For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
Bullpen Coach – Full breakdown of everything you need to know about each team’s bullpen.
Hitting Coach – A deep dive about the top hitters & fades for today’s MLB slate.
Pitching Coach – In-depth breakdown of today’s starting pitchers
DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
MLB Now Livestream – Daily video show breaking down the players, matchups & slate.
MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Today’s Coaching Sessions
All sessions take place in the MLB Chat Room
- Bullpen Coach (Phil Backert) – 9am ET
- Hitting Coach (Vlad Sedler) – 11am ET
- Pitching Coach (DraftCheat) – 12pm ET
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
We are in the last week of the season with 5 games on the Monday slate. A few things to note about this slate is that Blake Snell is starting but will be limited to 4 innings max. It also important to note that a few teams on this slate are playing for playoff spots including the Rays, Nationals and Cardinals with the Mets and Diamondbacks hoping for a miracle. The teams battling for playoff spots will be more aggressive with some of their moves so you need to be aware.
It is a good night for baseball with 3 of the games indoors.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
1. Tampa Bay Rays -200
2. New York Mets -190
3. Washington Nationals -184
Highest Run Expectancy
1. Washington Nationals 5.25
2. Toronto Blue Jays 5.22
3. New York Mets 5.06
Lowest Run Expectancy
1. Miami Marlins 3.44
2. Boston Red Sox 3.45
3. Philadelphia Phillies 3.75
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Max Scherzer||- - -||179.10||2.46||0.247||2.97||3.24||2.90||33.50||18.20||48.30||64.10%||43.50%||34.10||15.90%||50.30%||5.20||68.50%||33.70%||84.30||17.00%||48.40%||34.50%||1.15||46.70%||94.50||8.20|
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Steven Matz, LHP, Mets ($8,900 FD & $7,600 DK) – The Marlins have the 6th wOBA vs. LHP over the last month. Matz had a streak of 2 runs or less allowed before his last start at Coors Field. The price on Draftkings is a no brainer.
2) Zack Eflin, RHP, Phillies ($8,200 FD & $6,800 DK) – He has 3 starts vs. the Nationals this season allowing just 3 ER’s over 18 innings with 21 strikeouts. Eflin has allowed just 5 ER’s over his last 5 starts. The biggest issue for Eflin is against LHH but outside of Juan Soto the Nationals lack any other consistent LHH pop.
3) Patrick Corbin, LHP, Nationals ($10,500 FD & 11,800 DK) – The most expensive pitcher on the slate. It is not easy to afford him on Draftkings but he does possess the most upside. The Phillies do provide some strikeout potential but have been good vs. LHP over the last month which carries some risk at this price. Corbin has 24 strikeouts in 19 innings vs. the Phillies this season.
(2018 Data) (Click here for more park factors!)
1) Rogers Centre – 30.7% HR’s above average
2) Nationals Park – 25.7% HR’s above average
PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST
1) Clay Buchholz, RHP, Blue Jays – 5.21 xFIP, 1.62 HR/9, .365 wOBA vs. LHH, .377 wOBA vs. RHH, 4.94 xFIP in the last 30 days
2) Jhoulys Chacin, RHP, Red Sox – 5.07 xFIP, 1.86 HR/9, .364 wOBA vs. LHH, .349 wOBA vs. RHH
3) Chandler Shepard, RHP, Orioles – 5.21 xFIP, 1.64 HR/9, .383 wOBA vs.RHH, 6.18 ERA & 1.64 WHIP in the minors
4) Caleb Smith, LHP, Marlins – 1.87 HR/9, 6.27 xFIP in the last 30 days
(click on link above)
We have a stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – Sandy Leon – Red Sox
1B- Chris Davis – Orioles
2B- Jose Pirela – Phillies, Cesar Hernandez – Phillies
SS – Jean Segura – Phillies
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Wilson Ramos, Mets – .399 wOBA vs. LHP
2) Yadier Molina, Cardinals – .384 wOBA over his last 27 games
1) Pete Alonso, Mets – .382 wOBA vs. LHP facing a pitcher giving up plenty of HR’s
2) Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks – facing former team and always great there vs. LHP
3) Rowdy Tellez, Blue Jays – value vs. trashy Baltimore staff
4) Ji-Man Choi, Rays – .403 wOBA over his last 23 games
1) Cavan Biggo, Blue Jays – .440 wOBA over his last 22 games
2) Brandon Lowe, Rays – .374 wOBA vs. RHP and always a threat to go deep
3) Joey Wendle, Rays – value option on DK that has been leading off
1) Vlad Guererro, Blue Jays – 25 for 52 vs. the Orioles this season
2) Todd Frazier, Mets – .385 wOBA vs. LHP
3) Rio Ruiz, Orioles – power option vs. awful pitcher
1) Jonathan Villar, Orioles – hit Jays pitching well all season
2) Ahmed Rosario, Mets – .367 wOBA vs. LHP
3) Domingo Leyba, Diamondbacks- value option who had a good season the minors
1) Austin Meadows, Rays – .447 wOBA over the last 26 games
2) Randal Grichuk, Blue Jays – 15 for 44 with 6 HR’s in 11 games vs. the Orioles
3) Lourdes Gurriel, Blue Jays – better price on FD
4) JD Davis, Mets – .434 wOBA at home.
5) Abraham Almonte, Diamondbacks – .450 wOBA over his last 13 games
6) Juan Soto, Nationals – .419 wOBA over the last 26 games
7) JD Martinez, Red Sox – Too cheap on DK and 17 for 42 vs. TB
8) Jose Martinez, Cardinals – .419 wOBA vs. LHP but has been in the lineup for a while
9) Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals – best power bat in the Cardinals lineup