My favorite pitchers, stacks and individual hitters on tonight’s DFS slate!
This article will have two parts:
1) Pitching Breakdown
2) Stack Breakdown
With only two games, I’ll break down every pitcher and stack. Alright lets get to it.
1) Yu Darvish – With the Cubs season on the line they turn to their stud pitcher to try and get them out of the 1-0 hole they dug for themselves. Yu struck out over 39% of right-handed batters this season and the Marlins will have a bunch of them today. I know it’s a two-game slate but fading the -200 pitcher in the 6.5 total seems like the good way to lose before you start approach rather than being contrarian.
2) Sixto Sanchez – With the Cardinals/Padres in a pickem, 9 total game the question becomes do I want to take Sixto against a Cubs team that has been cold all year or Flaherty against a Padres team whose bats awoke from a deep slumber in the late innings last night? I’m going to go with Sixto whose shown ability to pitch in his limited MLB sample and more importantly is basically unhittable by left-handed batters sporting a .078 xISO and a 16%+ swinging-strike rate against them. With the Cubs likely to be left-handed heavy Sixto in a sneaky spot for more strikeouts than you’d think.
3) Jack Flaherty – Flaherty has been the model of inconsistency this year but this is a do or die game against an elite lineup and this last chance to show up. The Padres were sleepwalking through the series until Mike Schildt made some 2003 Grady Little like pitching moves and next think you knew the Padres couldn’t make an out. Will Flaherty be able to put the Padres offense back into the bottle or is it out? I fear it might be too little too late, but we’ll see.
4) Mackenzie Gore – The Padres haven’t announced who their starter is going to be yet but it’s widely assumed they will put Tommy Pham on the IL and promote Gore from the taxi squad to make this start. With no Lamet or Clevinger available it is their best chance to win the game. You have to wonder if they regret not calling him up at ANY point during the season to make some MLB starts so this playoff game wasn’t his debut. Service time is one thing but now you made all these trades to compete and being cheap might be your downfall.
- San Diego Padres – the matchup against Flaherty is tough but they have more power as a lineup than the St. Louis Cardinals so they are in the top spot. If they get to Flaherty too as we saw last night the Cardinals have nothing in the bullpen that should scare the Padres. Get ready to throw 100-115 pitches Flaherty if you want to have any hope of not having heartburn in the later innings.
- St. Louis Cardinals – Assuming it’s Gore, the Cardinals get a talented but unproven rookie in the most important spot in the Padres history since their World Series appearance. If it’s a bullpen game, then the Cardinals are in a solid spot as well as getting 7-8 pitchers to pitch well in a row is a tough ask in a normal game let alone a do or die playoff game. Cardinals offense has been inconsistent all year but have shown life in this series.
- Chicago Cubs – Choosing between the Cubs and Marlins wasn’t easy with how good Sixto is vs lefties but I’m going to take the Cubs and mention again that Sixto is barely hittable by left-handed bats so if you are taking the Cubs you’ll want to focus on the right-handed bats led by Willson Contreras and Kris Byant.
- Miami Marlins – Yu is so good, it’s tough to even recommend more than a one off from the Marlins on even a two game slate.
Highest Scoring Hitter: Fernando Tatis Jr.
Highest Scoring Pitcher: Yu Darvish
Biggest Bust Hitter: Anthony Rizzo
Biggest Bust Pitcher: Jack Flaherty
Top Value Play: Dylan Carlson