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Sunday, September 27th
Today’s MLB Cash Game Breakdown goes over Sunday’s MLB 15-game slate that has a roster lock of 3:05 PM ET/12:05 PM PT.
Update: On DraftKings, players from Tigers and Royals will not receive fantasy points.
There is a 30% chance of rain in Kansas City (DET vs. KC). Winds are expected to be blowing out 15 mph in Minnesota (CIN vs. MIN).
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center.
Vegas lines likely won’t be available until closer to lock due to this being the last day of the regular season. If you make lineups based on lines, look them over closer to lock. As of now, the Yankees are the biggest favorites. BAL vs. TOR, BOS vs. ATL, and MIA vs. NYY all have an O/U of 10.
Today’s Best Pitchers
1) Marco Gonzales, LHP, Mariners – Gonzales has been stellar in 2020 as he’s boasting a 0.91 WHIP, 3.06 ERA, and 3.88 SIERA. The southpaw will be facing the Athletics which have gone cold. In their last 14, they are sporting a .139 ISO and 79 wRC+. You also have to like that the A’s haven’t performed well against southpaws all season long and own a 25.0 K%.
2) Aaron Nola, RHP, Phillies – The Phillies are fighting for the last playoff spot in the National League and this is an appealing situation for Nola. He’s facing the Rays which have already clinched home-field advantage in the playoffs. They will likely be resting players this afternoon which provides Nola with a softer matchup. You also have to like that the Rays own a 28.6 K% in their last 14, providing the righty with tremendous upside this afternoon. In a do-or-die situation, I’m expecting Nola to pitch deep into this game.
3) Seth Lugo, RHP, Mets – The Mets have used Lugo in just about every way possible and he’s getting the nod once again this afternoon. In 9 appearances out of the bullpen and 6 starts, Lugo has combined for a 3.82 ERA, 3.02 SIERA, and 31.1 K%. He’s been one of the top pitchers in the MLB this season and will be facing the Nationals this afternoon. The Nationals own an 87 wRC+ in their last 14 and rank 20th in wOBA vs. RHP.
4) JT Brubaker, RHP, Pirates – Brubaker has impressed me in his time in the big leagues. He mixes his pitches well and puts batters away as he owns a 24.7 K% on the year. The 26-year-old is also boasting a 4.46 ERA and 3.85 xFIP. He’ll be going up against the Indians which have not performed well against righties. On the year, they are sporting a 23.8 K%, .305 wOBA, and 87 wRC+. Brubaker struggled in his first time out against the Indians earlier in the season but I’m looking for today’s outing to be different.
Pitchers to Target Against
- Jose Urena, RHP, Marlins – All Yankees Hitters
- Brandon Bielak, RHP, Astros – RHH Rangers Hitters
- Frankie Montas, RHP, A’s – LHH Mariners Hitters
- Jordan Lyles, RHP, Rangers – All Astros Hitters
Worst Bullpens on the Slate (Last Two Weeks)
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Colorado Rockies
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Miami Marlins
Batter vs. Pitcher
1B – Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 9-17 (2 HR) vs. Brett Anderson / Eric Hosmer (SD) 9-25 (3 XBH) vs. Drew Smyly / Freddie Freeman (ATL) 9-27 (3 XBH) vs. Nick Pivetta / Christian Walker (ARI) 5-16 (2 HR) vs. Kyle Freeland
3B – Manny Machado (SD) 6-16 (2 XBH) vs. Drew Smyly / Josh Donaldson (MIN) 7-20 (6 singles) vs. Sonny Gray
SS – Nick Ahmed (ARI) 7-24 (2 HR) vs. Kyle Freeland
OF – Ender Inciarte (ATL) 11-24 (10 singles) vs. Nick Pivetta / Charlie Blackmon (COL) 16-43 (2 HR) vs. Madison Bumgarner / David Peralta (ARI) 6-17 (1 HR) vs. Kyle Freeland
For More BvP info, check out our BvP Matchup Page.
Overall Hitter Rankings
- J.T. Realmuto – Phillies (DK $5,100 & FD $3,400) – If you don’t mind paying up at catcher, I think Realmuto is in a good spot. He’s facing a southpaw and he owns a 1.110 OPS against them on the year.
- Sam Huff – Rangers (DK $2,900 & FD 2,200) – Huff is cheap and Bielak is expected to pitch the majority of the innings. Bielek owns a 5.60 SIERA on the year.
- Kyle Higashioka – Yankees (DK $3,300 & FD 2,600) – He’s boasting a .406 ISO against righties in 32 PA this year.
- Freddie Freeman – Braves (DK $5,500 & FD $4,300) – Freeman is one of the best hitters in baseball and is facing a pitcher that he’s had success against in his career.
- Anthony Rizzo – Cubs (DK 4,600 & FD $3,300) – Rizzo is facing a righty and has been swinging the bat well in his last two series.
- Christian Walker – Dbacks (DK $3,300 & FD $2,900) – Walker has put together a .200 ISO against southpaws and is facing a pitcher he’s done damage against throughout his career.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – Blue Jays (DK $4,200 & FD $3,400) – Baby Vlad has looked stellar as of late and has posted a .304 ISO against southpaws in 64 PA.
- Ozzie Albies – Braves (DK $5,300 & FD $4,100) – Albies has hit righties better than lefties in his career and you have to love that he’s facing a pitcher that has allowed a .561 wOBA against lefties.
- Robinson Cano – Mets (DK $4,900 & FD $3,400) – Voth owns a 6.25 ERA and lefties own a .506 SLG against him, putting Cano in a terrific situation.
- Jose Altuve – Astros (DK $5,000 & FD $3,500) – Altuve hasn’t had the best of seasons but is facing a righty who has allowed a .362 wOBA to right-handed batters.
- Adam Fraizer – Pirates (DK $3,500 & FD $2,500) – Frazier is cheap and has seven hits in his last four games.
- Jose Ramirez – Indians (DK $5,600 & FD $4,200) – Ramierez is boasting a .537 woBA and .500 ISO in his last 56 PA.
- Rafael Devers – Red Sox (DK $5,100 & FD $3,700) – Devers has posted a .295 ISO against righties on the year. He’s facing Wilson who has had issues against lefties in 5 outings. innings
- Justin Turner – Dodgers (DK $4,800 & FD $3,000) – Sandoval struggles against righties and Turner destroys lefties which sounds like the ideal situation to me.
- Kyle Seager – Mariners (DK $4,500 & FD $3,000) – Seager has performed well against righties this year and is facing Montas who has given up six dingers against lefties.
- Alec Bohm – Phillies (DK $3,100 & FD $2,900) – Bohm has showcased why he was highly touted throughout his minor league career. He owns a .242 ISO vs. southpaws.
- Trevor Story – Rockies (DK $5,800 & FD $4,100) – Story has been cold, but he’s facing Bumgarner, who has been awful this season. Story has devoured southpaws throughout his career.
- Jose Iglesias – Orioles (DK $3,900 & FD $2,900) – He’s homered in his last two contests and is at a great price going up against Roark.
- Nick Ahmed – Dbacks (DK $3,800 & FD $2,700) – Ahmed is cheap and facing Freeland, who he’s had some success against in his career.
- Dominic Smith – Mets (DK $4,700 & FD $3,500) – Smith has destroyed right-handed pitchers (1.056 OPS) and is facing Voth, who has allowed a .354 wOBA against lefties.
- George Springer – Astros (DK $5,500 & FD $4,100) – It’s just hard not to like Springer against Lyles. Springer is boasting a .484 wOBA and .429 ISO in his last 54 PA.
- Ronald Acuna – Braves (DK $6,000 & FD $4,500) / Marcell Ozuna – Braves (DK $4,00 & FD $4,400) – Pivetta has been wildly inconsistent throughout his career and both these guys own an ISO greater than .225 against righties.
- Aaron Hicks – Yankees (DK $3,700 & FD $3,200) – Hicks has looked good at the plate this weekend and lefties own a .414 AVG against Urena this year.
- Jeff McNeil – Mets (DK $3,700 & FD $3,000) / Brandon Nimmo – Mets (DK $3,100 & FD $3,400) – McNeil owns a .394 wOBA and .193 ISO vs. righties and Nimmo is boasting a .252 ISO and .428 wOBA against righties. Both are excellent plays.
- Austin Hays – Orioles (DK $2,000 & FD $2,500) – You have to love his price and the fact he owns a .244 ISO in his last 48 PA.
- Jackie Bradley Jr. – Red Sox (DK $3,400 & FD $2,600) – Bradley Jr. has nine hits in his last five contests and is facing a righty this afternoon.
- Nick Castellanos – Reds (DK $4,000 & FD $3,300) – Castellanos has been a lefty killer throughout his career and owns a .277 ISO against them this season.
P – Marco Gonzales
OF – Dominic Smith
1B – Freddie Freeman
3B – Alec Bohm
P – Marco Gonzales
OF – Dominic Smith
1B – Freddie Freeman
3B – Justin Turner