Saturday night’s NHL slate features eleven (11) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock…
Saturday night’s NHL slate features eleven (11) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock.
As a reminder, my GPP articles this season will include three types of stacks: Projected High-Ownership (chalky), Projected Mid-Level Ownership and Projected Low-Ownership. On top of that, every once in a while, I will also throw an Extremely Low Ownership dart throw as well.
While GPP lineups often focus on stacking, there will be plenty of times where you need to insert a value play, so I will also include a few of my favorite value plays in each of these GPP focused write-ups. I wouldn’t want your lineups to be scattered with value plays, but I do know that you will end up needing to play a cheap option or two every now and then.
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to read my DFS NHL Frequently Asked Questions article. This article goes through some important information about what you need to know as a Guru Elite NHL Subscriber. This article will continue to be updated throughout the season. If I haven’t answered your question yet, don’t sweat it, because I promise you I will.
Also, please check out the following important information…
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
(Stacks are not listed in order of preference)
Projected High-Ownership Stacks:
TBPP1: (in order of preference) Nikita Kucherov/Steven Stamkos/Victor Hedman/Brayden Point/Yanni Gourde
Montreal has struggled heavily in containing their opposition on a consistent basis. Part of it is just because they play with a significantly fast pace, to the point where they’ve generated the most shot attempts in the month of December. Jeff Petry and Shea Weber have been important members of their top power-play unit, but they’ve also not been very good in their own zone. That’s not a good thing if you have the 2nd worst penalty kill in the NHL in the month of December, and face the league’s best power-play in the month of December. Yes, the Lightning power-play is outstanding. They are so fluid and always keep their opponents guessing to the point where they are capitalizing nearly 40 percent of the time.
TORPP1: (in order of preference) Mitch Marner/John Tavares/Auston Matthews/Morgan Rielly/Nazem Kadri
I don’t necessarily think John Tavares would have viewed this Islanders game as much of a “revenge” game, but after hearing comments from Islanders Coach Barry Trotz, I’m certain he’s been able to pick up some extra motivation. With that said, I’m not sure if it’ll be very necessary. It’s no secret that the Toronto top line has been the team’s best line in recent weeks and it’s no secret that the top power-play unit, anytime they’ve been together, is among the best in the entire NHL. In the case of Tavares, he has put together FIVE consecutive multi-point games and has eight goals over his last eight contests. Yes, I want shares of this game, and I definitely want shares of Tavares/Marner.
WSHPP1: (in order of preference) Alex Ovechkin/Nicklas Backstrom/John Carlson/Evgeny Kuznetsov/T.J. Oshie
The last time these two teams played, Washington’s top guys were highly owned, as predicted, but were unable to generate much scoring. I want it to be clear that I would be highly SHOCKED if that happens again tonight. The Capitals will get to face Ottawa’s… 5th string goaltender in Marcus Hogberg. Hogberg is not a very highly touted prospect and has struggled to gain much traction in a goalie system that is dying for a standout performer. In fact, many of his starts over the last couple seasons have been in the ECHL, which is basically hockey’s Double-A, and he hasn’t exactly been able to tear it up there either.
Projected Mid-Level Ownership Stacks:
PHI2: Jakub Voracek/Sean Couturier/Wayne Simmonds
With Florida’s top line getting overworked last night, I’d be very surprised if they’ll be able to keep up with Philly throughout tonight’s contest in Sunrise. The Flyers are finally going back to this Voracek, Couturier, Simmonds trio as their 2nd line. All three members are on their top power-play unit and all three members have been able to generate plenty of offense when paired together this season. Defensively, it has been another story, but we don’t exactly care about that if we’re stacking them in DFS. They are coming off of a game where they completely dominated Tampa from a possession standpoint, and I’d be very surprised if they weren’t able to do the same tonight in Florida, where they will split time matching up against a tired Barkov and a weak Brouwer/McCann/Malgin line that allowed two goals to the Habs last night.
NSH1/NSHPP1: Calle Jarnkrok/Ryan Johansen/Viktor Arvidsson with Roman Josi
I would be completely shocked if Nashville does not win tonight. They frankly should have destroyed the Stars on Thursday, but they just couldn’t score on Anton Khudobin of all people. But even against the toughest competition, NSH1 was able to dominate the possession game and generate 25 shot attempts, including 11 scoring chances, and 2 high-danger scoring chances, all in 5v5 play. If you include the top PP unit, you can add 6 more shot attempts, 4 more scoring chances, and 2 more high-danger scoring chances. The Preds don’t like losing in front of their home crowd, and I really don’t think that’s happening tonight against the Rangers.
Projected Low Ownership Stacks:
DAL1: Jamie Benn/Roope Hintz/Alexander Radulov
A lot has been made about the comments from Dallas Stars management where both Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn have completely torn apart. While much of what CEO Jim Lites made public yesterday is basically true, the calling out of your two best players is not very common in sports. Both Benn and Seguin acknowledged those comments in today’s morning skate and I’d be very surprised if their level of play doesn’t pick up. With that said, there’s still a high level of risk in playing Dallas on a nightly basis. I would imagine that you’d be very deep in the red if you decided to stack the Stars top line every game they’ve played this season. Nevertheless, if there’s any trio that’s going to produce tonight, I have confidence that it’ll be Benn, Hintz, and Radulov. Even though the effort hasn’t been there for the entire season, I still consider Benn a heart and soul player who will grind out big games when his team needs him. We know the effort and skill is always going to be there with Radulov, so it really comes down to how well the duo meshes with Hintz, who showed flashes of brilliance earlier this season with the club, and was excellent in his recent stay with AHL-Texas.
ARI1: Richard Panik/Derek Stepan/Clayton Keller
I have been thoroughly impressed with Arizona’s top line anytime they’ve played with each other this season. They are consistently able to control the possession game and generate more high-quality scoring chances than their opponents even though they usually get the tougher matchups. In fact, on Thursday, they basically played the entire game against LA1 and dominated them. Their biggest obstacle is usually just their goal-scoring woes. Even with those high-quality scoring chances, they’ve only been able to score three 5v5 goals in 95 minutes of ice time. Still, they should get one of their easier matchups since being reunited, tonight, against the Ducks.
*I am now separating the value plays by site because there are so many drastic differences in value. Also, keep in mind that none of these value options are “must plays.” They are all values for a reason.
Draftkings Value Plays:
Dylan Strome (C-CHI): $3,400
Ryan Kesler (C-ANA): $2,700
Richard Panik (W-ARI): $3,300
Wayne Simmonds (W-PHI): $3,800
Travis Sanheim (D-PHI): $3,200
Patrik Nemeth (D-COL): $2,900
FanDuel Value Plays:
Henrik Borgstrom (C-FLA): $3,300
Danton Heinen (W-BOS): $3,700
Richard Panik (W-ARI): $3,500
Calle Jarnkrok (W-NSH): $3,500
Jakob Chychrun (D-ARI): $3,500
*Make sure your goalie is starting. I would generally recommend just correlating your goalie with a stack that you are using (as long as it’s not a game stack), but if not, these are my favorites…
Andrei Vasilevskiy, Lightning (DK: $8,300; FD: $9,000)
Pekka Rinne, Predators (DK: $8,000; FD: $8,500)
Carter Hart, Flyers (DK: $7,400; FD: $7,700)