For the time being, we will post our DFS MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. We will update it with links to each piece when it is LIVE so check back throughout the day:
UPDATES – Forget Fedde… Go Anderson on DK if you a punt pitcher or Richards on FD if you must (not a big fan) personally. Still a ton of FD Value to be had with that Marlins lineup. Additional DK value if needed is Fowler, Frazier, Marlins.
Cash Game Breakdown – The article you are currently reading.
Bullpen Coach – Full breakdown of everything you need to know about each team’s bullpen.
Hitting Coach – A deep dive about the top hitters & fades for today’s MLB slate.
Pitching Coach – In-depth breakdown of today’s starting pitchers
DFS MLB Cheatsheet – A quick guide to the top plays at each position and salary level.
GPP Writeup – Using experience, game theory & advanced stats to uncover low owned stars.
MLB Now Livestream – Daily video show breaking down the players, matchups & slate.
MLB Summary – A quick summary of the articles, shows & coaching sessions from today.
Today’s Coaching Sessions
All sessions take place in the MLB Chat Room
- Bullpen Coach (Phil Backert) – 9am ET
- Hitting Coach (Vlad Sedler) – 11am ET
- Pitching Coach (DraftCheat) – 12pm ET
Also Be Sure To Bookmark:
We have 11 games on the slate for Monday. For the first time in a while, we don’t have teams with crazy high run totals. The weather has cooled off a bit in most of the country with the 95 to 100-degree weather taking a break.
There are some expensive pitching options that are in good spots. This is a slate where you could possibly pay up for pitching with some decent value options including several Marlins which is rarely said this season. It does seem that Draftkings is aggressively pricing the good starting pitchers so roster building could be tricky over the coming days. Happy Monday!!!
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals have a 40% chance of storms. We know how bad the Nationals are dealing with bad weather.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates have a 40% chance of rain. It shouldn’t be severe but a chance for a delay.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center
1. Houston Astros – 230
2. Arizona Diamondbacks -230
3. Cleveland Indians -160
4. St. Louis Cardinals -129
5. Washington Nationals -126
Highest Run Expectancy
1. Minnesota Twins 5.57
2. Arizona Diamondbacks 5.53
3. New York Yankees 5.43
4. Houston Astros 5.27
5. Washington Nationals 5.20
Lowest Run Expectancy
1. Oakland A’s 3.23
2. Baltimore Orioles 3.47
3. Toronto Blue Jays 4.02
4. Cincinnati Reds 4.22
5. San Francisco Giants 4.25
Today's Pitchers Grid
TODAY’S BEST PITCHERS
1) Mike Clevinger, RHP, Indians ($10,200 FD & $12,100 DK) – He has a 41.4% K rate and 17.3% swinging strike rate this season in his limited innings. Clevinger is coming off a 12 K performance over 6 innings and has a 10 K game in 5 innings vs. Toronto this season. The Blue Jays have just a .297 wOBA at home this season which is the 4th worst in the league. It is hard to pay up for Clevinger compared to Cole on Draftkings.
2) Gerrit Cole, RHP, Astros ($11,700 FD & $12.500 DK) – It would be easy to just list Cole #1 but that doesn’t really help build realistic lineups on FanDuel. You can pair him nicely with Fedde on Draftkings even with his sky-high price. The 37.5% K rate and 16.3.% swinging strike rate is incredible. Cole has a 13.2 K/9 rate over the last 10 games.
3) Robbie Ray, LHP, Diamondbacks ($9,600 FD & $11.400 DK) – The strikeout rate at 30.7% K rate and 13.7% swinging strike rate is great. The Orioles have the 4th highest K% rate vs. LHP and will lose the DH. Baltimore has the 6th highest K% rate, 3rd lowest ISO and 3rd lowest wOBA on the road this season.
4) Erick Fedde, RHP, Nationals ($5,600 FD & $4,500 DK) – The lack of strikeouts is a concern as he has just 4 total over the last 3 starts. Fedde did have a 9.6 K/9 in the minors so he isn’t as inept has he has shown. He does have an exceptional 53.9% GB rate and just a 17.7% LD rate. The price is near minimum on both sites. The Rockies have the 2nd highest K% rate on the road and lowest wOBA in the league.
(2018 Data) (Click here for more park factors!)
1) PNC Park – 16.3% runs above average, 29.6% 2B’s above average, 63.1% 3B’s above average
2) Guaranteed Rate – 14.1% runs above average, 35.1% HR’s above average
3) Rogers Centre – 49.6% HR’s above average, 17.4% 3B’s above average
4) Nationals Park – 22.5% HR’s above average, 11.5% 2B’s above average
5) Minute Maid Park – 12.4% HR’s above average
PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST
1) Ivan Nova, RHP, White Sox – 4.87 xFIP, 1.79 HR/9, 5.03 xFIP in the last 30 days, .375 wOBA vs. LHH, .382 wOBA vs. RHH, .392 wOBA allowed at home.
2) Adrian Sampson, RHP, Rangers – 5.01xFIP, 1.76 HR/9, .379 wOBA vs. RHH, .431 wOBA allowed at home
3) Peter Lambert, RHP, Rockies – 4.74 xFIP, 2.27 HR/9, 5.42 xFIP in the last 30 days, .404 wOBA vs. LHH
4) Aaron Brooks, RHP, Orioles – 5.17 xFIP, 1.94 HR/9, 5.67 xFIP in the last 30 days
5) Trevor Williams, RHP, Pirates – 4.80 xFIP, .370 wOBA vs. LHH, 6.18 xFIP in the last 30 days
6) Chase Anderson, RHP, Brewers – 4.90 xFIP, 5.34 xFIP in the last 30 days, .368 wOBA vs. RHH
7) CC Sabathia, LHP, Yankees – 4.78 xFIP, 1.98 HR/9, .398 wOBA allowed on the road
8) Erick Fedde, RHP, Nationals – 5.25 xFIP, .369 wOBA vs. LHH
(click on link above)
We have a brand new stolen base target tool on the site. I strongly recommend looking it over in order to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player is to steal tonight.
HOT STREAKS (Hottest Hitters at Each Position)
|10||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||161||698||48||123||111||4||12.3||15.80||0.290||0.313||0.311||0.401||0.601||0.419||166|
|13||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||157|
|16||Frank Schwindel||- - -||64||259||14||44||43||2||6.2||15.80||0.264||0.348||0.326||0.371||0.591||0.403||152|
|17||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||130||546||42||99||97||25||11.4||28.00||0.328||0.324||0.282||0.364||0.611||0.403||156|
|22||Kyle Schwarber||- - -||113||471||32||76||71||1||13.6||27.00||0.288||0.306||0.266||0.374||0.554||0.392||145|
BATTER VS. PITCHER
1B – Edwin Encarnacion – Yankees
2B – Jose Peraza – Reds
SS – Paul Dejong – Cardinals
OF – Hunter Pence – Rangers, Shin-Soo Choo – Rangers, Lorenzo Cain – Brewers, Joey Gallo – Rangers
For More BvP info check out our BvP Matchup Page
OVERALL HITTER RANKINGS
1) Mitch Garver – Twins
2) Roberto Perez – Indians
3) Omar Narvaez – Mariners
4) Travis D’arnaud – Rays
5) Christian Vazquez – Red Sox
Garver has a .509 wOBA vs. LHP while Perez has some real solid numbers vs. LHP at a much cheaper price. Narvaez continues to hit and I don’t think anyone ever owns him. D’arnaud is another bat that people don’t notice much of but has been showing some pop lately and could be leading off.
1) Matt Adams – Nationals
2) CJ Cron – Twins
3) Garrett Cooper – Marlins
4) Carlos Santana – Indians
5) Dan Vogelbach – Mariners
Adams should make the lineup with the Zimmerman injury and has a very solid price. Cron has a .425 wOBA vs. LHP and Sabathia is given up some HR’s. Cooper continues to be productive. Santana gets the cozy Rogers Centre. Vogelbach could be your late-night hammer with a .409 wOBA vs. RHP.
1) Robel Garcia – Cubs
2) Derek Dietrich – Reds
3) Eduardo Escobar – Diamondbacks (FD)
4) Keston Hiura – Brewers
5) Starlin Castro – Marlins
Garcia should be playing every day with his .481 wOBA since being called up. Dietrich should hopefully be back in the lineup. Escobar gets a crack at the horrible O’s pitching staff. Hiura has been amazing the last few weeks but is very expensive. Castro is a value option. This position isn’t one that jumps out to me on this slate.
1) Yuli Gurriel – Astros
2) Yoan Moncada – White Sox
3) Anthony Rendon – Nationals
4) Eugenio Suarez – Reds
5) Brian Anderson – Marlins
Gurriel has 13 HR’s in his last 23 games but still isn’t priced for that insane production. Moncada has a .391 wOBA vs. RHP and a .397 wOBA over the last 30 days. Rendon has a .413 wOBA this season. Suarez has 5 HR’s in 13 games vs. the Brewers & 3 HR’s in 25 PA’s vs. Anderson. B Anderson gives you a value option on FD.
1) Francisco Lindor – Indians
2) Trea Turner – Nationals
3) Alex Bregman – Astros
4) Xander Bogaerts – Red Sox
5) Brandon Crawford – Giants
Lindor is leading off in the most HR friendly park in the league. Turner and the Nationals should pound Lambert. This is a position that you wil probably pay up for with so many high-priced guys in good matchups. Crawford appears to be the best discounted option but he isn’t exactly cheap.
1) Juan Soto – Nationals
2) JD Martinez – Red Sox
3) Jordan Luplow – Indians
4) Yordan Alvarez – Astros
5) Nelson Cruz – Twins
6) Yasiel Puig – Reds
7) Tyler O’Neill – Cardinals
8) Mookie Betts – Red Sox
9) Alex Dickerson – Giants
10) Joey Gallo – Rangers
11) Corey Dickerson – Pirates
12) Hunter Pence – Rangers
13) Domingo Santana – Mariners
14) George Springer – Astros
15) Christian Yelich – Brewers
16) Michael Brantley – Astros
Soto has a .413 wOBA at home and .396 wOBA vs. RHP facing a pitcher who has allowed a .404 wOBA vs. LHH. Martinez has a .467 wOBA vs. LHP and Luplow has a .451 wOBA vs. LHP. Alvarez has a .444 wOBA vs. RHP. O’Neill and Dickerson gives you a couple more sub 3k options on FD.