Monday’s NHL slate features five (5) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock. As a reminder, my GPP articles this season will include three types of stacks: Projected High-Ownership (chalky), Projected Mid-Level Ownership, and Projected Low-Ownership. On top of that, every once in awhile, I will also throw an Extremely Low Ownership dart throw as well.
Monday’s NHL slate features five (5) games and a 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT roster lock.
It has been awhile since I’ve done a GPP article for a short five game slate. I genuinely don’t see any matchups tonight that I clearly feel is lopsided, but I do believe that there’s a few spots where I wouldn’t be surprised if it ends up being high-scoring.
As a reminder, my GPP articles this season will include three types of stacks: Projected High-Ownership (chalky), Projected Mid-Level Ownership, and Projected Low-Ownership. On top of that, every once in awhile, I will also throw an Extremely Low Ownership dart throw as well.
While GPP lineups often focus on stacking, there will be plenty of times where you need to insert a value play, so I will also include a few of my favorite value plays in each of these GPP focused write-ups. I wouldn’t want your lineups to be scattered with value plays, but I do know that you will end up needing to play a cheap option or two every now and then.
If you haven’t done so already, be sure to read my DFS NHL Frequently Asked Questions article. This article goes through some important information about what you need to know as a Guru Elite NHL Subscriber. This article will continue to be updated throughout the season. If I haven’t answered your question yet, don’t sweat it, because I promise you I will.
Also, please check out the following important information….
Please be sure to keep track of the LINES (who plays with who) and goalie confirmations (who are the starting goalies). Here are the resources I recommend to keep an eye on any developments:
This information comes straight from writers who follow each of the NHL teams closely. If anything important ever comes up, they are surely the first to know and will know earlier than any DFS or NHL website. Following this list will make it easier for you to keep an eye on all types of changes throughout the day (e.g. line changes, goalie confirmations, and late scratches).
If a goalie gets confirmed as the starter throughout the day, this is where you’ll want to go to make sure they are locked in.
This resource is very good to check on line combinations from the previous game and the projected lines for the next game. Be aware that lines may update as they come in, so if a team holds a morning skate, there’s a good chance that the lines that are updated from the morning skate are going to be used in that night’s game.
(Stacks are not listed in order of preference)
Projected High-Ownership Stacks:
TOR1: Mitch Marner/John Tavares/Connor Brown with Morgan Rielly
The Predators have had a few of their major pieces to their lineup make their returns in recent weeks, and that includes P.K. Subban, Viktor Arvidsson, and now Colton Sissons. These returns have definitely bolstered their lineup, but it’s definitely noticeable that the line that has been playing with the most pace is their top line, featuring Arvidsson and Ryan Johansen. It’s partly why both Arvidsson and Johansen have averaged one goal against per game over the course of their last six contests. Mix in the fact that the Leafs have been playing with the highest pace in hockey over the last month, I definitely want a piece of their best line, which notably includes Mitch Marner and John Tavares.
CGY1: Johnny Gaudreau/Sean Monahan/Elias Lindholm with Mark Giordano
Based on what I’ve seen on the ice, anything good we’ve seen from the Blackhawks lately has been FOOLS GOLD. They have allowed the most high-danger scoring chances and 5th most Corsi over the last month of play. While they were fortunate to end the Penguins big winning streak last night, I do not believe that they can beat one of the best teams in the Western Conference in the Calgary Flames. Calgary’s top line has been nothing short of spectacular in recent weeks, and has generated a whopping TEN goals in 5v5 play over their last six contests. On top of the 5v5 numbers, they are also an above average power-play that gets a meeting against the league’s 2nd worst penalty killing unit.
Projected Mid-Level Ownership Stacks:
CGY2: Matthew Tkachuk/Mikael Backlund/Sam Bennett
While CGY1 tends to get the better opportunities to produce thanks to their big minutes on the power-play, I feel like tonight is a night where we may want to consider Calgary’s 2nd line as well. It’s no secret that Chicago’s 2nd line has been the line to target against since they’ve been placed together. Patrick Kane has allowed 34 high-danger scoring chances in 5v5 play over his last six contests. Just to give you some perspective, Jonathan Toews has allowed HALF of that (17) with the Hawks 1st line. Just to give some more perspective, Mike Hoffman has allowed NINE over that same time span. Collin Delia has absolutely been the reason why the Hawks have even had a chance to win some of these games, but good goaltending can only go so far.
SJ3: Evander Kane/Tomas Hertl/Joonas Donskoi with Brent Burns
I feel the Sharks most recent game against the Lightning really told us a lot about the team as a whole. They were able to pull through with a big victory even though they were without some major pieces in their defense corps. We were also able to clearly see how San Jose will matchup against their opponent’s top two lines thanks to the matchup they had against two very clearly defined lines in TB1 and TB2. At the end of the day, we saw the Hertl line get matched up against TB3! In my eyes, that’s incredible. While Pavelski and Thornton have had their moments together, they are also the duo that seems to make the most costly errors, and they also play the most with Brent Burns, who has definitely played with the most pace over the last month or so. There are a lot of benefits from playing a 3rd line against the Kings and that mainly stems from the fact that 3rd lines will tend to get the majority of minutes against the Kings 3rd D trio. While Dion Phaneuf is getting less and less minutes per game, it doesn’t change the fact that these guys somehow always seem to get caught in their own zone even though they rarely get defensive zone starts. This high motor SJ3 line is a line that can definitely take advantage of the Kings weaker players throughout the night.
Projected Low Ownership Stacks:
LA2: Alex Iafallo/Jeff Carter/Brenden Leipsic with Jake Muzzin
So yeah, the Sharks definitely do play with some pace, and I do feel that the Pavelski line combined with Brent Burns tends to allow the most opportunities, so I definitely feel like LA’s 2nd line is the way to go. For the Kings, it has been a nightmare trying to find secondary scoring, but I do think that breaking up the Iafallo/Kopitar/Brown trio was something that had to happen if the Kings realistically believe that can muster a push for the Playoffs this season. The game against the Oilers this past Saturday was promising because all four of their lines were able to produce a goal. This 2nd line was quite impressive considering they seemed to have possession for the entire game. Iafallo has always been strong on the cycle game and despite his size, Leipsic isn’t afraid to work the half boards either. Targeting one of the best teams in the league can be a dangerous proposition, but when it’s a team that generally plays with pace and also has terrible goaltending, it makes me feel a lot better about it.
MIN3: Zach Parise/Charlie Coyle/Luke Kunin
There’s no doubting it anymore. Zach Parise has been the Wild’s best player over the first half of the season. He has played an exceptional two way game and continues to be among the team’s leaders in iCorsi and high-danger scoring chances produced even though he seems to get the most questionable linemates on a regular basis. The chemistry that he has showed with Charlie Coyle has been apparent throughout the season, but the addition of Luke Kunin to that line is low-key amazing. This trio has produced six goals in less than 56 minutes of play together. On top of that, they have generated 17 high-danger scoring chances while allowing just TWO (2). This matchup against the Canadiens should be favorable for the Wild offense considering Montreal is among the top three teams in overall pace over the last month of play.
*I am now separating the value plays by site because there are so many drastic differences in value. Also, keep in mind that none of these value options are “must plays”. They are all values for a reason.
DraftKings Value Plays:
Jeff Carter (C-LA): $4000
Joe Thornton (C-SJ): $3100
Jordan Greenway (W-MIN): $2900
Sam Bennett (W-CGY): $3400
William Nylander (W-TOR): $4100
Tim Heed (D-SJ): $3200 (only if Vlasic is out)
Greg Pateryn (D-MIN): $2700
Sean Walker (D-LA): $2800
FanDuel Value Plays:
Mark Jankowski (C-CGY): $3700
Ilya Kovalchuk (W-LA): $4400
Luke Kunin (W-MIN): $3400
Jordan Greenway (W-MIN): $3300
Ryan Suter (D-MIN): $4500
Vince Dunn (D-STL): $3600
*Make sure your goalie is starting. I would generally recommend just correlating your goalie with a stack that you are using (as long as it’s not a game stack), but if not, these are my favorites…
Michael Hutchinson, Leafs (DK: $8100; FD: $7600)
David Rittich, Flames (DK: $8300; FD: $7900)
Collin Delia, Hawks (DK: $7000; FD: $8000) (GPP Only)