Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in tonight’s MLB Cash Games!
For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
- Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
- DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
- GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
- MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/Draftcheat/Sedler)
- DFS MLB Chat Room
- DFS MLB Ownership Projections
- Daily MLB Projections & Optimizer
- MLB Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
Today’s Cash Game Breakdown will primarily go through the best plays for today’s 11 game main slate. I am especially excited because there will be no Coors Field involved.
Texas Rangers at Cincinnati Reds: 44% chance of rain; scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. There should be a way for this game to play, but we need to keep a close eye on it due to the thunderstorms.
St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets: 16% chance of rain; if the rain does hit, it probably won’t happen until much later in the game.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
*The lines for LAA/TB, PHI/ATL, and ARI/WSH were not available at the time of lock.
1) Houston Astros (-222)
2) Minnesota Twins (-200)
3) New York Yankees (-185)
4) Cincinnati Reds (-170)
Highest Run Expectancy
1) Minnesota Twins (5.64)
2) New York Yankees (5.54)
3) Boston Red Sox (5.46)
4) Houston Astros (5.16)
Lowest Run Expectancy
1) Toronto Blue Jays (3.34)
2) Texas Rangers (3.85)
3) Detroit Tigers (3.86)
4) Kansas City Royals (3.86)
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Max Scherzer||- - -||179.10||2.46||0.247||2.97||3.24||2.90||33.50||18.20||48.30||64.10%||43.50%||34.10||15.90%||50.30%||5.20||68.50%||33.70%||84.30||17.00%||48.40%||34.50%||1.15||46.70%||94.50||8.20|
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Brad Peacock, Astros (DK: $8800; FD: $8500) – What I mentioned in yesterday’s writeup about Toronto’s struggles at the plate was reinforced by their brutal performance against Frambar Valdez. Peacock is a much more experienced pitcher than Valdez, pitches well at home, and faces a Blue Jays team that tends to struggle against the slider, which is Peacock’s best pitch.
2) Martin Perez, Twins (DK: $7300; FD: $8000) – The Royals are the 3rd worst in the Majors against lefties, generating a lowly 74 wRC+, and they have an above average K/rate against lefties as well. Perez has been a much better pitcher this season at home, so all things considered, I feel pretty safe using him as an SP2.
3) Trevor Bauer, Indians (DK: $11200; FD: $11300) – With Bauer’s inconsistencies this season, it’s almost impossible for me to rank Bauer as my top pitcher of the day. Still, this is a very good matchup for him, and more often than not, he seems to provide enough value through his high K/rate to make up for his overall command. The Tigers actually have struck out the 5th most in the majors over the last two weeks.
4) Griffin Canning, Angels (DK: $8900; FD: $8300) – I do admit that playing Canning in cash today is a bit of a stretch given the other options/matchups we have to work with, but Canning is safer than you’d imagine considering he has never had a start where he has thrown less than five strikeouts.
*Best home run parks*
1) Great American Ballpark (Rangers @ Reds)
2) Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Red Sox @ Orioles)
3) Guaranteed Rate Field (Yankees at White Sox)
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – Yadier Molina, Martin Maldonado
1B – Logan Forsythe, Howie Kendrick, Matt Adams, Yonder Alonso
2B – Starlin Castro, Eric Sogard
3B – Matt Carpenter, Maikel Franco
SS – Trea Turner
OF – J.D. Martinez, Dexter Fowler, Bryce Harper, Byron Buxton
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Martin Maldonado, Royals
2) Robinson Chirinos, Astros
3) Yadier Molina, Cardinals
4) Christian Vasquez, Red Sox
Notes: Maldonado has a very good history against Perez, who he faced quite a bit from his time with the Angels. If you have extra funds, you can consider upgrading to Chirinos, but I wouldn’t go out of my way to do so.
1) Matt Adams, Nationals
2) Luke Voit, Yankees
3) Josh Bell, Pirates
4) Paul Goldschmidt, Cardinals
Notes: Matt Adams is 4-for-9 with a homer and double throughout his career against Zack Godley, and is coming off a slump busting Saturday when he hit his first home run in two weeks.
1) Hanser Alberto, Orioles
2) Ozzie Albies, Braves
3) Ketel Marte, D-Backs
4) Starlin Castro, Marlins
Notes: You guys may not realize this, but Hanser Alberto is batting .415/.422/.537 with two homers, four doubles, and seven RBI this season against lefties. If you have the available funds, I don’t mind upgrading to Ozzie Albies, either, because he has consistently been a lefty masher himself.
1) Renato Nunez, Orioles (1B eligible on DK)
2) Marwin Gonzalez, Twins
3) Matt Carpenter, Cardinals
4) DJ LeMahieu, Yankees
Notes: Not exactly thrilled with the 3B options today, so I don’t mind going with a super cheap punt if we find one, but Nunez is a great value on FD, and Marwin is underpriced on DK.
1) Trea Turner, Nationals
2) Didi Gregorius, Yankees
3) Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox
4) Paul DeJong, Cardinals
Notes: Trea Turner continued his dominance yesterday, going 3-for-5 with a triple. That’s now two homers, two triples, and five doubles over his last eight games.
1) Yordan Alvarez, Astros
2) J.D. Martinez, Red Sox
3) Mookie Betts, Red Sox
4) Mike Trout, Angels
5) Trey Mancini, Orioles
6) Austin Riley, Braves
7) Dexter Fowler, Cardinals
8) Yasiel Puig, Reds
9) Harrison Bader, Cardinals
10) Ryan Cordell, White Sox
Notes: Yordan Alvarez is going to cost an arm and a leg in FAAB this week, and I might not end up with him, but I’ve definitely been able to take advantage of his stellar first week to his career, and I’m not stopping today.