Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s MLB Cash Games!
For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
- Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
- DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
- GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
- MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/Draftcheat/Sedler)
- DFS MLB Chat Room
- DFS MLB Ownership Projections
- Daily MLB Projections & Optimizer
- MLB Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
Today’s cash game breakdown will go over plays for the nine game main slate (1:05 PM ET lock) and the three game afternoon slate (4:07 PM ET lock). As always on Sundays, the afternoon slate is only going to be available on DK.
It doesn’t look like there are any games that have a chance of a delay/postponement and the Wrigley Field game will have winds blowing in at around 8 MPH
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
*No information listed for the afternoon slate due to the short slate
**No Vegas info was available for SEA/HOU at the time of research
Biggest Favorites (Main/Early)
1) Minnesota Twins (-220)
2) Cleveland Indians (-210)
3) Tampa Bay Rays (-194)
4) Philadelphia Phillies (-170)
Highest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Minnesota Twins (6.33)
2) Toronto Blue Jays (5.98)
3r) Philadelphia Phillies (5.36)
3t) Cleveland Indians (5.36)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Miami Marlins (3.33)
2) Los Angeles Angels (3.64)
3) Pittsburgh Pirates (3.88)
4) Chicago White Sox (4.14)
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Max Scherzer||- - -||179.10||2.46||0.247||2.97||3.24||2.90||33.50||18.20||48.30||64.10%||43.50%||34.10||15.90%||50.30%||5.20||68.50%||33.70%||84.30||17.00%||48.40%||34.50%||1.15||46.70%||94.50||8.20|
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Justin Verlander, Astros (DK: $12000; FD: $12000) – Verlander pitched what you can argue was his best game of the season in his last start against the Indians, but he’ll get rewarded for his efforts with a start against the lowly Mariners. For those of you who did not play DFS last night, it should be noted that Aaron Sanchez and the Astros bullpen NO HIT these Mariners. It would be nothing short of a miracle if the Mariners pull this one off against Verlander and with their awful pitching staff.
2) Yonny Chirinos, Rays (DK: $8600; FD: $7900) – Chirinos remains a little too cheap on FanDuel. Even though he didn’t pay off last time out, he should be primed to rebound from that start against a Marlins team that is striking out at the 5th highest rate over the last two weeks, and getting an opportunity to do his thing at home where he has been able to put together a sub-1 WHIP.
3) Joe Musgrove, Pirates (DK: $6200; FD: $7400) – Musgrove seems to be infinitely affordable on DraftKings and I’m willing to use him as an SP2 on DK today against a non-divisional opponent in the New York Mets. It may be hard to believe, but leading up to today’s start, five of Musgrove’s previous six starts were all against NL Central opponents. Why is this important? Well, Musgrove has only allowed ONE earned run over his previous 19 innings against non-divisional opponents.
4) Yu Darvish, Cubs (DK: $9000; FD: $8300)
5) Drew Smyly, Phillies (DK: $6600; FD: $7300)
1) Patrick Corbin, Nationals (DK: $10800)
2) Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (DK: $7000)
3) Taylor Clarke, D-Backs (DK: $4800) – (this is still a stretch because Corbin and Maeda both stand out a ton compared to the other options, including Paddack against the Dodgers)
*Best home run parks*
1) Citizens Bank Park (CHW @ PHI)
2) Oriole Park at Camden Yards (TOR @ BAL)
3) Progressive Field (LAA @ CLE)
1) Dodger Stadium (SD @ LAD)
2) Chase Field (WSH @ ARI)
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – James McCann
1B – Jose Abreu
2B – Derek Dietrich
3B – None
SS – None
OF – Tim Beckham, Max Kepler, Whit Merrifield
C – None
1B – None
2B – None
3B – Matt Chapman
SS – None
OF – Marcell Ozuna, Hunter Renfroe, Juan Soto
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Travis d’Arnaud, Rays
2) J.T. Realmuto, Phillies
3) James McCann, White Sox
4) Danny Jansen, Blue Jays
1) Will Smith, Dodgers
2) Carson Kelly, D-Backs
3) Andrew Knitzer or Matt Wieters, Cardinals
Notes: Not much different from my usual strategy at catcher. I am definitely willing and ready to play the hot guy with upside in d’Arnaud, but I’m also very willing to put the position with any value that opens up. One name that sticks out if he gets the start is Martin Maldonado.
1) Jose Abreu, White Sox
2) Joey Votto, Reds
3) Carlos Santana, Indians
4) Jesus Aguilar, Rays
1) Mark Canha, A’s
2) Paul Goldschmidt, Cardinals
3) Matt Olson, A’s
Notes: Giving Abreu a slight edge over Votto due to the park factor. He has been coming through with big hits throughout the week and has a nice history against Drew Smyly, going 6-for-9 (.667 AVG) with a homer and two doubles. You can also consider Aguilar who will get a lion’s share of opportunities for Tampa against southpaws, and he is significantly cheap on DraftKings in particular.
1) Jose Altuve, Astros
2) Cavan Biggio, Blue Jays
3) Jason Kipnis, Indians
4) Cesar Hernandez, Phillies
1) Ketel Marte, D-Backs
2) Max Muncy, Dodgers
3) Kolten Wong, Cardinals
Notes: Altuve has been a machine lately, putting together 17 hits including four homers and three doubles over his last nine games. Biggio and the rest of the Blue Jays will get a juicy matchup against the combination of Yacabonis and Eshelman, who both have ERA’s pushing 8.
1) Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays
2) Kris Bryant, Cubs
3) Miguel Sano, Twins
4) Maikel Franco, Phillies
1) Matt Chapman, A’s
2) Anthony Rendon, Nationals
3) Eduardo Escobar, D-Backs
Notes: Doesn’t look like a home run derby lull for Vlad Junior. He has outperformed his value in six of his last seven games thanks to a run where he has put together four homers, four doubles, and EIGHTEEN RBIs over those last seven games. With that said, I don’t mind bypassing Vladdy for Kris Bryant, who should match up well against the weak Adam Houser.
1) Freddy Galvis, Blue Jays
2) Francisco Lindor, Indians
3) Bo Bichette, Blue Jays
4) Humberto Arteaga, Royals
1) Trea Turner, Nationals
2) Paul DeJong, Cardinals
3) Manny Machado, Padres
Notes: Almost feel like it’s a bit of a hack to recommend Galvis over Bichette today. While Bo is getting all of the press, it’s actually Galvis who has been dominant lately. In fact, over the last two games, Galvis has gone 5-for-7 (.714 AVG) at the plate with two homers and a double.
1) Max Kepler, Twins
2) Yordan Alvarez, Astros
3) Michael Brantley, Astros
4) Nelson Cruz, Twins
5) Eddie Rosario, Twins
6) Whit Merrifield, Royals
7) Randal Grichuk, Blue Jays
8) George Springer, Astros
9) Josh VanMeter, Reds
10) Corey Dickerson, Phillies
11) Brandon Drury, Blue Jays
12) Guillermo Heredia, Rays
1) Juan Soto, Nationals
2) Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals
3) Adam Eaton, Nationals
4) Khris Davis, A’s
5) Jose Martinez, Cardinals
6) Cody Bellinger, Dodgers
7) Stephen Piscotty, A’s
Notes: Going back-to-back weeks with Max Kepler as my top outfielder. He is having an unbelievable 2019 campaign and should have a good opportunity to add to this spectacular season with a meeting at home against Brad Keller. I also want to consider additional exposure to the big Astros bats if there are enough funds available. On top of that, I do feel that we may need to use an outfield spot as a punt play if some good value emerges once lineups are released.