Everything you’ll need to stay above the payline in tonight’s MLB Cash Games!
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For the time being, we will post our MLB Content Schedule here at the top of the article. It’ll be updated with links when each article is posted, so check back throughout the day!
Today’s Coaching Sessions
All sessions take place in the MLB chat room.
- Bullpen Coach (Phil Backert) – 9am ET
- Hitting Coach (Vlad Sedler) – 11am ET
- Pitching Coach (DraftCheat) – 12pm ET
- Cash Game Breakdown – You’re reading it!
- The Early Bird – Conquer today’s Early Slates!
- Bullpen Coach – Everything you need to know about each team’s bullpen.
- Hitting Coach – A deep dive into the top hitters (& fades) on today’s slate.
- Pitching Coach – An in-depth breakdown of today’s starting pitchers.
- Cheat Sheet – A snapshot of the top plays at each position & salary level.
- GPP Breakdown – We use game theory, & advanced stats to uncover tonight’s low-owned studs.
- MLB NOW Livestream – A daily video show breaking down tonight’s entire slate.
- MLB Summary – A summary of what we discussed in today’s Coaching Sessions & on the livestream.
- Ownership Projections
- Fantasy Baseball Elite Podcasts (Mans/Flowers/DraftCheat/Vlad)
- MLB Chat Room
- Daily Projections & Optimizer
- Splits Hub
- Umpire Factors
Tuesday, April 16th
We are back at it after an extremely high scoring night of DFS on Monday. We were on the right guys last night so hopefully you were able to prosper in what was crazy night. Christian Yelich was a big difference maker with his 3 HR night. The Tuesday slate looks to be a very fun slate as well. It appears FanDuel has to succumb to the East Coast garbage and included the BOS/NYY game as well as the DET/PIT game. We all know the only reason they did it is to include the Red Sox and Yankees rivalry. With the early start, the FanDuel slate starts at 635 EST. The two early games are not included on the Draftkings slate so we have the usual 705 EST start.
For more info and updated forecast, please check out our MLB Weather Center.
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres could have some rain pre-game but it should clear out. It is San Diego so something to keep an eye on since it doesn’t happen very often.
No line available from LAA/TEX
1) Tampa Bay Rays -260
2) Washington Nationals -190
3) Los Angeles Dodgers -170
4) Houston Astros – 155
5) Atlanta Braves -144
Highest Run Expectancy
1) Tampa Bay Rays 4.98
2) Minnesota Twins 4.97
3) Los Angeles Dodgers 4.96
4) Chicago White Sox 4.84
5) Milwaukee Brewers 4.82
Lowest Run Expectancy
1) Baltimore Orioles 3.02
2) San Francisco Giants 3.23
3) Colorado Rockies 3.47
4) Cincinnati Reds 3.54
5) Miami Marlins 3.80
Today's Pitchers Grid
|Tyler Anderson||- - -||152.10||4.14||0.278||4.26||4.53||4.49||34.60||22.30||43.10||68.30%||44.30%||19.60||11.50%||53.20%||5.30||78.30%||36.70%||74.60||14.90%||56.20%||28.90%||1.42||35.30%||90.80||9.60|
|Spencer Howard||- - -||42.00||6.86||0.330||4.14||4.93|
1) Jose Quintana, LHP, Cubs – The Marlins has the 3rd lowest wOBA, last in ISO and have the 2nd highest K% rate over the last week. Quintana found his groove in his last start and finds himself at very fair price on both sites. The price per dollar is the best option if you are paying up for bats. It is not likely you will see the double-digit strikeouts but you don’t need that at this price tag. Quintana had a rough outing vs. Milwaukee but still sits at a 2.70 xFIP this season.
2) Jon Gray, RHP, Rockies – He has allowed just a .224 avg against vs. the Padres and a .229 avg in Petco Park in his career. The Padres do have some power bats added this season but it does come with strikeouts as well. San Diego is still a very right handed lineup which has a 37.7% K rate against Gray since last season. He makes a solid SP2 option with Quintana on Draftkings.
3) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Rays – The Orioles haven’t been as bad as they will be so far this season. They have performed as a bottom 10 offense vs. RHP when they are at least bottom 3 team as the season goes on. Glasnow has a 11.12 K/9, lowest xFIP and SIERA on the slate for projected starting pitchers this season. The biggest key has been his ability to control his pitches which didn’t exist in the past. The only issue is the price tag being the highest on DK and 2nd highest on FD.
4) Stephen Strasburg, RHP, Nationals – The Giants have the worst wOBA and 2nd lowest ISO vs. RHP this season. They also have the 2nd lowest ISO and lowest wOBA over the last week. Strasburg has struggled early this season facing tough lineups that are division opponents. He will have two extra days off which should only help him as he has been better with a day or two extra rest in his career.
5) Kenta Maeda, RHP, Dodgers – He has been a much better pitcher at home and in night games in his career. Maeda has one strong start at home this season and other two road starts he struggled a bit. The Reds have picked up things a bit after a rough start but the thick LA night air will neutralize the bats. The extra day of rest has always benefited Maeda in his career as well.
(2018 Data) (Click here for more park factors!)
1) Globe Life Park – 35.2% above average in runs, 27.3% above average in HR, 44.7% above average in XBH.
2) Citizen’s Bank Ballpark –19.0% above average in total HR’s, 28.9% above average in HR’s to RHH.
3) Miller Park (when dome closed as its expected to be) – 14.7% above average in runs, 22.2% above average in HR’s.
Things To Target (Against)
1) Reynaldo Lopez, RHP, White Sox – 5.42 xFIP since last season and 8.15 xFIP this season
2) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Blue Jays – 4.98 xFIP, 1.54 WHIP, .365 wOBA vs. LHH since last season
3) Jorge Lopez, RHP, Royals – 4.78 xFIP, 1.40 WHIP since last season
4) Tyler Mahle, RHP, Reds – 1.54 WHIP, 1.68 HR/9, .415 wOBA vs. LHH since last season
5) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Orioles – 1.43 WHIP, 2.3 HR/9, .399 wOBA vs. LHH since last season
6) Shane Bieber, RHP, Indians – .375 wOBA vs. LHH
7) Frankie Montas, RHP, A’s – .370 wOBA vs. LHH
Click here for our Stolen Base Target Tool. I strongly recommend checking it out to find a value play or to properly assess how likely a player on tonight’s slate is to steal.
The hottest hitters at each position.
|7||Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||147||638||46||118||104||4||12.7||16.10||0.296||0.320||0.318||0.409||0.615||0.427||172|
|8||Frank Schwindel||- - -||51||199||14||32||39||0||6.5||16.10||0.301||0.350||0.339||0.382||0.640||0.426||169|
|12||Ronald Acuna Jr.||ATL||82||360||24||72||52||17||13.6||23.60||0.313||0.311||0.283||0.394||0.596||0.412||158|
|13||Fernando Tatis Jr.||SDP||117||493||39||95||91||25||11.8||26.80||0.338||0.317||0.284||0.369||0.622||0.409||160|
Batter v Pitcher
For more, visit our BvP Matchup Page!
C – Jonathan Lucroy – Rangers
1B – Hanley Ramirez – Indians
2B – Whit Merrifield – Royals
3B – Zack Cozart – Angels
SS – Marcus Semien – A’s
Overall Hitter Rankings
1) Wilson Contreras – Cubs
2) Yasmani Grandal – Brewers
3) Jonathan Lucroy – Angels
4) Yadier Molina – Cardinals
5) JT Realmuto – Phillies
There are some solid options at the catcher position for a change. Contreras and Grandal are both locked in at the plate but not cheap. Lucroy gets the homer prone Minor at a discounted price in a good ballpark. Molina and Realmuto are always going to be solid options.
1) Paul Goldschmidt – Cardinals
2) Ji-Man Choi – Rays
3) Justin Smoak – Blue Jays
4) Max Muncy – Dodgers (2B on DK as well)
5) Martin Prado – Marlins
Goldschmidt has 13 HR’s in 28 games at Miller Park in his career and continues to be underowned. Choi will look to continue the homerun train against Bundy. Smoak has been hitting well since his return from an injury and Muncy takes on Mahle who can’t get LHH’s out.
1) Danny Santana – Rangers
2) Brandon Lowe – Rays
3) Whit Merrifield – Royals
4) Robinson Cano – Mets
5) Mike Moustakas – Royals
Santana continued to his hot hitting in the minors yesterday with his call-up and is running whenever he can. Lowe will look to take Bundy deep. Merrifield has good success vs. Lopez and the White Sox. Cano comes in at a solid price on both sites. Moustakas continued his power surge last night.
1) Nolan Arenado – Rockies
2) Jose Ramirez – Indians
3) Matt Carpenter – Cardinals
4) Anthony Rendon – Nationals
5) Marwin Gonzalez – Twins
This position is absolutely loaded. Arenado has finally awoken with homers in his last 2 games and just missing another one. Ramirez is bound to hit and is cheap on FD. Carpenter is always solid while Rendon has been the best hitting 3B this season. Gonzalez has a good match-up and is only listed as a value option if you must. I really don’t recommend paying down at this position unless you have too.
1) Javier Baez – Cubs
2) Corey Seager – Dodgers
3) Adalberto Mondesi – Royals
4) Willy Adames – Rays
5) Andrelton Simmons – Angels
If you have the money, I would like to pay up on SS but not sure it is completely necessary. Baez only beats up on bad pitching and that is what the Marlins can be. Seager will look to take advantage of Mahle and Mondesi will take on the pitcher who has been one of the worst this season. Adams doesn’t have the ideal batting spot but has been hitting well lately. Simmons sucks but has a desirable spot in the batting order in a high scoring environment.
1) Christian Yelich – Brewers
2) JD Martinez – Red Sox
3) Alex Verdugo – Dodgers
4) Randall Grichuk – Blue Jays
5) Teoscar Hernandez – Blue Jays
6) Austin Meadows – Rays
7) Mike Trout – Angels
8) Tommy Pham – Rays
9) Kevin Kiermaier – Rays
10) Eddie Rosario – Twins
11) Daniel Palka – White Sox
12) Eloy Jimenez – White Sox
Yelich delivered with 3 HR’s last night as the #1 OF and has owned Cardinals pitching this season. Martinez crushes LHP and loves Yankee Stadium. Verdugo will likely be in the lineup if Bellinger is out. The Jays OF provides the value on FanDuel. The Rays OF all provide HR potential. Trout will be popular again but the issue are the Rangers willing to actually pitch to him as walks at his price tag don’t cut it.