Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s DFS MLB Cash Games!
We have eight games on the main slate for Tuesday. We have some aces on the mound with one pitcher who seems to be the clear-cut top choice. Top-end pitching is still proving to be disappointing with most guys still under pitch limits, but they should still be productive enough on this slate to use. Coors Field returns to the slate with the worst starting pitcher on the slate going for Arizona. DraftKings has the Diamondbacks way underpriced, which makes them strong options. The decisions are a little tougher when it comes to building lineups on FanDuel.
We are working on providing the best Livestream possible, so any feedback on the format is welcome. Home Runs saved the day on Monday, so let’s stay cashing!!!
Update – Add Pavin Smith leading off for ARZ. C – Probably going Narvaez but Kirk is a pure punt option. Add Garrett Hampson hitting 2nd.
REMINDER: This is our daily content plan for this DFS MLB season.
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
DFS MLB Lineup Coach – Daily coaching session assisting with all aspects of DFS MLB.
DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low-owned stars.
Core 4 Livestream – Daily Livestream that covers all DFS sports featuring guests from throughout the Elite Sports Network.
Today’s Content Schedule & Tools
Be Sure to Bookmark:
The Opening Line – Hosted by Frank Brank & Fried Egg Paulie
Lunch Money – Hosted by Claudia Bellofatto
Baseball Elite Podcast – Hosted by Kyle Elfrink & Ray Flowers
Tuesday, April 6th
Weather Concerns
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies – Rain is expected in the late afternoon hours but does appear to clear for the game. Temperatures will be around 50, so much cooler than this past weekend.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center.
Vegas
Biggest Favorites
- San Diego Padres: -210
- Los Angeles Dodgers: -180
- Chicago White Sox: -155
- Tampa Bay Rays: -150
- New York Mets: -145
Highest Run Expectancy
- Colorado Rockies – 5.45
- Arizona Diamondbacks – 5.05
- Toronto Blue Jays – 4.87
- Tampa Bay Rays – 4.82
- New York Mets – 4.67
Lowest Run Expectancy
- San Francisco Giants – 3.03
- Seattle Mariners – 3.48
- Oakland A’s – 3.59
- Chicago Whites Sox – 4.02
- Boston Red Sox – 4.18
Today's Pitchers Grid
Today’s Best Pitchers
The Best
1) Lucas Giolito, RHP, White Sox (FD 9600 & DK 9300) – The price on both sites seems like a mistake. It is early in the season, but Giolito had 8 K’s in 5 2/3 innings in his first start against an Angels team that doesn’t strike out much. The Mariners lineup is awful, which makes Giolito a lock at a sub 10k price. You probably won’t see him below 10k the rest of the season. The Mariners struck out 15 times on Monday.
2) Yu Darvish, RHP, Padres (FD 10200 & DK 10000) – It was a rough opening day start for Darvish, but that is not a surprise because it has been an issue in the past. The Giants have an early 36.4% K rate vs. RHP. On most slates, Darvish would be a #1 on both sites. You can lock him and Giolito into your cash game lineups on DraftKings.
3) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Rays (FD 10700 & DK 9100) – This guy will win a Cy Young if he can stay healthy, which is always a big if. The Rays will be careful with him, so that can be an issue for his upside. The price tag isn’t worth it on DraftKings but could be considered on FanDuel. This is another situation where on another slate, he would be higher ranked. Glasnow has a better xFIP and K% rate than any other pitcher on the slate.
Value
4) Adbert Alzolay, RHP, Cubs (FD 6200 & DK 7400) – In complete honesty, I am only listing Alzolay as an option if you really feel like being different. The potential in the future is there, but he can get very wild at times. The K% rate last year was 33.3% last season. If you must find a pay-down option, Alzolay is the guy to risk it against a strikeout-prone Brewers lineup.
Ballparks
Pitchers to Target Against
1) Luke Weaver, RHP, Diamondbacks – 5.06 xFIP, .405 wOBA vs. LHH, 15 runs allowed in 14 2/3 Spring Training innings with 8 HR’s allowed in Spring Training.
2) Tanner Roark, RHP, Blue Jays – 5.84 xFIP, .495 wOBA vs. RHH, 10 runs allowed in 10 Spring Training innings.
3) Martin Perez, LHP, Red Sox – 5.20 xFIP, 14 runs allowed in 20 Spring Training innings.
4) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Giants – 5.30 xFIP, .423 wOBA vs. RHH
5) Chase Anderson, RHP, Phillies – .397 wOBA vs. RHH, .431 wOBA vs. LHH
6) German Marquez, RHP, Rockies – .371/.408/.654 vs. current Diamondbacks
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight. (click on link above)
Hot Streaks (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
Batter vs. Pitcher
C – Elias Diaz – Rockies, Mike Zunino – Rays
1B – Jose Abreu – White Sox
2B – Mike Brosseau – Rays
3B – Eduardo Escobar – Diamondbacks,
OF – Michael Conforto – Mets, Matt Joyce – Phillies, David Peralta – Diamondbacks
For more BvP info, check out our BvP Matchup Page!
Overall Hitter Rankings
Catcher
- Stephen Vogt – Diamondbacks (DK 3200)
- Elias Diaz – Rockies (DK 2900)
- Omar Narvaez – Brewers (DK 2700)
- Willson Contreras – Cubs (DK 4900)
- Will Smith – Dodgers (DK 5100)
Notes: This is a slate where you will need to spend down at catcher to pay up at other positions. Contreras and Smith definitely have the highest point potential but can’t justify the cost. Look to Coors for value from whoever gets the start.
First Base
- C.J. Cron – Rockies (FD 4000 & DK 3700)
- Pete Alonso – Mets (FD 3700 & DK 5000)
- Eric Hosmer – Padres (FD 4100 & DK 5100)
- Anthony Rizzo – Cubs (FD 3100 & DK 5200)
- Dominic Smith – Mets (FD 3100 & DK 4100)
Notes: Cron will be hard to fade on DK against the worst pitcher on the slate. Alonso is the best pay-up option on FD. Hosmer has been crushing RHP since last season, but he is expensive. Rizzo is the best spend down option on FD, and Smith would be the best option on DK if the weather is in issue in Coors.
Second Base
- Ryan McMahon – Rockies (FD 3500 & DK 3700)
- Mike Brosseau – Rays (FD 2100)
- Josh Rojas – Diamondbacks (FD 3000 & DK 3900)
- Brandon Lowe – Rays (FD 3000 & DK 4800)
- Jake Cronenworth – Padres (FD 3300 & DK 3600)
- Nick Solak – Rangers (FD 2700 & DK 3100)
Notes: McMahon is another Rockies player too cheap on DK. Brosseau should be towards the top of the order and is dirt cheap on FD. Rojas only interests me if hitting leadoff. Lowe has been great since last season vs. LHP. Cronenworth and the Padres should score plenty of runs, plus with the Tatis injury, he should remain towards the top of the order. Solak hasn’t been great this year, but a clean-up hitter against a bad pitcher who is cheap on both sites is intriguing.
Third Base
- Eduardo Escobar – Diamondbacks (FD 3200 & DK 3800)
- Manny Machado – Padres (FD 3700 & DK 5600)
- Yandy Diaz – Rays (FD 2600 & DK 3800)
- Cavan Biggio – Blue Jays (FD 2700 & DK 4500)
- Kris Bryant – Cubs (FD 3500 & DK 5200)
Notes: Escobar has owned Marquez in his career, is cheap on both sites, and very playable despite the rough start. Machado is tough to use on DK with the lineup builds. Diaz and Biggio are value options on FD. Bryant may finally be living up to the hype with a good start to the season.
Shortstop
- Trevor Story – Rockies (FD 4100 & DK 5400)
- Francisco Lindor – Mets (FD 3800 & DK 5000)
- Willy Adames – Rays (FD 2200 & DK 3800)
- Corey Seager – Dodgers (FD 4300 & DK 5800)
- Javier Baez – Cubs (FD 3100 & DK 5100)
Notes: If I am paying up for any player on this slate, it is Trevor Story. Lindor had a great spring, but not sure I can use him over Story. Adames is almost minimum price on FD. Seager has been great the last two seasons but probably best left for GPP’s. Baez is cheaper than he should be on FD, but you never know if he will show up.
Outfield
- Charlie Blackmon – Rockies (FD 3900 & DK 5200)
- Ramiel Tapia – Rockies (FD 3400 & DK 3400)
- David Peralta – Diamondbacks (FD 3400 & DK 3700)
- Joey Gallo – Rangers (FD 4100 & DK 4200)
- Michael Conforto – Mets ( FD 3200 & DK 3700)
- Ketel Marte – Diamondbacks (FD 4500 & DK 4600)
- Randy Arozarena – Rays (FD 3300 & DK 4900)
- Joc Pederson – Cubs (FD 2400 & DK 3800)
- Brandon Nimmo – Mets (FD 2500 & DK 3800)
- David Dahl – Rangers (FD 3200 & DK 3500)
- Bryce Harper – Phillies (FD 3900 & DK 5000)
- Tommy Pham – Padres (FD 3000 & DK 3900)
- Christian Yelich – Brewers (FD 4000 & DK 5400)
Notes: Blackmon would be the top pay-up option in the OF. Tapia and Peralta are way underpriced on DK, and the same goes for Gallo. Conforto and the Mets should get after Chase Anderson. Marte is only usable on DK. Arozarena has destroyed LHP and has a great price on FD. Pederson and Nimmo are great value options on FD.
DFS MLB Core 4
FANDUEL CORE 4
P – Lucas Giolito (9600)
OF – Charlie Blackmon (3900)
2B – Mike Brosseau (2100)
SS – Trevor Story (4100)
DRAFTKINGS CORE 4
SP1 – Lucas Giolito (9300)
1B – C.J. Cron (3700)
OF– Charlie Blackmon (5200)
SS – Trevor Story (5400)
