Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in tonight’s MLB Cash Games!
For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
- Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
- DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
- GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
- Going Deep w/Nick Rodriguez
- MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/Draftcheat/Sedler)
- DFS MLB Chat Room
- DFS MLB Ownership Projections
- Daily MLB Projections & Optimizer
- MLB Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
Today’s cash game breakdown will go over plays for the 10 game main slate (1:05 PM ET lock) and the four game afternoon slate (4:07 PM ET lock). Please keep in mind that the afternoon slate is only available on DK.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals: 36% chance of rain; seems to be scattered storms throughout the afternoon, but it doesn’t look like it’s enough to jeopardize this game enough for it to not play.
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs: 16% chance of rain; also some scattered storms here, but there should be a window to play without issues. The wind is also blowing out to left at about 10-13 MPH.
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers: 5% chance of rain; not a problem at all.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
*The lines for NYM/CHC and TB/OAK were not available at the time of posting.
Biggest Favorites (Main/Early)
1) Cleveland Indians (-208)
2) Milwaukee Brewers (-185)
3) Boston Red Sox (-168)
Biggest Favorites (Afternoon)
1) Los Angeles Dodgers (-220)
2) Seattle Mariners (-167)
3) Arizona D-Backs (-143)
Highest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Minnesota Twins (5.78)
2) Boston Red Sox (5.70)
3) Cleveland Indians (5.34)
Highest Run Expectancy (Afternoon)
1) Los Angeles Dodgers (5.15)
2) Seattle Mariners (5.12)
3) Arizona D-Backs (4.94)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Main/Early)
1) Cincinnati Reds (3.54)
2) Detroit Tigers (3.66)
3) Miami Marlins (3.93)
Lowest Run Expectancy (Afternoon)
1) Colorado Rockies (3.35)
2) Balitmore Orioles (3.88)
3) San Francisco Giants (4.06)
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Max Scherzer||- - -||179.10||2.46||0.247||2.97||3.24||2.90||33.50||18.20||48.30||64.10%||43.50%||34.10||15.90%||50.30%||5.20||68.50%||33.70%||84.30||17.00%||48.40%||34.50%||1.15||46.70%||94.50||8.20|
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Zach Plesac, Indians (DK: $7700; FD: $8900) – As I mentioned in yesterday’s article, the Tigers are a mess at the plate right now and are striking out at the highest rate in the league over the last month. Plesac has amazingly been able to pitch deep into games while maintaining a decent strikeout rate (5+ in each of his last four starts).
2) Brandon Woodruff, Brewers (DK: $7900; FD: $9200) – Woodruff has been a beast at home and is a very reasonable $7900 on DK. You can end up going with a Plesac/Woodruff combo and still have a big number left over in order to crank up the bats. Woodruff’s 28.4% K/rate is more than the Brewers could have hoped for, and he seems to have found a huge comfort level at home in Miller Park.
3) Jacob deGrom, Mets (DK: $10500; FD: $10600) – I just think Verlander’s at too high of a price to be playing today when he has a tougher matchup against the Yankees and in Yankee Stadium where he doesn’t have the greatest history. On the other hand, deGrom probably runs into a similar risk against a dangerous Cubs lineup, but he’s also not as expensive, high max pitch count, and high upside.
4) Steven Brault, Pirates (DK: $5800; FD: $6900) – The Padres notoriously struggle against lefties when they aren’t playing in Coors, and Brault is a ridiculous $5800 on DK. He definitely should not be $5800, and that’s the reason why I have him above a slightly expensive Jordan Yamamoto in the rankings. He’s coming off one of the best starts in his career against the Marlins and showed some promise with his command.
1) Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (DK: $10300)
2) Merrill Kelly, Giants (DK: $8500)
3) Yusei Kikuchi, Mariners (DK: $5000)
*Best home run parks*
1) Yankee Stadium (HOU @ NYY)
2) Citizens Bank Park (MIA @ PHI)
3) Globe Life Park (CHW @ TEX)
1) T-Mobile Park (BAL @ SEA)
2) Chase Field (SF @ ARI)
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – None
1B – Yuli Gurriel, Jesus Aguilar, Anthony Rizzo
2B – Robinson Cano
3B – Brian Anderson, Kris Bryant
SS – Xander Bogaerts, Didi Gregorius
OF – Christian Yelich, Juan Lagares
C – Chris Iannetta
1B – Matt Olson
2B – Ketel Marte
3B – Matt Chapman
SS – None
OF – Charlie Blackmon
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Roberto Perez, Indians
2) Robinson Chirinos, Astros
3) Willians Astudillo, Twins
4) Brian McCann, Braves
1) Pedro Severino, Orioles
2) Omar Narvaez, Mariners
3) Travis d’Arnaud, Rays
Notes: Lots of compelling options at catcher today, but nothing stands out too much. You can go with a pure punt if you need funds, but my gut says that Roberto Perez continues his reign of terror.
1) Freddie Freeman, Braves
2) Ronald Guzman, Rangers
3) C.J. Cron, Twins
4) Carlos Santana, Indians
1) Max Muncy, Dodgers
2) Renato Nunez, Orioles
3) Christian Walker, D-Backs
Notes: No starter has been named by the Nationals, so the good news for people who got screwed by the rainout on Monday/Tuesday is that they’re forced to NOT play Corbin or Scherzer, and perhaps go with a bullpen game. That means, I am all in on Freddie Freeman.
1) Jose Altuve, Astros
2) Mike Moustakas, Brewers
3) Nicky Lopez, Royals
4) Robinson Cano, Mets
1) Hanser Alberto, Orioles
2) Chad Pinder, A’s
3) Ketel Marte, D-Backs
Notes: Jose Altuve is still a little too cheap to ignore on DK, but if funds aren’t an issue, my favorite option is probably Mike Moustakas, who has given up a .406 wOBA to lefties this season.
1) Yoan Moncada, White Sox
2) Brian Anderson, Marlins
3) Manny Machado, Padres
4) Vladimir Guerrero, Blue Jays
1) Matt Chapman, A’s
2) Kyle Seager, Mariners
3) Justin Turner, Dodgers
Notes: A lot of great options at third today. Even though Moncada is atop my list, I’d be lying if I said he’s significantly higher on the list than the other three options that are in my rankings.
1) Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox
2) Dansby Swanson, Braves
3) Kevin Newman, Pirates
4) Humberto Arteaga, Royals
1) J.P. Crawford, Mariners
2) Marcus Semien, A’s
3) Jonathan Villar, Orioles
Notes: Xander Bogaerts absolutely loves hitting against Marcus Stroman. Xander is batting .333/.371/.576 w/two homers, two doubles, and seven runs scored against Stroman throughout his career. If you decide to fade him, I do like Swanson if you’re paying up, Newman if you want a slight discount, or Arteaga if you just want to completely punt the position.
1) Christian Yelich, Brewers
2) Eddie Rosario, Twins
3) Shin-Soo Choo, Rangers
4) Nomar Mazara, Rangers
5) Mookie Betts, Red Sox
6) Bryce Harper, Phillies
7) Jordan Luplow, Indians
8) Lorenzo Cain, Brewers
9) Jay Bruce, Phillies
10) Bryan Reynolds, Pirates
1) Cody Bellinger, Dodgers
2) Domingo Santana, Mariners
3) Matt Beaty, Dodgers
4) Avisail Garcia, Rays
5) Trey Mancini, Orioles
6) Mallex Smith, Mariners
7) Khris Davis, A’s
Notes: If there’s one absolute lock in all of my main slate cash game lineups, it’s going to be Christian Yelich. He’s expensive, but I think it’s a mistake to pass up a situation where he has a matchup against Anthony DeSclafani, who he has crushed throughout his career. He has gone 7-for-15 (.467 AVG) w/two homers, two doubles, and four RBI. From there, I want some exposure to the Rangers bats, but will not be afraid to punt the position if a super cheap value comes up once lineups get posted.