DOMINATE today’s DraftKings and FanDuel MLB GPP contests with these pitchers, stacks and one-off players!
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Tier 1: The Core Pitchers (these are pitchers who will be in majority of my lineups)
- Tyler Glasnow – It’s a really tough call between Glasnow and Scherzer about who is going to be my core pitcher tonight but, in the end, I went with Glasnow. Glasnow has struck out an absurd 39% of batters this year, and his only blemish has been the 6 HR’s he’s given up over the last 4 starts. While with some pitchers I’d be worried about this trend, but with Glasnow, it’s going to happen at times given how important a weapon his fastball is. The good news is that the Mets are a poor high-velocity hitting team, and after the top five hitters, there is no power at all to burn him. I’m expecting a 10 K performance here and hoping he limits the HR’s to get us the GPP ceiling we are looking for.
Tier 2: Not Quite Core Pitcher
- N/A – Outside of Glasnow/Scherzer, there is a lot of talent, but none of it is worthy of a Tier 2 placement for me. Musgrove will be the mega chalk option, but is he really worthy of 50% ownership against a good Cardinals team? Would he even be the chalk if people didn’t remember his no-hitter? I struggle to buy into him at that ownership. After that, the mid-tier is full of high upside guys, but all feel overpriced to love for Tier 2. I like Civale, but 9.5k is a strong ask. Same goes for Pivetta, coming off side-effects of vaccination at 8.5k. While there are a bunch of guys I’d consider rostering, none of them are ones I’d feel great about, so that’s why they will fall into Tier 3.
Tier 3: Mass-Multi Entry Pitchers
Not the Best Group Ever
- Max Scherzer – Tough to play both Glasnow and Scherzer, so that moves Scherzer into the MME tier for me as I won’t be playing him on my main teams. Great pitcher, great situation, but chose Glasnow over him.
- Jake Arrieta – Was off to a hot start before a blow-up and subsequent IL trip. If you are looking to buy into Arrieta, you write off the bad start as a product of the injury, and now he’s getting a match-up against the Detroit Tigers at a cheap price tag. Arrieta isn’t someone you roster to win you the slate but rather put up his 12-18 points (20 in a great outing) and then use the savings to pay up for some bats.
- Vince Velasquez – I can’t believe I’m considering rostering a pitcher in a 10/10.5 total in the HR-friendly Dunedin, but here we are. Velasquez has a nice gap between his fastball and his curveball/slider that allows for high K teams to strike out. He’s striking out 28.8% of batters this season. The issue for him so far has been that his slider has been absolutely torched by right-handed batters to the tune of a 1.251 xISO. This is dreadful, but it’s only over a 32 slider sample, and last year, right-handed hitters posted a 0.019 xISO against the pitch. If the slider returns to anything resembling last year’s form, he has a great match-up against a right-handed heavy team that doesn’t have one hitter with a K rate below 29% on sliders, and most are well into the mid-30s. This is boom/bust at its finest, but with a projected pitching friendly umpire, I can see how this wins tournaments.
- Joe Musgrove – The issue with Joe Musgrove to me is that he isn’t cheap, he isn’t an elite pitcher, and he’s going up against the best team in baseball and is mega chalk. I just don’t see why, on a slate this big, this is the best we can do in tournaments. Cash games as an SP2? Fine, I get it. He will have a decent floor, but I just don’t see the upside in tournaments.
- Nick Pivetta – If he hadn’t been coming off COVID-IL for vaccination side-effects, I think I’d have had him even higher. The Angels lineup is solid but not great, and there is a great pitcher’s ump projected in Fenway. But given the unknowns about how he’s feeling, he’s getting the last guy in status, but I have no idea what to expect here so will probably choose other options.
- Aaron Civale – I mentioned him in Tier 2. Much better FD play than on DK, but against the Seattle offense that’s floundering, he has upside.
Tier 1: The Core Stack
- New York Yankees – The only good thing about Coors Field slates is that sometimes really good offenses can go even lower owned than you’d think, and that’s the case tonight with the Yankees going up against Dean Kremer. Kremer has given up a .216 ISO against right-handed hitters on the season, and the Yankees with Voit back are loaded with that up and down the lineup. In particular, the trouble for Kremer is that he likes to throw a cutter to right-handed hitters, and it just has aged poorly for him this season with a .429 ISO. With a projected hitter’s umpire in Camden as well and the terrible Baltimore bullpen, this is the primary spot for me tonight. *Update: Stanton scratch really takes the bite out of the Yankees lineup. I’d move them into Tier 2 now… I still like the matchup vs. Kremer, but it’s lacking the usual firepower.
Tier 2: The Not Quite Core Stacks
- Colorado Rockies – The 1% chance that this Rockies spot would go overlooked on the large slate was obliterated last night when they shelled Castillo. Now they get soft-throwing Wade Miley, who is coming off a no-hitter against Cleveland last time out. While he got an extra day of rest after throwing 114 pitches, getting the Rockies in Coors as a lefty just isn’t going to age well. Connor Joe, Story, and Hampson will be popular, but maybe Josh Fuentes ends up low-owned again thanks to his poor start?
- Houston Astros – Wes Benjamin is simply terrible. The only question for me, does Yuli Gurriel get back in the lineup? If he does, I have a ton of interest and could argue they should even be above the Rockies on this list. If not, then they would fall to the bottom of Tier 2 or even the top of Tier 3.
- Cincinnati Reds – Much like the Astros, we have to see what the status of Mike Moustakas is. If he’s in, I like the stack a lot more against Marquez, who struggles in Coors and against lefties. If he’s out, then the Reds would fall to a Tier 3 stack for me.
Tier 3: Mass-Multi Entry Stacks
- Minnesota Twins – Frankie Montas has a ton of respect, but he’s not that amazing. He’s only sporting a 21.6% K rate to left-handed batters and has allowed a .280 ISO and a .247 xISO against them this season. With Arraez, Polanco, Larnach all solid value options at the top half of the lineup, you can pair them with an expensive stack and still get Glasnow if you want.
- Milwaukee Brewers – Sadly, all their best players are on rehab assignments still, but the Braves bullpen did make the trip to Milwaukee, so until the Braves can go a couple games without giving up 4+ runs in the back end, whoever they play will make the GPP list. This is also a cheap stack that can let you get a good stack and pitcher.
- Chicago Cubs – The ballpark and weather suck, but the Tigers bullpen is not good, and the Cubs have the power to hit it out of any ballpark. With PHI/TOR and Coors, the Cubs should go relatively low-owned tonight against a poor starter and a bullpen whose best arm (Soto) won’t be available. Fantastic MME team to include in the mix.
Top MLB GPP Players By Position
- Willson Contreras
- Elias Diaz
- Gary Sanchez
- Connor Joe
- Freddie Freeman
- Luke Voit
- DJ LeMahieu
- Aledmys Diaz
- Jonathan India
- Rafael Devers
- Alex Bregman
- Alec Bohm
- Trevor Story
- Eugenio Suarez
- Carlos Correa
- Jesse Winker
- Juan Soto
- Yonathan Daza
- Aaron Judge
- Giancarlo Stanton
- Joey Gallo
- Kyle Tucker
- Clint Frazier
Highest Scoring Hitter: Jesse Winker
Highest Scoring Pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
Biggest Bust Hitter: Vlad Guerrero Jr.
Biggest Bust Pitcher: Joe Musgrove
Top Value Play: Connor Joe
Slate Edge: Aaron Judge
Hit me up on Twitter @TheSeigeDFS or visit the MLB Chat Room with any lineup questions!