Friday’s NHL slate features five (5) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock.
As a reminder, my GPP articles this season will include three types of stacks: Projected High-Ownership (chalky), Projected Mid-Level Ownership and Projected Low-Ownership. On top of that, every once in a while, I will also throw an Extremely Low Ownership dart throw as well…
Friday’s NHL slate features five (5) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock.
With the trade deadline looming, we’ve seen a lot of chaos leading up to lock the last few nights. My advice for you is to just assume the worst and check over ALL of the players in your lineup. I get off of my day job right at lock so I don’t know if I will be able to look over every detail. Stay alert on Twitter and follow the necessary team beat writers.
As a reminder, my GPP articles this season will include three types of stacks: Projected High-Ownership (chalky), Projected Mid-Level Ownership and Projected Low-Ownership. On top of that, every once in a while, I will also throw an Extremely Low Ownership dart throw as well.
While GPP lineups often focus on stacking, there will be plenty of times where you need to insert a value play, so I will also include a few of my favorite value plays in each of these GPP focused write-ups. I wouldn’t want your lineups to be scattered with value plays, but I do know that you will end up needing to play a cheap option or two every now and then.
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to read my DFS NHL Frequently Asked Questions article. This article goes through some important information about what you need to know as a Guru Elite NHL Subscriber. This article will continue to be updated throughout the season. If I haven’t answered your question yet, don’t sweat it, because I promise you I will.
Also, please check out the following important information…
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
*Stacks are not listed in order of preference
Projected High-Ownership Stacks
CHI1: Patrick Kane/Jonathan Toews/Brandon Saad
Possible add-on: Duncan Keith (5v5) or Erik Gustafsson (PP)
There always seems to be a ton of fireworks when the Avalanche and the Blackhawks face each other. Still, I don’t know if it really matters too much, considering the Hawks are the hottest team around and scoring goals in bunches. Patrick Kane has a ridiculous 19-game point streak and is primed to take this to the moon. While the Avs have been able to shut down both the Golden Knights and Jets the last two games, it’s not necessarily a situation where they completely stifled their opponents. Plenty of chances were allowed, but they received good goaltending from the usually inconsistent Semyon Varlamov. It may end up being a different story tonight away from Pepsi Center.
CHI2: Alex Debrincat/Ryan Strome/Dominik Kahun
Possible add-on: Erik Gustafsson (PP) or Gustav Forsling (5v5)
Most think Colorado would be an appealing target for me, and in the sense, they are, but they probably don’t hit my top 10 because of how evenly distributed their lines are (MacKinnon, Rantanen and Landeskog are all split up). Instead, we’ve seen the Hawks become a two line team. You just cannot overlook their 2nd line, featuring Debrincat with Strome and Kahun. All three guys have very specific skills that do seem to compliment each other very well, and their recent production will keep them high up in ownership.
DET1: Anthony Mantha/Dylan Larkin/Tyler Bertuzzi
Possible add-on: Filip Hronek
It took a while for these three Wings to get placed on a line together again, but it happened, and thank goodness it did because they went bonkers against the Hawks on Wednesday. In just 48 ½ 5v5 minutes together this season, the trio of Mantha, Larkin and Bertuzzi have a 60.8% CF% and have generated 20 high-danger scoring chances while giving up just eight high-danger scoring chances. Mantha is a guy who many Wings fans feel has been extremely underutilized by Todd Blashill, so I expect all three members of the line to put forth a concerted effort to produce so they can continue to play together for the long haul.
Projected Mid-Level Ownership Stacks
VGK1: Jonathan Marchessault/William Karlsson/Reilly Smith
Add-on: Nate Schmidt
Sometimes it’s difficult to figure out what’s going wrong with a team you don’t watch very often. I haven’t had time to watch many Jets games lately, so I was very shocked when I saw how freaking awful WPG1 has been after looking over their recent metrics. The trio of Connor, Wheeler and Scheifele have allowed 17 high-danger scoring chances per 60 since the start of February. Allowing that many scoring chances does not put your goaltender in a situation to succeed, and I think this could end up sparking VGK’s top line, who will undoubtedly matchup against Wheeler and Scheifele. I think there’s a chance Ehlers will replace Connor tonight, but given it’s his first game back after a long absence, I don’t necessarily think his presence will impact much.
CBJ2: Josh Anderson/Boone Jenner/Nick Foligno
With Ottawa benching virtually all of their star players, the end result is a team full of various 2nd (and that’s a stretch), 3rd and 4th liners, which definitely puts the Blue Jackets in a place to succeed. With Artemi Panarin literally shitting his pants the other night (per John Tortorella), we saw both Dubois and Atkinson take a step back and CBJ2 take a big step forward. Josh Anderson is truly one of the most underrated players in the entire league and routinely leads the team in CF%, even though he tends to get the tougher matchups at home. With CBJ1 likely getting the tougher matchup against Pageau’s line, CBJ2 should be in a great situation against Chris Tierney’s line (I could be wrong, but I’d be surprised if they don’t get at least 5-10 shifts against them). Tierney has been atrocious throughout the season and has taken a backseat in recent weeks with Head Coach Guy Boucher having lines lead by Stone, Duchene and Pageau taking the opposition’s top three lines at home, but with Stone and Duchene out of the equation, I think Tierney definitely needs to play more. It’s no surprise Tierney was on the ice for three goals against in last night’s brutal contest against the Devils, and considering the back-to-back situation, it puts CBJ2 in a favorable position to have a sneaky good performance.
Projected Low Ownership Stacks
ANA2: Jakob Silfverberg/Derek Grant/Devin Shore
Possible add-on: Hampus Lindholm
I am a major skeptic of Calgary’s newly orchestrated lines. When you have a line working as well as Gaudreau, Monahan and Lindholm, I think you just let them work out the kinks, but they’ve chosen to flip Lindholm to Backlund’s line and bring up Tkachuk to Gaudreau and Monahan’s line. It’ll take them some time to build their chemistry in all areas of the ice. So yes, they do produce quality scoring chances because they are all very skilled players, but in the end, the numbers tell us that they’ve allowed six 5v5 goals in less than 60 minutes of ice time. In contrast, Silfverberg, Grant and Shore have been together for roughly 40 minutes of ice time and have only allowed one 5v5 goal. This is definitely more of a dart throw because they do not generate the best of scoring chances, but the Flames are vulnerable in between the pipes, and a sharpshooter like Silfverberg can capitalize on that.
CGY2: Elias Lindholm/Mikael Backlund/Michael Frolik
Possible add-on: Mark Giordano
*I am now separating the value plays by site because there are so many drastic differences in value. Also, keep in mind that none of these value options are “must plays.” They are all values for a reason.
DraftKings Value Plays
- Tyson Jost (C-COL): $3100
- Ryan Donato (C-MIN): $2600
- Jakob Silfverberg (W-ANA): $4300
- Matt Nieto (W-COL): $2700
- Jordan Greenway (W-MIN): $2600
- Filip Hronek (D-DET): $3200
- Greg Pateryn (D-MIN): $2500
FanDuel Value Plays
- J.G. Pageau (C-OTT): $3500
- Tyson Jost (C-COL): $3700
- Jakob Silfverberg (W-ANA): $4600
- Ryan Donato (W-MIN): $3000
- Matt Nieto (W-COL): $3700
- Rudolfs Balcers (W-OTT): $3200
- Tyler Myers (D-WPG): $3900
- Niklas Kronwall (D-DET): $3700
*Make sure your goalie is starting. I would generally recommend just correlating your goalie with a stack that you are using (as long as it’s not a game stack), but if not, these are my favorites…
- Sergei Bobrovsky, Blue Jackets (DK: $8000; FD: $8700)
- Ryan Miller, Ducks (DK: $6800; FD: $7600)