Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s MLB Cash Games!
For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/Draftcheat/Sedler)
- DFS MLB Chat Room
- DFS MLB Ownership Projections
- Daily MLB Projections & Optimizer
- MLB Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
Today’s MLB Cash Game Breakdown will go over the EARLY eight game slate (really seven if and when the Angels/Cubs game gets postponed) that has a scheduled first pitch time of 1:05 PM ET/10:05 AM PT as well as the AFTERNOON five game slate that has a scheduled first pitch time of 4:05 PM ET/1:05 PM PT. Please be aware that the afternoon slate appears to be only available on DraftKings.
Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs – It doesn’t really look like there’s much of a chance for this game to play considering there’s basically a blizzard scheduled throughout the day. I’m not even going to bother ranking guys from this game.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
Biggest Favorites (Main)
1) Boston Red Sox (-260)
2) Minnesota Twins (-210)
3) Washington Nationals (-190)
4) New York Yankees (-180)
5) Philadelphia Phillies (-170)
Biggest Favorites (Afternoon)
1t) Houston Astros (-155)
1t) Los Angeles Dodgers (-155)
3) Arizona D-Backs (-140)
Highest Run Expectancy (Main)
1) Boston Red Sox (6.27)
2) New York Yankees (5.23)
3) Philadelphia Phillies (4.86)
4) Minnesota Twins (4.81)
5) Washington Nationals (4.41)
Highest Run Expectancy (Main)
1) St. Louis Cardinals (5.07)
2) Los Angeles Dodgers (5.04)
3) Cincinnati Reds (4.93)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Main)
1) Pittsburgh Pirates (3.09)
2) Detroit Tigers (3.19)
3) Kansas City Royals (3.50)
4) Miami Marlins (3.64)
5) Baltimore Orioles (3.73)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Afternoon)
1) San Francisco Giants (3.45)
2) Colorado Rockies (3.55)
3) Seattle Mariners (3.74)
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Tyler Anderson||- - -||152.10||4.14||0.278||4.26||4.53||4.49||34.60||22.30||43.10||68.30%||44.30%||19.60||11.50%||53.20%||5.30||78.30%||36.70%||74.60||14.90%||56.20%||28.90%||1.42||35.30%||90.80||9.60|
|Spencer Howard||- - -||42.00||6.86||0.330||4.14||4.93|
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Jose Berrios, Twins (DK: $9900; FD: $10000) – Last week, we saw Scherzer have the highest ownership on both DK and FD while we decided to get more exposure to Clevinger. It definitely worked out and I think we should really give strong consideration to Berrios over Scherzer due to the slight discount (sure) and matchup (yeah, the Tigers aren’t too threatening), but MOST importantly, Berrios has been a manimal throughout his young career when pitching at Target Field. He clearly has a huge sense of comfort when pitching at home and gets to face a Tigers club that has certainly cooled off this week.
2) Max Scherzer, Nationals (DK: $10700; FD: $11500) – When it comes down to it, it’s very difficult to ignore Mad Max when he’s still consistently able to produce even though we haven’t seen the best that he has to offer. There’s absolutely no coincidence that this Pirates club has the lowest expected run total. I actually think the Pirates could be sneaky dangerous today, but perhaps the extra rest for THE BEST PITCHER IN BASEBALL will be enough to see the usual dominance.
3t) Carlos Rodon, White Sox (DK: $7600; FD: $7800) – The Yankees are dealing with some major injury issues throughout their lineup, but most importantly, they are struggling heavily against left-handed pitching. While they are a bottom ten team in terms of wOBA and wRC+, but the most important thing to consider if we’re playing Rodon here is the elevated strikeout rate on both sides. The Yankees are striking out at a ridiculously high 38.2% clip, and Rodon’s 32.9% K/rate would be, by far, the highest of his career. I would imagine that this has a lot to do with his increased use of his slider (43.2%), which has ALWAYS been the best pitch in his arsenal. As a SP2 on DK, I think the strikeout upside is too big to ignore, and even gives him some room for error if it doesn’t work out.
3t) Jake Junis, Royals (DK: $7300; FD: $8400) – Brad Keller did wonders for my lineup on Friday and even though no one rostered him, Homer Bailey had a heck of a night last night. Apparently the recipe for success is facing the Indians. The Indians are still striking out at the highest clip in baseball, which is amazing considering they went into the weekend with a pretty soft “strikeout” matchup by facing Keller and Bailey. Junis might actually be the best strikeout pitcher on the Royals roster and like Rodon, if he can get his slider working, I think he has the upside for double digits.
1) German Marquez, Rockies (DK: $9700)
2) Gerrit Cole, Astros (DK: $10200)
3) Derek Holland, Giants (DK: $6900)
*Best home run parks*
1) Yankee Stadium (White Sox @ Yankees)
2) Nationals Park (Pirates @ Nationals)
1) Estadio de Béisbol Monterrey (Cardinals vs. Reds)
2) T-Mobile Park (Astros @ Mariners)
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|6||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||148||642||46||119||105||4||12.6||16.00||0.296||0.324||0.321||0.411||0.617||0.429||173|
|8||Frank Schwindel||- - -||52||204||14||33||40||1||6.4||16.20||0.298||0.354||0.340||0.382||0.639||0.426||168|
|12||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|14||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||118||498||39||95||92||25||11.6||26.90||0.334||0.317||0.283||0.367||0.618||0.407||159|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – Austin Romine
1B – C.J. Cron, Chris Davis, Trey Mancini
2B – Chris Owings, Cesar Hernandez
3B – None
SS – Jorge Polanco
OF – Melky Cabrera, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario
C – Buster Posey
1B – Paul Goldschmidt, Brandon Belt, Yuli Gurriel
2B – Dee Gordon (5 SB), Ketel Marte, Yangervis Solarte
3B – Matt Carpenter
SS – Chris Taylor
OF – Cody Bellinger, Ian Desmond, Manny Margot, Jay Bruce
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) J.T. Realmuto, Phillies
2) Willians Astudillo, Twins
3) Christian Vasquez, Red Sox
4) Michael Perez, Rays
5) Austin Romine, Yankees
1) Yasmani Grandal, Brewers
2) Yadier Molina, Cardinals
3) Tony Wolters, Rockies
Notes: The catcher position is headlined by two big revenge games in J.T. Realmuto facing his former club, the Marlins, and Yasmani Grandal facing his former club, the Dodgers. Both scenarios are strengthened by the understanding that both catchers have caught Jose Urena and Ross Stripling a TON and know their repertoires quite well.
1) Steve Pearce, Red Sox
2) Rhys Hoskins, Phillies
3) C.J. Cron, Twins
4) Ryan O’Hearn, Royals
5) Chris Davis, Orioles (ONLY ON FD!)
1) Paul Goldschmidt, Cardinals
2) Joey Votto, Reds
3) Yuli Gurriel, Astros
Notes: I’m not exactly thrilled with the First Base options on the early slate, so I think going with the punt (Chris Davis) isn’t the craziest thing in the world. Hoskins has been swinging a pretty hot bat but doesn’t have a good track record against Jose Urena, which is pretty crazy, because Urena is pretty horrible. If Steve Pearce gets the start though, I think he’d be a great way to get affordable exposure to John Means and a weak Baltimore bullpen. As for the afternoon slate, we have Paul Goldschmidt in a big BvP situation against Anthony DeSclafani, but you also have a cheaper priced Joey Votto, and Yuli Gurriel who has also had a ton of success against Marco Gonzalez.
1) Brandon Lowe, Rays
2) Eduardo Nunez or Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox
3) Howie Kendrick, Nationals
4) Cesar Hernandez, Phillies
5) Lourdes Gurriel, Jays
1) Jose Altuve, Astros
2) Mike Moustakas, Brewers
3) Yangervis Solarte, Giants
Notes: Not exactly enthused about the main slate Second Base options, either, but there’s a lot to love about the power of Brandon Lowe. He’s a little pricey on FanDuel now but a great value on DK. If not, I can see getting some value with either Nunez or Pedroia. For the late slate, we have arguably the hottest hitter in baseball in Altuve or you can go with a BvP special with Solarte.
1) Anthony Rendon, Nationals
2) Brian Anderson, Marlins
3) Rafael Devers, Red Sox
4) DJ LeMahieu, Yankees
5) Hunter Dozier, Royals
1) Matt Carpenter, Cardinals
2) Travis Shaw, Brewers
3) Eugenio Suarez, Reds
Notes: Anthony Rendon has taken this Nationals team on his back and is an absolute extra base machine. If you don’t go with Rendon, it makes sense to go with the punt and Brian Anderson who has looked pretty good over his last three games, going 6-for-10 (.600) w/one home run and three walks. For the afternoon slate, just play Matt Carpenter. You’ll thank me later.
1) Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox
2) Jorge Polanco, Twins
3) Gleyber Torres, Yankees
4) Adalberto Mondesi, Royals
5) Jean Segura, Phillies
1) Carlos Correa, Astros
2) Paul Dejong, Cardinals
3) Chris Taylor, Dodgers
Notes: Now we’re talking. I’m paying up at shortstop today with either Xander or Polanco. And yes, it makes a lot of sense to get some big Boston exposure today due to the matchup they have against the Orioles pitching staff.
1) J.D. Martinez, Red Sox
2) Eddie Rosario, Twins
3) Nelson Cruz, Twins
4) Andrew Benintendi, Red Sox
5) Mookie Betts, Red Sox
6) Bryce Harper, Phillies
7) Austin Meadows, Rays
8) Teoscar Hernandez, Jays
9) Leonys Martin, Indians
10) Melky Cabrera, Pirates
1) Yasiel Puig, Reds
2) Cody Bellinger, Dodgers
3) Ian Desmond, Rockies
4) Scott Schebler, Reds
5) Jose Martinez, Cardinals
6) Jesse Winker, Reds
7) Alex Verdugo, Dodgers
Notes: Again, the cream of the crop is in the Outfield today, and that means I want to scatter my lineup with Red Sox and Twins. Both Rosario and Cruz have killed Jordan Zimmermann in the past, and I just don’t see the veteran right-hander containing both of them today. As for the Red Sox outfielders, I think they’ve been relatively quiet throughout the season, but with the Orioles slated for a bullpen game, I think today might be the day they break out.