DOMINATE today’s DraftKings and FanDuel MLB GPP contests with these pitchers, stacks and one-off players!
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Tier 1: The Core Pitchers (these are pitchers who will be in majority of my lineups)
- N/A – There are a few pitchers I like a lot on the slate, but all have just enough warts to keep them out of Tier 1 and get pushed down into Tier 2. Maybe wart is the wrong word. I just don’t have a strong enough preference between the three to designate one as in a different tier than the rest. So, therefore, no Tier 1 pitchers tonight.
Tier 2: Not Quite Core Pitchers
- Walker Buehler – I’m not much of a Buehler fan because of Dave Roberts, but the Dodgers desperately need wins, so I don’t think we have as much concern about the quick hook here. Buehler also has taken his game to the next level this year, sporting 39 K’s to only 2 walks in only 37.1 IP. He draws a decent but not great matchup against a healthy Seattle team who has been pesky this year. Buehler also has given up a home run in each of his last four starts, which is a tad concerning. But as long as he’s not walking guys, those are likely to be of the solo shot variety. At under 10k today, he’s a very strong floor with big ceiling option.
- Pablo Lopez – Pablo Lopez has quietly turned into mini-Jacob deGrom, where he throws fantastic, and his offense doesn’t give him any run support. Despite a 2.04 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, he has yet to post a win on the season. Opponents are only batting .212 against him, and he’s sported 40 K’s in only 39.2 IP. The walks have been an issue for Lopez, which prevents him from time to time going super deep. But he’s also been consistent, posting 15+ DK point performances in 6 of 7 starts (and remember that’s without any win points). While he isn’t at home for this start, pitching in Arizona is a fantastic spot. He also gets a lineup lacking the RH power (outside Carson Kelly) to profile well against his fastball/changeup heavy profile. If you don’t have the money for Buehler, don’t feel bad using Lopez as your SP1.
- Brady Singer – Over Singer’s last 10 starts, he’s thrown 53 IP, allowed only 32 hits, and sported a 2.29 ERA with a 0.962 WHIP. He’s also averaged a strikeout an inning during that stretch. That’s very good numbers for any pitcher, let alone one that is only 5.7k. He’s a better DK play than FD because the QS sometimes is in doubt. But there is no doubt he has GPP winning upside at a bargain price. Then we get to factor in the match-up against the Tigers, which is always a dream for pitching. The only thing holding him back from Tier 1 is how deep he goes and a below-average umpire.
Tier 3: Mass-Multi Entry Pitchers
Strong and Deep List
- John Means – Means has been fantastic this season and was nearly perfect last time out (you could argue he was even). He’s clearly pitching at a career level so far this season. Even with the Mets offense in the poor shape it is, it’s tough to click on Means as the most expensive pitcher on the slate. That makes him a fantastic lower-owned MME or contrarian pitcher choice.
- Kenta Maeda – When Maeda is right, he’s a 9-10k pitcher. Sadly, so far this season, he hasn’t been right, which is why we are getting him in the 7k range. Despite a tough matchup against the White Sox, he has GPP winning upside if he pitches to his talent level.
- Max Fried – Much like Maeda, when he’s on, he’s a 9k pitcher. But he was awful before heading on the injured list. Keep an eye on whether he’s activated to make this start like I’m projecting. If he is, DraftKings wasn’t expecting it, so you can gamble on him returning to last year’s form at only 6.1k. If he’s back, this is the lowest tag you’ll see all season. Update: Looks like it will be Bryse Wilson or Kyle Wright. Neither one is in consideration.
Tier 1: The Core Stacks
- N/A – Unlike the pitchers where there was so much depth that I couldn’t pick out a top option, the stacks have the opposite issue where there is nothing I really like. The obvious stacks (PHI/WSH) have a brutal umpire, and those guys are both control guys who benefit the most from a big strike zone. Even if they score some runs, it’s tough to see the GPP winning ceiling there. Every other total is 8.5 or lower, which indicates there aren’t any obvious massive stack spots, so I’m not going to put anyone into Tier 1.
Tier 2: The Not Quite Core Stacks
- Oakland A’s – The A’s are one of the best high-velocity fastball teams, and when I see a matchup against Nathan Eovaldi, I get interested. Since the start of 2020, on fastballs of 95+, the results have been amazing. Jed Lowrie (.750 ISO), Seth Brown (.667 ISO), Matt Olson (.423 ISO) stands out the most, but even Matt Chapman’s .222 ISO is very good against high-velocity fastballs. When you factor in the hitting umpire and the bad Red Sox bullpen behind Eovaldi, there is a ton of upside here for the A’s on a slate without top-level options.
- Houston Astros – Ohtani has gotten away with his absurd 19 walks in 18.2 IP thanks to his heavy strikeout rate and a very soft schedule with two starts against Texas. Now, against a much more talented, deeper and disciplined team in the Houston Astros, this luck is primed to end. The Angels bullpen has also been heavily worked of late, so if we get to the bullpen, it’s game on.
- Los Angeles Angels – I’m really not in love with a ton of the offenses on this slate, so I’m looking for the best overall offenses, and the Angels could be that. We have to see if Ohtani hits in this start. If he does, the Ohtani/Trout/Upton/Walsh/Rojas combination profiles pretty strong against McCullers. How this ends up working for us is if McCullers can’t pound the zone for strikes and leaves hanging curveballs.
Tier 3: Mass-Multi Entry Stacks
- Coors Field (San Diego Padres + Colorado Rockies) – Cold, dreary conditions in Coors with a doubleheader on tap for Wednesday make this game a potential cancellation if the rain holds on longer than expected. But even if it leaves, it’s going to be in the low 40’s and the wind blowing in. How much HR upside is there even in Coors with those conditions? I’m not sure it’s enough to be the chalk offense they will be.
- Philadelphia Phillies – Erick Fedde is nothing special, but he does have good control. With a projected pitcher’s umpire, I don’t want to get too carried away here, especially given how bad the bottom of the Phillies lineup has been. If they are low-owned, I don’t hate it. But if they get traction, I’ll be running far, far away.
Top MLB GPP Players By Position
- Sean Murphy
- Will Smith
- Salvador Perez
- Matt Olson
- Paul Goldschmidt
- Mitch Moreland
- Whit Merrifield
- Jed Lowrie
- Ryan McMahon
- Matt Chapman
- Rafael Devers
- Alex Bregman
- Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Carlos Correa
- Trea Turner
- Ronald Acuna Jr.
- Bryce Harper
- Seth Brown
- Juan Soto
- Yordan Alvarez
- JD Martinez
- Trent Grisham
- Michael Brantley
Highest Scoring Hitter: Ronald Acuna Jr.
Highest Scoring Pitcher: Walker Buehler
Biggest Bust Hitter: Randy Arozarena
Biggest Bust Pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr.
Top Value Play: Seth Brown
Slate Edge: Matt Olson
Hit me up on Twitter @TheSeigeDFS or visit the MLB Chat Room with any lineup questions!