has some bats warming up. I wish the Padres had more lefty bats in their lineup, but being primarily right-handed, it’s not the best opportunity to pick on Anthony DeSclafani. If the game in Camden holds up weather-wise, the red-hot Twins are in play as well.
Chalky Stacks: ROCKIES, ASTROS, CARDINALS, DODGERS, TWINS
Contrarian Stacks: METS LHH, WHITE SOX, ROYALS, MARINERS, BLUE JAYS
My Favorite Stacks: ASTROS, ROCKIES LHH’s, TWINS, MARINERS, CARDINALS
Sneaky Game Stack: WHITE SOX/TIGERS, METS/CARDINALS
CASH:Yadier Molina RH/STL, Wilson Ramos RH/NYM, Omar Narvaez LH/SEA, Willians Astudillo RH/MIN
We’re not really going out of our way to play catchers on FanDuel unless something or someone truly sticks out. On DK today, don’t really want to pay up above the 4k threshold unless we have the cap. Astudillo is possibly the only exception today with the Twins’ solid park shift to Camden and the fact that the dude is just an enigma at the plate (just one strikeout through 34 PA). Ramos is 4k on the dot there and though he’s hit just one homer this season, he’s continuing to hit for contact, currently at .321. Molina and Narvaez are my favorite for cash based on price and matchup. The Cards really do have a great matchup against Jason Vargas and Molina is 5-for-11 with five RBI against him. Narvaez beasted again, popping a late-inning 3-run moonshot.
GPP: Mike Zunino RH/TBR, JT Realmuto RH/PHI, Welington Castillo RH/CHW
Zunino continues to not see price bumps and though he’s barely above the Mendoza Line, he is on a bit of a hit streak (six games). Realmuto crushed one yesterday and obviously Coors is a great spot for any good hitter. But it’s German Marquez on the mound for the Rockies so Realmuto is GPP only at this price. Castillo hit a homer himself yesterday as well and if he’s in the lineup, he’s in consideration for tourneys against Jordan Zimmermann. I typically prefer to use his battery-mate James McCann against lefty pitchers.
CASH: Ryan McMahon LH/COL (also 2B on DK), Paul Goldschmidt RH/STL, Yonder Alonso LH/CHW or Jose Abreu RH/CHW
Expect McMahon to be majorly chalky since he’s still cheap on DK and is coming off that monster game. Goldy will be top-three ownership-wise with Vargas on the mound. He’s crushed seven bombs with his new team through the first three weeks. I’ve been on Alonso this week in DFS after picking him up in seasonal high-stakes. It made sense since he’d been unlucky BABIP wise and had a good schedule. He hasn’t disappointed. He had a four-hit game with a homer a few games back and scored two runs yesterday.
GPP: Edwin Encarnacion RH/SEA, C.J. Cron RH/MIN, Freddie Freeman LH/ATL, Rhys Hoskins RH/PHI
Lots of raw power with these GPP options. Hoskins against a righty is a much better matchup since he’s been a reverse-splits guy over the course of his short career. Cron has a couple of bombs this week and a nice matchup. Freeman came through for us yesterday with a homer himself. Ency is due and Felix Pena is a flyball pitcher who may be susceptible to the big guy’s bat.
CASH: Jose Altuve RH/HOU, Whit Merrifield RH/KCR
Very simple if you’re paying up in cash. Altuve is expensive but will see ownership north of 20 percent. Merrifield has had an uneventful week, so maybe you’ll get the stud contact hitter for under 10%. Weather issues loom there but Two-hit Whit boasted a .402 wOBA against lefties last season. Merrifield is cheaper than Altuve on FD by a whopping $700.
GPP: DJ LeMahieu RH/NYY, Howie Kendrick RH/WAS, Martin Prado RH/MIA
LeMahieu in play for both cash and GPPs actually, but weather permitting. Kendrick has been defying Father Time and is hitting .476 on the season, covering for Dozier productively while he was dinged up. Prado is a random weird one, but he is dirt cheap and has a fantastic history against Nats’ starter Anibal Sanchez (15-for-36, .417 AVG).
CASH: Alex Bregman RH/HOU, Nolan Arenado RH/COL, Anthony Rendon RH/WAS
Bregman is an easy choice and probably the preferred choice of cash game players everywhere. The perfect formula with our preferred handedness of pitcher (a lefty), the fact that the opposing pitcher is subpar and the park in which the game takes place (Arlington). Arenado has faced Vince Velasquez 13 times in his career but has yet to hit a dinger off him. Perhaps today is a first? Rendon’s the hottest hitter on the planet but you’ll have to pay a hefty tag for his services. Either way, it’s a decent young lefty on the mound (Caleb Smith), but opposing pitcher doesn’t matter for Rendon right now – he could hit Koufax.
GPP: Jose Ramirez SW/CLE, Yandy Diaz RH/TBR, Hunter Dozier RH/KCR, Josh Donaldson RH/ATL, Matt Carpenter LH/STL
A few intriguing names in the mix, and yes, I’ve got more to choose from than normal. Just a way to differentiate from the chalk above and save some coin at the position. We might see Yandy leading off against a lefty (Eduardo Rodriguez) and E-Rod’s been hit and miss this season. Dozier is swinging a hot bat over the last 10 days (.442 with 4 HR). Donaldson is going to be way off the radar against Corey Kluber but April Kluber has been struggling (6.16 ERA, 1.84 WHIP). Carpenter against a fellow lefty is okay in this case since he’s 5-for-7 against Vargas.
CASH: Carlos Correa RH/HOU, Trevor Story RH/COL, Paul DeJong RH/STL, Jorge Polanco SW/MIN
It’s the usual set of suspects today and if I was to rank them based on price and projected points-per-dollar it’d be Correa – DeJong – Polanco – Story. DeJong has really impressed as the Cards’ three-hold hitter and he’s got a .455 ISO against lefties early on.
GPP: Gleyber Torres RH/NYY, Andrelton Simmons RH/LAA, Xander Bogaerts RH/BOS
Bogaerts’ price on FD is a middling $3,700 and he could pop off in what is expected to be another bullpen game for the Rays. Simmons came through yet again yesterday, hitting in the top-half of the Angels lineup. He’s hitting .409 in 22 career at-bats against lefty Marco Gonzales.
CASH: Eddie Rosario LH/MIN, George Springer RH/HOU, David Dahl+ Charlie Blackmon LH’s/COL, Marcell Ozuna RH/STL, Mike Trout RH/LAA, Mitch Haniger + Domingo Santana RH’s/SEA, Aaron Judge RH/NYY, Max Kepler LH/MIN, Nelson Cruz RH/MIN, A.J. PollockRH/LAD
Two more bombs for Rosario yesterday as he truly looks like the total package and one of the best hitters in the league right now. He’s hitting around .250 and has a BABIP that’s about 80 points below his career mark (currently at .238). Alex Cobb and this atrocious bullpen is ripe for the picking for him. Springer will be popular since all the Astros will be and he’s got pop. Ozuna is one of the league’s hottest bats as he’s knocked eight balls out of the park this season including five in four consecutive games. Don’t forget about Judge against flyballer Jake Junis and some of the other names listed here. It’s easy to tell which offenses I like based on my recommended plays. Last but not least, left-handed Rockies against Velasquez will be popular as well. VV had a .367 wOBA against lefty bats last year, and had a 1.67 HR/9 against them (compared to a miniscule 0.35 HR/9 against RHP last season).
GPP: Eloy Jimenez RH/CHW, Nick Castellanos RH/DET, Christian Yelich LH/MLW, Roman Quinn SW/PHI, Randal Grichuk RH/TOR, Khris Davis RH/OAK, Cody Bellinger/Joc Pederson LH’s/LAD, Michael Brantley LH/HOU, J.D. Martinez RH/BOS, Keon Broxton RH/NYM
Our boy Eloy came through for us with a homer yesterday and he pulled me into a min-cash in a big GPP at the very end of this slate, taking a walk for 2 DKP in the final inning of yesterday’s matinee run-fest. I like his matchup with old-man J-ZImm. Castellanos against lefties was a thing last season: he posted an insane .424 wOBA against them last season. Grichuk quietly smashed another homer on his quest to the 40 I promised you. That matchup against A’s SP Brooks is a sneaky good one for the Jays, though I hate that the game is in Oakland’s stingy stadium. Yelich, Davis, Bellinger and JDMart need very little push from me in order for you guys to play them. But we can’t afford ‘em all. Of the four, I’m least likely to play Davis since he’s taking on respectable extreme groundballer Marcus Stroman and my favorite of them is Martinez, who I think quietly pops off against whoever the Rays throw at them (Stanek? Font? Yarbrough?). Finally, perhaps we’ll see Broxton in the Mets lineup. He’s cheap, can steal bases and has a rather strong small sample against Waino (Broxton is 7-for-9 lifetime with 2 HR against him).