Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in today’s MLB Cash Games!
For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
- Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
- DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
- GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
- MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/Draftcheat/Sedler)
- DFS MLB Chat Room
- DFS MLB Ownership Projections
- Daily MLB Projections & Optimizer
- MLB Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
UPDATE: Here are a few cheap punt options that I will now consider after seeing lineups released….
1B: Yonder Alonso
2B: Ryan McMahon, Joey Wendle
3B: J.D. Davis
SS: Miguel Rojas
OF: Ender Inciarte, Harrison Bader
Today’s cash game breakdown will go over plays for the 10 game main slate (1:05 PM ET lock) and the four game afternoon slate (4:07 PM ET lock). As always on Sundays, the afternoon slate is only going to be available on DK.
I would like to thank Ted Schuster, Scott Bonder, and the entire Elite Fantasy staff for covering my sleep deprived ass over the last couple weeks. I am extremely happy to announce the birth of my first child, Katheryn, who was born on July 13. While there have been plenty of sleepless nights, I honestly couldn’t be happier right now.
Okay, perhaps I’m lying. One thing that would make me happier is for all of us to have a big Sunday. It has been awhile since I’ve written an MLB article, but I have been playing plenty of DFS, and am excited to jump into today’s research.
It looks like the only game that has any type of precipitation is Twins/White Sox. There is a low chance of rain, so I doubt it’ll have much impact.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
*No information listed for the afternoon slate because only 1 of the 4 games had info available at the time of research
Biggest Favorites (Main/Early)
1) Minnesota Twins (-175)
2) Cincinnati Reds (-170)
3) Cleveland Indians (-164)
4) Philadelphia Phillies (-142)
Highest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Minnesota Twins (6.04)
2) Cincinnati Reds (5.72)
3) Tampa Bay Rays (5.31)
4) Philadelphia Phillies (5.21)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Miami Marlins (3.45)
2) Kansas City Royals (3.90)
3) Arizona D-Backs (4.06)
4) Washington Nationals (4.25)
Today's Pitchers Grid
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Trevor Bauer, Indians (DK: $11100; FD: $11100) – Bauer has had to overcome some rough patches this season, but he has been spectacular over his last few starts. He has also getting a lot of swings and misses, and is averaging close to 10 K’s per game in the month of July. One odd note of interest is that Bauer performs better away from home, having allowed just a 2.19 ERA and 3.14 FIP on the road.
2) Yonny Chirinos, Rays (DK: $9300; FD: $7400) – Yonny is probably a better option to go with on FanDuel where he is a ridiculous $7400. He is having a breakout season and routinely impresses with his overall command and ability to get out of tough situations. The biggest appeal for me is obviously the price tag on FD, but it should also be noted that he has largely contained the Blue Jays this season, to the point where active Blue Jays hitters have gone 5-for-39 (.128 AVG) with just TWO extra base hits.
3) Jason Vargas, Mets (DK: $6700; FD: $7000) – It makes sense for Vargas to be a popular SP2 option on DK today after DFS MLB players saw Steven Matz (of all people) dominate this pathetic Pirates offense with a complete game shutout last night. The Pirates are brutal against lefties. They have put up a pathetic 72 wRC+ and .281 wOBA against southpaws, which happens to be the worst in all of Major League Baseball this season. Vargas is more Jamie Moyer and 2015 Jered Weaver than Randy Johnson, but we’ve seen before that low velocity can still be effective in the Majors (shoutout to Stevie Wilkerson).
4) Robbie Ray, D-Backs (DK: $10800; FD: $10200)
5) Walker Buehler, Dodgers (DK: $10600; FD: $11300)
6) Peter Lambert, Rockies (DK: $5500; FD: $6100) – (would not recommend playing in cash on FD)
1) Felix Pena, Angels (DK: $6700)
2) Madison Bumgarner, Giants (DK: $9700)
3) Matt Boyd, Tigers (DK: $11400)
*Best home run parks*
1) Citizens Bank Park (ATL @ PHI)
2) Great American Ball Park (COL vs. CIN)
3) Miller Park (CHC @ MIL)
1) Angel Stadium (BAL @ LAA)
2) T-Mobile Park (DET @ SEA)
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – Willson Contreras, Matt Wieters
1B – Jose Abreu, Carlos Santana
2B – Cesar Hernandez
3B – Josh Donaldson, Justin Turner, Mike Moustakas, Kris Bryant
SS – Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor
OF – Melky Cabrera, Ian Desmond, A.J. Pollock, Ryan Braun, Lorenzo Cain, Max Kepler, Jorge Soler
C – None
1B – Albert Pujols
2B – Rougned Odor
3B – None
SS – Andrelton Simmons, Elvis Andrus, Fernando Tatis
OF – Mike Trout, Hunter Renfroe
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Travis d’Arnaud, Rays
2) Will Smith, Dodgers
3) Mitch Garver, Twins
4) Matt Wieters, Cardinals
1) Buster Posey, Giants
2) Dustin Garneau, Angels
3) Tommy Murphy, Mariners
Notes: As always, I am more willing to go with a complete punt at catcher if need be, but the two names that stand out are Travis d’Arnaud, who is steaming hot, and Will Smith, who is cheaper, motivated and gets Stephen Strasburg in 90+ degree weather.
1) Paul Goldschmidt, Cardinals
2) Jake Lamb, D-Backs
3) Joey Votto, Reds
4) Yuli Gurriel, Astros
1) Albert Pujols, Angels
2) Matt Olson, A’s
3) Pablo Sandoval, Giants
Notes: Goldy has FINALLY figured things out in St. Louis and has homers in SIX consecutive games. At his $4400 price point on DK, I’m not sure I’m going to risk today being the day he snaps the streak. Otherwise, Jake Lamb is a sneaky good play. His bat is also warming up and he’s a good value on both sites.
1) Max Muncy, Dodgers
2) Jason Kipnis, Indians
3) Ketel Marte, D-Backs
4) Jonathan Schoop, Twins
1) Rougned Odor, Rangers
2) Jace Peterson, Orioles
3) Jonathan Villar, Orioles
Notes: I don’t mind taking a chance on Muncy today against Strasburg in the hot weather. You can make the argument that Muncy has the most power potential from the second base position and I will willingly take the discount to have him in my lineup.
1) Jose Ramirez, Indians
2) Kris Bryant, Cubs
3) Marwin Gonzalez, Twins
4) Justin Turner, Dodgers
1) David Fletcher, Angels
2) Manny Machado, Padres
3) Ryan Court, Mariners
Notes: A lot of good BvP options at third today, but the one play that stands out is Jose Ramirez against a lefty. Many season-long players made a big mistake by selecting Ramirez in the first round of season-long drafts, but he has seemingly snapped out of his funk and is currently batting .345/.367/.702 in July.
1) Jorge Polanco, Twins
2) Carlos Correa, Astros
3) Francisco Lindor, Indians
4) Corey Seager, Dodgers
1) Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres
2) Andrelton Simmons, Angels
3) Marcus Semien, A’s
Notes: There isn’t one shortstop option that stands out today, but I give the edge to Jorge Polanco, who gets a meeting with Dylan Covey. I need to go back to the archives and look at some of the articles I wrote when I first started here, but I’m almost positive I advised picking on Dylan Covey. That was four years ago, and I’m sure I’ll be writing the same thing in my articles 10 years from now as well.
1) Max Kepler, Twins
2) Nelson Cruz, Twins
3) Lorenzo Cain, Brewers
4) Josh VanMeter, Reds
5) Eddie Rosario, Twins
6) Austin Meadows, Rays
7) Oscar Mercado, Indians
8) Tommy Pham, Rays
9) David Peralta, D-Backs
10) Alex Verdugo, Dodgers
1) Mike Trout, Angels
2) Shohei Ohtani, Angels
3) Shin-Soo Choo, Rangers
4) Ramon Laureano, A’s
5) Danny Santana, Rangers
6) Hunter Renfroe, Padres
7) Mark Canha, A’s
Notes: This is where we’re going to have to get the bulk of our Twins exposure. I think playing both Kepler and Cruz is a good idea, but it’s not a must. I do think you should roster at least one of them though. Kepler has a slight edge over Cruz because he has a good track record against Covey. Besides the Twins, you can also consider rostering Lorenzo Cain, who is underpriced in a good matchup against Quintana, and Josh VanMeter who is dirt cheap and absolutely raking.