Kenneth Le goes over his cash game thought process as he goes player-by-player in his FanDuel cash game lineup review.
Remember, throughout the season, I am going to be playing cash games on either DraftKings or FanDuel, and I will break down my thought process when deciding which players to roster in my lineup.
It should be noted that I am a big believer in playing only on one site when it comes to cash games. When I first started playing DFS, I used to be the guy who would play on four different sites on every slate, and I quickly realized that I can easily cash on one site, but not cash on the other, which makes everything a wash. When you consider how high the rake is on the big sites like DraftKings or FanDuel, you can easily understand that going 1-for-2 in your cash games is going to be detrimental in the long run. I definitely want to point out that this does not include player-friendly sites like SuperDraft, where the rake is much lower, bonuses are bigger, and where you’ll sometimes even see overlay.
After two rough weeks, with one on FanDuel and one on DraftKings, I decided to try my best to make lineups on BOTH DraftKings and FanDuel and go with the lineup I liked best. I won’t go into detail, but I had a very, very difficult time putting together a lineup on DraftKings, so it made going with FanDuel one of the easier decisions I’ve made all season. Win or lose, I do think this method can help a lot of people. Again, I don’t subscribe to the concept of playing a lineup on BOTH DraftKings and FanDuel. Had I decided to go with both lineups, I would have drastically different builds, and rooting for players on DraftKings who would have hurt me on FanDuel if they ended up performing well. Even though it was easier to construct a lineup on FanDuel, it definitely wasn’t easy. I would say the lineup construction process went on for more than an hour. To be honest, I don’t know if I should be embarrassed to say that or not, but I’ve always been someone who has felt that there’s no “easy” way to win money, and that’s in DFS. Yes, we have a MULTITUDE of resources available here at Elite Fantasy, and that’s naturally going to shave a TON of the time in your research, but even with that said, there’s still work to be done if your expectation is to make money.
But with the said, let’s see how I did…
After picking the wrong early game Quarterback (Watson over Chalk Allen), I was still able to ride my three late plays (Allen, Waller, Edmonds) and potentially some luck (*cough* Justin Jackson), to easily make it past the cash line.
The range of cash lines throughout my Single-Entry $1 to $25 100 player 50/50 contests were between 117.36 through 121.02, with the majority of the cash lines right around the 118 mark. The range of cash lines throughout the 100 and 200 lineup 50/50 contests were between 128.24 and 132.82, with most of the cash lines being a shade under 130.
Quarterback: Deshaun Watson ($8300)
Other QB’s considered: Josh Allen ($8200, 36.00 points scored) – honestly, these were the only two I really considered
With the Texans running game an absolute mess, and a pretty juicy matchup against a Jaguars team starting their rookie backup quarterback, it felt like Watson was the safer option between he and Josh Allen. I’m not sure if I was subconsciously influenced to stay away from Allen after Jimmy G’s debacle last week, but I just find Allen a more volatile play as a whole. Watson has been a guy who has been able to provide as high of a floor as anyone in the QB position, so it made my decision pretty easy. The end result was a bit rough because Allen scored about 11 more points than Watson, but you have to think that Allen’s performance was likely the absolute ceiling even when considering the opponent.
Running Back: Dalvin Cook ($9300)
Other RB’s considered: James Conner ($8200, 3.00 points scored), James Robinson ($7300, 15.90 points scored), Antonio Gibson ($6200, 11.00 points scored), Justin Jackson ($5900, 0.00 points scored)
So it was either Dalvin or James Conner in this spot, and well, it’s going to be difficult to get me away from Dalvin when I know he’s going to be popular and in as good of a matchup as was getting against the Lions. Healthy Dalvin is good for 25-30 touches a week and healthy Dalvin also means Alexander Mattison and Mike Boone can take the day off unless it’s a blow out, or healthy Dalvin becomes unhealthy Dalvin. So yeah, had to go with Cook over Conner, and I’m very glad I did. This guy is a cheat code.
Running Back: DeeJay Dallas ($5100)
I have definitely been looking at ownership percentages a lot more lately just to make sure I’m not overlooking any obvious plays, but DeeJay Dallas was not on the “high ownership” list when I looked at it on Saturday night. Don’t worry though, I still locked him in. I know there was a lot of debate on whether or not his touches would be given to Travis Homer or Alex Collins, but I felt very comfortable with Dallas after watching him in action against the Niners, and feeling they wouldn’t do anything too crazy in a tough matchup against the Bills. As it turns out, Dallas’s projected ownership did get a really big jump on Sunday morning (honestly, not too sure why). He also didn’t have the best game and did not lead the team in RB touches (Homer was #1). Still, he fell into the end zone for a cheap touchdown, which was more than enough to provide value. While I definitely dodged the Justin Jackson donut, I didn’t really give him too strong of a look knowing that his platoon with Joshua Kelley.
Wide Receiver: Jerry Jeudy ($5700)
I’ve been targeting the Falcons secondary all season long, but I’m not going to take any credit for this play because Jeudy was not an “ownership” play. For awhile, he was being projected in the single digits, so everyone in the Elite Mafia who pushed Jeudy being THE play today including Jeff Mans and Ricky Sanders. I had no issues going with Jeudy because of the value, matchup, and the limited risk. Who else are you going to roster comfortably for $5700? Cole Beasley? Everything in this price range is going to come with risk, and you have to be willing to take that risk somewhere in your lineup. I’m sure glad Jeff did and I’m very glad I decided to follow his lead.
Other WR’s considered: Stefan Diggs ($7600, 16.30 points scored), Terry McLaurin ($7200, 21.00 points scored), Robby Anderson ($6600, 10.80 points scored), Marvin Jones ($6100, 11.80 points scored)
Wide Receiver: Tyler Lockett ($7400)
This definitely felt like a DK Metcalf kind of week considering Lockett was going to be the more popular option. Sure enough… LOL. This makes me 0 for 7 in choosing between Metcalf and Lockett (I’m kidding, but it’s close), so don’t feel too bad if you chose Lockett as well. I was definitely giving Terry McLaurin a hard look in this spot, but don’t worry, it was more so to replace Keenan Allen.
Wide Receiver: Keenan Allen ($7500)
So Allen was a potential COVID scratch, but it all worked out, and we received early notice that Allen would be indeed in today’s lineup against the Raiders. As I mentioned above, I really did consider playing Terry McLaurin, but I was scared away in cash due to the really slow paced games I’ve seen from the Giants throughout the season. Allen on the other hand has been far and away Justin Herbert’s favorite target when healthy, and constantly seeing double digit targets throughout the season. He clearly had another typical Keenan Allen performance, and my lineups benefited from his “game-time decision” status due to his sore throat because he had much lower ownership than expected.
Tight End: Darren Waller ($6400)
The only realistic options for me in this spot besides Waller were Kelce and Fant, and I wasn’t able to afford Kelce in any of my builds, and I decided to stay away from Fant given the Jeudy + Falcons D exposure. Waller
Other TE’s considered: Travis Kelce ($8000, 20.90 points scored), Noah Fant ($5800, 6.00 points scored), Hayden Hurst ($5600, 9.70 points scored)
Flex: Chase Edmonds ($6700)
With no Kenyan Drake in the lineup, this was basically a plug and play, especially knowing that he’d be the highest owned player of the slate. You know my stance on cash chalk. Unless you have a compelling argument to fade, you’re better off just playing the chalk. I actually had some reservations playing Edmonds here, but for $6700, and knowing he’d be chalk, I really didn’t give it much more thought.
Defense/Special Teams: Atlanta Falcons ($3300)
Other D/ST’s considered: Pittsburgh Steelers ($5000, 7.00 points scored), Miami Dolphins ($4400, 8.00 points scored), Houston Texas ($3700, 4.00 points scored)
This was another week where D/ST was not a priority for me. I thought the Steelers were far and away the best D/ST play of the day, but at $5000, it wasn’t worth sacrificing one of the studs throughout my lineup. The Falcons were sadly the safest option considering Drew Lock’s turnover tendencies over the last few weeks, and that very generous price point of $3300. This play wasn’t too bad at all. It got worse and worse as the game went on, but I can’t really complain because a lot of the damage was from Jerry Jeudy.
I know we are a little over two months into the season, but this was possibly one of the first weeks where I felt extremely satisfied with my thought process from top to bottom. Consistency is a big deal to me so I feel it’s as important as anything to piggyback on this successful week to win next week AND beyond. I will stick with the same process of attempting to create lineups on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and then entering the lineup I feel the best about. See you guys next week!