Today’s NHL GPP Breakdown goes over Monday’s six (6) game main slate, which will lock at 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT.
UPDATE (6:50 PM ET): No Vincent Trocheck for Carolina, so I’m off that line. If you play a GPP stack from that game, my lean is gonna be CAR1.
I’m going to be copy/pasting this GPP process for every GPP article that I write this season.
Remember, the concept of playing GPPs is generally the same in all sports. Take some risks. Be a little different. Go for the win. In GPPs, if your lineups are cashing more often than not cashing, you’re probably doing it wrong.
People who have more winning nights than losing nights at GPPs are probably people who don’t take enough risks to get 1st, 2nd, or 3rd, which tends to be what you want to go for when you’re entering GPP tournaments. If you think doing so is “too risky” then I highly advise for you to stick to cash games.
When it comes to taking the necessary risks to get 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in these tournaments, you’re going to have to stack. Stacking in NHL means playing 2, 3, or 4 players from the same team who play on the same line (either at even strength or on the power-play).
As a whole, the most common stacks (not including goalie) that you’ll see on DraftKings is probably 4-3-1 or 3-3-2. The most common stacks that you’ll see on FanDuel is probably 4-4 or 4-3-1. Is that the way to go? Not necessarily. The bigger your stacks, the more risk you’re taking, but the bigger the upside. The smaller the stacks, the less risk you’re taking, but it comes with less upside.
The approach I am recommending EVERYONE takes this season is to start with a 3-2-1 stack and go from there. This means entering a 3 man stack, a 2 man stack, and a standalone player (doesn’t matter if it’s a C, W, or D), and then go from there. There’s a lot of different combinations you can go with after those six players are locked in. The possibilities are endless.
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It has been awhile since I’ve done a GPP breakdown this season. I knew I had to switch thing sup and schedule myself for a GPP article once I heard one of you guys in chat label me as only a cash game player (LOL).
Before I go through my favorite stacks of the day, let’s take a close look at the updated Pace of Play chart.
The obvious play that we probably want to look at is the Edmonton/Ottawa game, but based on what we saw the last time they faced each other, we can safely say that the entire DFS hockey community will be in on Toronto and Edmonton as well.
Stacks to Consider
With 4 lines and 2 power-play units per team, there are a lot of different options. I am listing eight (8) stacks that I think are very much in play today This does not include numerous VIABLE stack options. Please feel free to go outside of these stacks, but I promise you, I’ve narrowed down my list, and I do feel these are my favorite.
*These stacks are listed in order of my early guess at the overall popularity (chalkiness)
TOR1: Zach Hyman/Auston Matthews/Mitch Marner
Possible add-on: Morgan Rielly
I’m not sure what the hell is going on here, but the Vancouver Canucks are an absolute joke right now. They are getting exposed defensively left and right and in some ways, it does look like some of the players are mailing it in. That’s not really a good recipe for success against a Maple Leafs team that is finally looking comfortable. There was some talk about Matthews’ scoring struggles being related to the use of a microchipped puck to start the season. With eight goals over his last six games, I think we’ll just go with that as a reason why he’s a lock button cash play. For GPP, you’re not getting much leverage by playing TOR1, but you know what? Sometimes, when a popular line generates 2-3 goals with a boatload of shots, everything will be alright.
EDM1: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Connor McDavid/Jesse Puljujarvi
Possible add-on: Tyson Barrie, Leon Draisaitl/James Neal (PP1)
Similarly, it’s going to be very, very difficult to fade Edmonton. Ottawa has had two very promising performances against the Habs. While I think they’re going to be more prepared tonight than either of the two games they played in Alberta, I don’t really think they’re going to be able to contain the McDavid/Draisaitl 1/2 punch for 60 minutes.
TBPP1: Steven Stamkos/Brayden Point/Ondrej Palat/Alex Killorn/Victor Hedman
It has been a few weeks since those horrific games for the Predators against the Stars top power-play unit, yet they still have the league’s worst penalty killing unit. While I’m usually not the biggest mark for using Tampa Bay in DFS (has generally worked out), I am all for using their top power-play unit against this joke of a PK unit. At some point, the Preds are going to figure it out, but I don’t think it’ll be tonight against a Lightning power-play that can be very efficient when the pieces fall in place.
NYR2: Artemi Panarin/Ryan Strome/Kappo Kakko
Possible add-on: Jacob Trouba (5v5) and Adam Fox (PP1)
Probably no surprise that I’m once again, NOT on Mika Zibanejad’s top line, but we’re definitely close. I just have a strong preference to the Panarin line, which features the Panarin/Strome combo that has been very in sync over the last couple weeks. Kappo Kakko is not going to be much of a priority in this stack, but I do have high hopes for him. He had a tough rookie season but the NST Line Tool numbers definitely support the notion that he’s a better player when playing with Panarin and Strome. They’ll also likely be matched up with Brock Nelson’s 2nd line, which has struggled a bit defensively since the lines shifted to Nelson playing with Jordan Eberle.
OTT1: Brady Tkachuk/Josh Norris/Evgenii Dadonov
Possible add-on: Thomas Chabot
If the Senators are able to match Edmonton’s offensive fire power today, they’re going to need a very big performance from their top line. You know I’ve loved what I’ve seen from Brady Tkachuk, but he definitely can’t do it all. Moving Evgenii Dadonov to the top line should help from a production standpoint in the long run. I know things didn’t look promising through the couple games the Senators played in Edmonton, but the Senators definitely looked a lot better against the Habs, and the hope is that those two games against the Habs will help them at least stay competitive in all of these games against the other Canadian teams.
ARI1: Conor Garland/Nick Schmaltz/Clayton Keller
Possible add-on: Jakob Chychrun
If Conor Garland played for one of the Canadian teams and was able to provide the same type of production, I think his DFS salary would probably be at least 15% higher than it is now. His underlying numbers are elite level, and this line with Keller and Schmaltz have the chemistry and ability to produce against any team in the league, including the Blues, who they’ve been able to produce against over the last couple games.
NYI1: Anders Lee/Mathew Barzal/Josh Bailey
Possible add-on: Ryan Pulock or Noah Dobson
CAR2: Teuvo Teravainen/Vincent Trocheck/Nino Niederreiter
GPP Goalie Pool
*All things considered, in GPP, I would correlate your goalies more often than not (unless it’s a 4-4 stack on FD). Still, the ones below are some of my favorite for GPP.
- Curtis McElhinney
- Alex Nedeljkovic
- Joonas Korpisalo
- Thatcher Demko
Favorite Individual Plays
Top Studs: Auston Matthews, Connor McDavid
Top Defensemen: Dougie Hamilton, Ryan Ellis, Victor Hedman
Top DraftKings Values below $4k: Jack Roslovic, Evgenii Dadonov, Max Domi, Jacob Trouba, Mattias Ekholm, Evan Bouchard
Top FanDuel Values below $5k: Vincent Trocheck, Zach Hyman, Evgenii Dadonov, Jordan Kyrou, Seth Jones, Adam Fox, Jakob Chychrun