What’s up, #EliteMafia!? Welcome to “The Early Bird,” where we’ll cover the pitchers, stacks, and one-off players you’ll need to dominate today’s early MLB DFS slates on DraftKings and FanDuel!
Today, this article will focus exclusively on the DraftKings/FanDuel “Early Slate” starting at 4:10 PM EST. Just a tiny three-game slate on FanDuel and DraftKings. Almost every game has high winds, which should make for plenty of homers in some places.
MLB DFS Pitchers
Jose Berrios, RHP, Twins ($9,500 DK / $8,000 FD)
Berrios comes into the matchup with a 24% K rate and allowing a .260 xwOBA against this Athletics’ roster. On the season, he has a 28% K rate. The key is his home/road splits for his career. He has allowed nearly 20 fewer homers and 40 fewer ERs at home in roughly the same amount of innings pitched. His K% is up 4% at home, too. A big concern is his hard contact at 40%. He won’t go through the game unblemished, but on a small slate, he’s the top option.
Jose Urena, RHP, Tigers ($6,400 DK SP2)
Dylan Bundy, RHP, Angels ($6,900 DK SP2 ONLY)
Trevor Williams, RHP, Cubs ($7,400 DK / $7,200 FD)
MLB DFS Stacks
- Angels: Chalk stack with Trout, Ohtani and Rendon leading the charge against Martin Perez.
- Cubs: Urena is very cheap, and I expect his ownership to be high on DK with the slate of arms. The key in the match-up is the 40% hard contact that Urena is allowing, along with his .198 ISO to LHHs. With that said, 1-6 are in play as all have a .200 ISO and above. Pederson, Rizzo and Heyward
- (HEDGE) Tigers: Yikes, small slates are rough, but the Tigers have a chance to come in lower-owned and explode today. I fully expect Trevor Williams to be highly owned. Williams has allowed the slates highest HR/9 at 1.74 with a 22% HR/FB%. Using the Tigers is a great way to hedge.
- Boston: Another hedge stack, sorta. Vegas lists Boston as the slate’s highest team implied total, probably based on the familiarity with Bundy. Bogaerts has had the most success against Bundy with two homers.
Value plays listed last.
C: Contreras, Garver, Rogers
1B: Ohtani, Rizzo, Miggy
2B: Polanco, Castro
3B: Devers, Rendon, Donaldson
SS: Bogaerts, Fletcher, Goodrum
OF: Trout, JD, Cruz, Pederson, Heyward, Grossman, Ward