Tonight’s NHL slate features a total of five games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock.
UPDATE (2:07 PM ET): As expected, the Devils have changed up their lineup to the point where Hall is now with Zacha and Bratt on the “3rd” line and Boqvist will join Hischier and Palmieri. I actually prefer getting the Hall exposure here because I don’t even recall the last time he was on a “3rd” line, so that really should motivate him. I may still get exposure to the Hischier line if I’m playing a lot of lineups. Additionally, it looks like Chicago is playing 11 forwards and 6 defensemen and won’t have Dylan Strome. That’s actually a huge boost to the Chicago top nine because they are going to get a ton of minutes. Still like Kane/Debrincat. I’m guessing they still get plenty of shifts with Carpenter, but you can also use Toews to get the PP exposure. Again, all of this is likely to be minimal ownership due to the matchup.
Today’s slate has a few moving pieces where I have a feeling there’s going to be a lot of line juggling, so please be sure to check the article again before lock.
My last GPP article was pretty eventful considering all the players that I used in the lineup where I won my Live Final Qualifier was mentioned in the write-up. Hopefully I can turn that mojo into a) $100,000 and b) another big night for myself and the entire Elite Mafia.
As previously mentioned, I am going to make it a habit to update my charts every single time I do a GPP article. This will include data based on the previous two weeks of play. I will certainly consider the data when picking out my stacks, and it’s certainly something you guys can use to examine the various matchups tonight.
First, here is the standard “PACE OF PLAY” chart that takes Corsi/60 and adds it together with Corsi Allowed/60 at 5v5 play over the last two weeks.
And lastly, here’s one of my favorite things to look at, and that’s “VOLUME OF QUALITY CHANCES” at 5v5 play, which takes High-Danger Scoring Chances/60 and adds it together with High-Danger Scoring Chances Allowed/60 over the last two weeks.
Elite Fantasy NHL Content Schedule (Main Slates Only)
- 2-3 games (Cheatsheet only)
- 4 games (Cheatsheet and GPP Article)
- 5+ games (Cheatsheet, Cash Game Breakdown, and GPP Article)
- Sundays until NFL finishes up (Cheatsheet only)
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
MAIN SLATE (5 GAMES – 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT lock)
*Stacks are now listed in order of projected ownership (chalky to not chalky)
- VGK1: Jonathan Marchessault/William Karlsson/Reilly Smith
- Possible add-on: Nate Schmidt
- NYR2: Artemi Panarin/Ryan Strome/Kappo Kakko
- Tony Deangelo (PP1) or Adam Fox (5v5)
- BUF1: Victor Olofsson/Jack Eichel/Sam Reinhart
- Possible add-on: Rasmus Ristolainen
- NJ1: Taylor Hall/Nico Hischier/Kyle Palmieri
- CHI2: Alex Debrincat/Ryan Carpenter (or Dylan Strome if he plays)/Patrick Kane
- Possible add-on: Erik Gustafsson
- LA2: Jeff Carter/Michael Amadio/Tyler Toffoli
- Possible add-on: Drew Doughty (5v5) or Sean Walker (PP2)
- NYI2: Anthony Beauvillier/Brock Nelson/Jordan Eberle
- Possible add-on: Nick Leddy or Ryan Pulock
- DET1: Tyler Bertuzzi/Dylan Larkin/Luke Glendening
- BUF2: Casey Mittelstadt/Marcus Johansson/Jimmy Vesey
- The Rangers are a team that has consistently given up a high-number of high-danger chances throughout the season. I think both of the Golden Knights’ top two lines have the ability to break the slate; however, I do give the edge to VGK1. Mika Zibanejad has made his big return to the Rangers lineup, but he hasn’t had much of an impact defensively, and his line has had a rough time getting out of their own zone. With teams usually giving their better defensive line the matchup against VGK2, I will definitely have more exposure to VGK1.
- Buffalo’s top line has produced the vast majority of the Sabres offense this season. The only chance that the Sabres have to win games is for Eichel and his linemates to go off, and they’ve been on their A-game lately. Nevertheless, I would also advise giving BUF2 some consideration. Marcus Johansson has been sneaky valuable throughout his career and has looked good since returning to the lineup.
- I feel the Blues have been playing with very little pace, but in certain situations, we still need to take advantage of ownership. I think there’s a chance that the Kane line is going to have SUPER low ownership tonight. I am not the best judge of ownership, but one thing I do know is that the majority does not target lines against the Blues. The Hawks play with a good amount of pace and Kane in particular does push the tempo and create quality chances. The main thing to keep an eye on is Dylan Strome’s status.
- The Kings and Ducks have largely disappointed this season, but I do feel the Kings are on a somewhat upward trajectory lately compared to the Ducks. Anaheim seems to be very mistake prone in inopportune times (including the PK), and they are also not getting the best goaltending lately from both Gibson and Miller. Nevertheless, with Derek Grant’s line taking a lot of opponent’s top lines and playing at a super slow pace, I do want more of LA2 who have three guys who aren’t afraid to shoot the puck.
STAND-ALONE VALUE OPTIONS
*Some lineups just need value. If you’re rostering an expensive stack, you will undoubtedly need some value plays scattered throughout your lineup. Most of these plays are also cash game viable.
- Michael Amadio, Kings (C) – $2900
- Marcus Johansson, Sabres (C) – $3100
- Jimmy Vesey, Sabres (W) – $2800
- Zach Sanford, Blues (W) – $3000
- Nikita Gusev, Devils (W) – $4000
- Alex Iafallo, Kings (W) – $3800
- Sean Walker, Kings (D) – $3600
- Calvin de Haan, Blackhawks (D) – $3300
- Matt Roy, Kings (D) – $2900
- Michael Amadio, Kings (C) – $3800
- Paul Stastny, Golden Knights (C) – $4500
- Nikita Gusev, Devils (W) – $3900
- Alex Iafallo, Kings (W) – $4400
- Jimmy Vesey, Sabres (W) – $3500
- Zach Sanford, Blues (W) – $3600
- Nate Schmidt, Golden Knights (D) – $4400
- Sean Walker, Kings (D) – $4100
GOALIES WITH UPSIDE
*For GPPs, I definitely recommend correlating your goalie selections with a stack, but these goalies likely have some upside if you’re solely looking for volume
- Corey Crawford/Robin Lehner, Blackhawks
- Alexandar Georgiev/Henrik Lundqvist, Rangers
- John Gibson, Ducks