There are 7 games on the slate for Monday that begins a bit later than usual with a 7:40 EST start. We have another game at Coors Field. There are definitely some pitchers to attack and with all the young guys called up in September we should be able to find value when needed.
It is a good night for baseball with no issues.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
1. Oakland A’s -300
2. Minnesota Twins -250
3. Arizona Diamondbacks -205
4. Milwaukee Brewers -170
5. New York Mets -155
Highest Run Expectancy
1. New York Mets 7.40
2. Oakland A’s 6.15
3. Colorado Rockies 6.10
4. Minnesota Twins 5.94
5. Arizona Diamondbacks 5.42
Lowest Run Expectancy
1. Kansas City Royals 3.35
2. Chicago White Sox 3.56
3. Miami Marlins 3.58
4. St. Louis Cardinals 3.78
5. Cincinnati Reds 3.95
Today's Pitchers Grid
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Jose Berrios, RHP, Twins ($8,500 FD & $10,200 DK) – This is the clear-cut play on FanDuel if you want to pay up for some bats. The price should be at least 1k more. The defense has let him down a bit vs. the White Sox in his 4 starts this season but has racked up 25 K’s in 27 innings. Chicago has 4th lowest wOBA, 2nd lowest ISO and 3rd highest K% rate vs. RHP.
2) Robbie Ray, LHP, Diamondbacks ($9,200 FD & $9,800 DK) – There is an ongoing blister issue for Ray but the team seems confident that has been figured. Ray doesn’t go very deep into games but has plenty of strikeout potential. The Marlins have the 2nd lowest wOBA and lowest ISO vs. LHP. Ray has a 30.9% K rate on the season.
3) Stephen Strasburg, RHP, Nationals ($10,400 FD & $11.900 DK) – He has the best xFIP, highest K% rate and highest swinging strike rate over the last month. Strasburg should have a safe floor as he has allowed just 7 runs over his last 5 starts going at least 6 innings with at least 6 K’s in each outing. He has one good outing already vs. the Cardinals and pitching in one of the pitcher friendly parks only helps.
4) Dakota Hudson, RHP, Cardinals ($8,600 FD & $8,100 DK) – As the season as gone on, Hudson has gotten better vs. LHH which was an early season problem. He has gone at least 6 innings in his last 6 starts allowing a total of 6 runs. There are a few hitters to be careful with but Hudson already has one good outing vs. the Nationals. He leads all pitchers on the slate with a 57.2% GB rate.
(2018 Data) (Click here for more park factors!)
1) Coors Field – 42.6% runs above average, 29.7% HR’s above average, 32.1% Hits above average, 32.1% 2B’s above average, 240.7% 3B’s above average
PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST
1) Glenn Sparkman, RHP, Royals – 5.79 xFIP, 2.05 HR/9, .378 wOBA vs. LHH, 6.50 xFIP in the last 30 days, .418 wOBA allowed on the road
2) Reynaldo Lopez, RHP, White Sox – 5.34 xFIP, 1.67 HR/9, .365 wOBA vs. LHH
3) Antonio Senzetela, RHP, Rockies – 5.20 xFIP, .414 wOBA vs LHH
4) Tanner Roark, RHP, Reds – .369 wOBA vs. LHH
5) Pablo Lopez, RHP, Marlins – .373 wOBA allowed on the road
6) Garrett Richards, RHP, Padres – 2.46 WHIP and 10.61 ERA in rehab starts.
(click on link above)
We have a stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
C – James McCann – White Sox
2B – Joe Panik – Mets
3B – Nolan Arenado – Rockies
SS – Jose Peraza – Reds
OF – Charlie Blackmon – Rockies, Lorenzo Cain – Brewers, Eloy Jimenez – White Sox
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Yasmani Grandal – Brewers
2) Wilson Ramos – Mets
3) Mitch Garver – Twins
4) Alex Avila – Diamondbacks
Grandal has a .403 wOBA over the last 27 games. Ramos gets Coors Field and an awful pitcher. Garver has a .475 wOBA over his last 18 games. Avila has a .390 wOBA at home.
1) Matt Olson – A’s
2) Pete Alonso – Mets
3) Daniel Murphy – Rockies
4) Seth Browns – A’s
Olson has a .445 wOBA over the last 14 games. Alonso has a .387 wOBA vs. RHP. Murphy has been hitting LHP well with a .392 wOBA . Brown has a .455 wOBA vs. RHP since his promotion.
1) Ketel Marte – Diamondbacks
2) Keston Hiura – Brewers
3) Wilmer Flores – Diamondbacks
4) Luis Arraez – Twins
5) Jonathan Schoop – Twins
Marte has a .404 wOBA vs. RHP and .461 wOBA over his last 24 games. Hiura has a .427 wOBA vs. RHP but has been limited to pinch hitting since returning from the DL. Flores has a .394 wOBA at home and .477 wOBA over his last 16 games. Arraez has a .389 wOBA vs. RHP and Schoop has a .453 wOBA over his last 17 games.
1) Nolan Arenado – Rockies
2) Mike Moustakas – Brewers
3) Eugenio Suarez – Reds
4) Miguel Sano – Twins
5) Matt Chapman – A’s
Arenado at home vs. LHP is always of interest. Moustakas has a .480 wOBA over his last 18 games. Suarez has a .400 wOBA vs. LHP and a 1.248 OPS in 16 games vs. the Cubs. Sano has 6 HR’s in 14 games vs. the White Sox. Matt Chapman has a .395 wOBA at home. I wouldn’t mind playing two 3B on FanDuel.
1) Trevor Story – Rockies
2) Marcus Semien – A’s
3) Jorge Polanco – Twins
4) Nick Ahmed – Diamondbacks
Story has a .435 wOBA at home. Semien has a .425 wOBA over his last 28 games. Polanco has a .392 wOBA vs. RHP. Ahmed is the best of the cheaper options though not a thrilling choice.
1) Max Kepler – Twins
2) Michael Conforto – Mets
3) Phillip Ervin – Reds
4) Eddie Rosario – Twins
5) Jeff McNeil – Mets
6) Brandon Nimmo – Mets
7) Mark Canha – A’s
8) Nelson Cruz – Twins
9) Nick Martini – Diamondbacks
10) Juan Soto – Nationals
11) Aristides Aquino – Reds
12) Khris Davis – A’s
Kepler has 8 HR’s in 11 games vs. the White Sox. Conforto has a .382 wOBA vs. RHP and McNeil has a .389 wOBA vs. RHP. Ervin has a .436 wOBA vs. LHP. Cruz has a .394 wOBA vs. RHP. Brandon Nimmo has a .445 wOBA over his last 12 games. Martini has a .409 wOBA vs. RHP.