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Bullpen (Phil Backert)
Hey Phil – Any insights on SF’s bullpen? Also, is SD as screwed as they seem after the Coors marathons?
Phil Backert: SD bounced back last night what specific about SF?
Do they have any noticeable L/R splits to exploit? If they’re weak against L’s in particular I may just lock Muncy and Bellinger
Phil Backert: in the month of june they have actually done pretty well
Phil Backert: The Phillies are allowing an opponents batting average of .347 over the last seven days. Over this span, they are allowing a hard hit percentage of 49.2 percent and fly ball percentage of 42.4 percent. Right-handed hitters are slugging .719 in the month of June against this unit.
Phil Backert: The Pirates have been a unit we have picked on all season long with great success, but they have pitched to a 1.13 ERA over the last seven days. However, if we look closer, their xFIP is 4.99 and their left on base percentage is 94.4 percent which is unsustainable.
Phil Backert: The Mets bullpen is struggling as they have allowed eight home runs over the last seven days. Opponents are batting .326 over this span and they are not missing any bats with a low swinging strike percentage of 9.2 percent. In the month of June, left-handed hitters are slugging .776. The next closest team is allowing a slugging percentage of .559.
Any cheap SPs on the radar for tonight? Tell me Anderson can pitch around BAL
DraftCheat: a bunch actually, Anderson is in play and he’s actually my 4th favorite bargain guy
Nice. Homer Bailey too?
DraftCheat: yeah I have it Kikuchi, Norris, Bailey, Anderson, in that range, but I like all 4
DC, thoughts on Kikuchi? Royals splits bad against LHP or just bad all around? lol
DraftCheat: bad all around but definitely bad vs. LHP. here’s what I wrote: Yusei Kikuchi – Checking in at just $5300 on DK, there is a good chance the Mariners’ lefty Kikuchi is my personal highest owned pitcher tonight. It’s been a rough go for Kikuchi this season, no doubt about it. The ugly 4.78 ERA and 1.43 WHIP are more than justified by ERA estimators, and he ranks quite low in my model. Context is king, though, and we need to look at the gauntlet of tough matchups Kikuchi has had to run this season. He’s made 15 starts this season, 3 have come against the impossible to strikeout Angels, 2 have come against the juggernaut Twins offense, 3 have come against the right-handed heavy and lefty mashing A’s, he’s faced the Red Sox and the Yankees as well. Kikuchi isn’t good enough to overcome those matchups, but he’s definitely good enough to thrive in tonight’s matchup against the Royals. We saw one of my favorite plays from last night, fellow lefty Tommy Milone absolutely dismantle the Royals last night. Kikuchi has a good shot at doing something similar tonight. Take the discount.
DraftCheat: back on the Biggio train again tonight
DraftCheat: i’m not on keller
5.5 on FD is nice. You prefer Kikuchi by a wide margin?
DraftCheat: let me dig into Keller a bit. yeah, stuff is better than I realized. i’m adding Keller to my plays.
side question, since we are on the Keller topic. Do you think overall he has the same and/or better stuff than G. Canning? I can only keep one of them in my dynasty league
DraftCheat: don’t drop Canning. can only keep one after season or only one right now?
I can keep two prospects in my additional keeper slot, and tatis is a lock as the first, and it is between Canning and Keller for the other.
DraftCheat: I would def lean Canning right now. we know for sure he’s great. Keller could be. I can’t use Allen tonight with the other cheap options avail. on a different slate, maybe
DraftCheat: so many pitchers in play tonight
Ya Vegas like Keller. They also like Allen. He’s expensive for an in known
DraftCheat: yeah i’m not there with Allen, looks like Norris is the sneaky one
Biggio Biggio Biggio. Better than dad?
DraftCheat: quite possibly! ready for the lefty on lefty crime against Skaggs tonight
I’m going dbacks lefties vs Senzatela as my fav stack early
DraftCheat: love it, gonna do the player pool thing again tonight
DC what kind of pitcher is Logan Allen for the Padres tonight? 7.7K on DK is a lot but he is bare minimum price on DK
DraftCheat: he’s thrown ~100 innings in AAA ball last two seasons and has a FIP/xFIP near 5. giving up a lot of HR
How do you factor the weather, mainly possible delays both pre and during game when ranking your pitchers?
DraftCheat: I try to avoid pitchers in possible weather games, but you really gotta take it game by game
DraftCheat: Texas going off tonight, Plesac a fraud
like both sides of that game
Hitting (Vlad Sedler)
Vlad Sedler: So many viable stacks it’s insane
How does the roof open in Rogers center affect hitting
Vlad Sedler: no huge difference with dome open there
a tiny bit more humidity and wind off the lake but not much difference
whats up vlad.. FD CASH.. what u think? Kikuchi…Olson..Cano..Carpenter..Marte…Alvarez..JD Martinez..Stanton..Hicks?
Vlad Sedler: looks good to me