Miss today’s sessions, or just want to revisit them? Here’s a full transcript of everything we covered!
Bullpen (Phil Backert)
Phil Backert: The Cubs bullpen has a 10.31 ERA and the highest walk percentage in the majors over the last seven days. They also rank 16th in strikeout percentage and now head to a very hitter friendly environment in Milwaukee.
Other than bullpens, is there anything you like or have strong feelings on for tonight’s slate?
Phil Backert: I’m liking the Braves bats tonight
Phil Backert: The Orioles bullpen is allowing an opponent batting average of .330 over the last seven days and a league high 2.96 home runs per nine innings. They will continue to host the Yankees over the weekend.
in general have bullpens produced the way you thought they would coming out of spring training? or are there any surprises (good or bad)?
Phil Backert: Didn’t think the Cubs and Nats bullpen would be this bad
shane greene worth picking up in season long phil?
Phil Backert: I think you have to, five saves already right? amazing
Phil Backert: Ray Flowers has the Diamondbacks bullpen ranked dead last in his BURR Report on Fantasy Guru. The Diamondbacks rank in the bottom five in WHIP, HR/FB and walk percentage.
Hitting (Vlad Sedler)
How do yall choose what hitter to play in a stack? do they need to be batting like 2-3, 3-4 ,5-6 or 1-2 or seperate them? and whats the theory in going 1-3 or 2-5 or something like that?
Rotogut: Figure out the two guys you want to base your stack around, for starters. Typically a strong L vs a RHP or vice versa.
Another Sub: Daniel generally you want at least the heart of the order. 1-5, 1-4, 2-6, 3-5, 3-6, something like that. I love getting weird with like a 3-6 stack. The theory behind a stack is like a pinball machine. Your 1 hitter gets on. Maybe steals a base. The 2 hitter gets a hit and could get an rbi and you 1 gets a run, then the 3 guy hits a double. Basically you get the rbi and run points. You don’t always have to stack 1-5. Last night i won money going 1,3,5,6,7 for the braves
Rotogut: That’s good advice.
Right on i’m with you i guess what I’m asking is this… if mans or tommy g or vlad or whoever recommend a boston stack for gpp or cash… that generally means the top of the order guys?
Rotogut: If I recommend a stack I’ll point out the guys. Like today it would depend on lineups. If I decide Lynn is gonna get blasted I can think like this: For 1, gotta have Trout so he’s my base. I’m ok starting with 1 hitter (Calhoun) because he’s a streaky dude who hit a HR last night and he’s a lefty going up against a righty. So I have my first 2. I then decide I like Bour #3 but want to cut it off there. I now have my 1-2-3 Angels stack.
4pm pitcher on FD?
Rotogut: Glasnow. Or Flaherty
how deep will you go in a stack?
Rotogut: No issue going 5 in a DK stack. That’s what I did yesterday with Rangers 3-7 where I almost won the $44 GPP
how do I determine what pitcher is gonna get crushed or where to find that info. Like the Lefty vs RHP stuff like that as well.
Rotogut: Got to click around our pages on this site.
Who’s your favorite Pitcher on the early slate for cash games
Rotogut: Glasnow. Otherwise Flaherty.
Dk has some real tough pricing this year so makes it trickier. But honestly mlb is just a volatile sport. Trust the process. I try my hardest to not lock into a specific build type. And focus on single entry and 3max. Anything else and you get people playing Tyler Mahle like last night
Rotogut: That’s good advice. I try not to play the monster tourneys with 150 entries. Prefer sticking to single entry and 3 max.
How many lineups do you normally build a day, and can you give me a brief rundown on your day to day routine?
Rotogut: 3 per day usually. Sometimes 1, sometimes 10
Vlad what stacks you on tonight? Anything sneaky
Rotogut: MLW and ARI are two I was looking at
You looking at both L & R with MIL or just R
Rotogut: Wrote how Yelich mashed lefties and may get overlooked since expensive
Pitching tonight looks to be chalky
DraftCheat: I think McHugh is the best play by a wide margin
I believe everyone will flock to pivetta salart on dk and go beiber or musgrove
DraftCheat: yeah I could see that. I think Bieber will be very popular. I like him
Pretty cold in PA now and wintery mix. Weather ok for that game?
DraftCheat: PHI/MIN looks iffy at the moment
im in pit…gonna be fine
DraftCheat: hope so, i like those philly bats
What did you think of turnbell yesterday? He was absolutely killing mondesi with breaking pitches and other royals
DraftCheat: Turnbull has good stuff yeah, for sure. I like him. Think I had him pretty high up yesterday in rankings.
DC does your model need a couple starts of data before it heats up? I know a lot of the algos do so wondered about your experiences
DraftCheat: Nah, good to go now. Have had several winning days in a row, and killing it betting on the games. Feeling very confident at the moment
DraftCheat: McHugh absolute death to right-handed hitters and A’s have almost no good lefties
what does your model say about thornton?
DraftCheat: thornton seems solid, not a stud by any means, but obv not a ton of data on him yet
DraftCheat: So, one pitcher who will legit be 1% owned tonight: Frankie Montas. He’s definitely “overpriced” and the matchup is not great vs. Astros of course, but man his stuff is filthy. https://www.fangraphs.com/statsd.aspx?playerid=14309&position=P&gds=&gde=&type=18. I mean look at this. Two distinct fastballs sitting at 98 and 97.5. A hard slider with good movement, and then he added a splitter this year which should help him a ton vs lefties. This is a top top arsenal. Wish he had a better matchup.
At least all the really scary Astros are righties
DraftCheat: yeah and they haven’t been hitting
will the astros carry heavy ownership tonight?
DraftCheat: i doubt it
Should I scoop Frankie in season long?
DraftCheat: Yes 100%
would you drop Junis or Shoemaker for him?
DraftCheat: ya drop junis
Coach DraftCheat are you on Livestream today?
DraftCheat: on the NBA, not MLB. I’ll start being on a lot more once NBA is over.
Will porcello be popular tonight? I want to play avila as one off use to catch him im detroit
DraftCheat: doubt it. I like the D-Backs lefties. Peralta going yard.
maybe not on this slate but are still a believer in pablo lopez
DraftCheat: oh yeah. I’m using him tonight.
this isnt a bad matchup for him?
DraftCheat: its def not great, but its priced in.
Peralta or Harper if paying up?
How about Mustgrove, DC?
DraftCheat: decent option a little worried about how long he can go
Who would be your #1 SP on FD tonight for cash?
DraftCheat: McHugh, all sites all formats
Have you talked about Pivetta? If not thoughts?
DraftCheat: i like pivetta, matchup not the best tho
You like Woodruff??
DraftCheat: not on woodruff
Who do you like better for tonight, Lopez or Montas? 1 lineup?
DraftCheat: Lopez cuz he’s cheaper. I think people will play Lopez tho. Montas legit gonna be me and the 36 of you in here
who would be your top 2 or 3 sp2s on dk?
DraftCheat: pablo, bieber, montas, and i guess thornton
pablo at atl huh?
DraftCheat: Pablo is a stud
DraftCheat: Rangers my fave stack
Do you think Montas do well against Houston’s bats?
DraftCheat: it’s a risky play. Montas hasn’t actually *shown* us he’s good. I just really believe he will be. And the matchup isn’t great. There’s a reason he’ll be 1% owned. Have to decide for yourself
Which handed hitters you like on the Rangers DC?
DraftCheat: rangers lefties are my big target