Kenneth Le goes over his cash game thought process as he goes player-by-player in his FanDuel cash game lineup review.
Remember, throughout the season, I am going to be playing cash games on either DraftKings or FanDuel, and I will break down my thought process when deciding which players to roster in my lineup.
It should be noted that I am a big believer in playing only on one site when it comes to cash games. When I first started playing DFS, I used to be the guy who would play on four different sites on every slate, and I quickly realized that I can easily cash on one site, but not cash on the other, which makes everything a wash. When you consider how high the rake is on the big sites like DraftKings or FanDuel, you can easily understand that going 1-for-2 in your cash games is going to be detrimental in the long run. I definitely want to point out that this does not include player-friendly sites like SuperDraft, where the rake is much lower, bonuses are bigger, and where you’ll sometimes even see overlay.
This past week was a little bit unorthodox in terms of lineup construction because I was actually responsible for providing DFS NFL content with the DFS NFL Cheatsheet. We usually are treated with Scott Bondar putting together the cheatsheets every week, but with Scott taking over College Football DFS duties for the special Friday slate, I was able to pinch hit for him on the cheatsheet.
I’ll tell you this, when you do extensive research because you’re putting out content, you’re definitely going to have a better grasp on the slate then you’re just reading articles. I think everyone here at Elite Sports takes a lot of pride in making sure we put out the best content in the industry, and we take a lot of pride in putting out content that will ultimately lead to winning lineups from our subscribers. Without our customers—the Elite Mafia, we are NOTHING, and I was definitely motivated to provide inspired content on the cheatsheet.
There were a lot of moving pieces this week due to injuries and COVID-IR issues, but I felt very confident that I was able to pick out the best plays for you guys. Ultimately, I settled on playing on FanDuel for my cash games this week because of that comfort level that I mentioned in previous weeks. I had a lot of confidence in constructing my lineup for a number of reasons. It’s just the natural confidence after getting a good read on construction over 11 weeks of doing this, but it was also influenced by my read on the slate. Nevertheless, weird things can happen in DFS NFL, so it doesn’t necessarily mean everything is going to work out. So let’s put everything aside and see how I did…
BOOM! Sometimes you just have to take a stand and go with your gut, and going with my gut definitely did not let me down. I swept all of my cash games again and would have finished 1st in all of them if it wasn’t for Tyreek Hill scoring 130 Fantasy Points on his own.
The range of cash lines throughout my Single-Entry $1 to $25 100 player 50/50 contests were between 118.18 and 119.94, which is a very narrow range.
Quarterback: Josh Allen ($8600)
I went into lineup construction with only one thought, and that was that I was going to have to pay up at Quarterback. In my eyes, I had a three headed monster to consider between Mahomes, Kyler Murray, and Josh Allen, and all three of them were within $500 in salary. Still, I had to go with Allen because he was indeed $500 cheaper than Kyler and $400 cheaper than Mahomes. Plus, he was also the one who had the best matchup. In reality, I definitely wanted to go up to Mahomes if it was possible, but by the time I locked in my lineup, I felt there weren’t any other expendable pieces.
Other QB’s considered: Kyler Murray ($9100, 8.9 points scored), Patrick Mahomes ($9000, 31.28 points scored), Teddy Bridgewater ($7000, 14.88 points scored)
Running Back: James Robinson ($7400)
Out of all of the different Running Back options that I gave strong consideration to, the one guy that I knew I had to lock in was James Robinson. Regardless of game script, Robinson was going to be in a great position to produce because of his pass catching abilities. The interesting thing about having Mike Glennon at QB is the fact that our small sample size from his time with the Bears showed that he LOVED feeding his running backs with passes (an average of 12 targets over 4 games). Robinson did not disappoint, and ended up being one of my better calls of the day.
Other RB’s considered: Dalvin Cook ($11000, 8.2 points scored), Wayne Gallman ($5700, 16.6 points scored), Brian Hill ($5100, 5.5 points scored)
Running Back: Nyheim Hines ($5700)
This “RB2” spot was a pain in the ass because there was really only one spot available out of three viable options in Hines, Wayne Gallman, and Brian Hill. All three options had its pros and cons, and after thinking it through, I felt Brian Hill probably had more cons than Hines and Gallman. The Falcons have been so bad this season that I thought his floor was lower than the others (oddly enough, the Hill fade ended up working out because of other reasons). As for Gallman, I actually had him locked in prior to settling on Hines. I thought Gallman was pretty safe option but eventually felt Hines was a better play due to the stronger likelihood of Indy having to throw the ball A LOT. In my eyes, and a lot of other eyes, I felt Hines was the best of the three-headed monster in Indy, and that we’ve seen plenty of situations this season where he has been capable beyond being a pure “pass catching back”. On top of that, the Titans and Colts have been putting up points and allowing a ton of points throughout the season, and I thought it was quite possible that this could be a really high scoring affair. Moving from Gallman to Hines was not the correct move from a points scored standpoint, but I still think it was the correct move given the game script that unfolded between the Titans and Colts.
Wide Receiver: Cole Beasley ($5400)
With a great matchup against the Chargers, and an outstanding price tag of just $5400, it was hard to pass up Beasley, who is coming off of a big 11 catch, 13 target performance against the Cardinals. There weren’t really too many great options that were around Beasley’s price point that I was happy with from a cash game perspective. In reality, Beasley did not do too great, but we were able to salvage something thanks to a remarkable play that led to an unexpected passing touchdown.
Other WR’s considered: Calvin Ridley ($8100, 14 points scored), Stefon Diggs ($7900, 7.4 points scored), DeVante Parker ($6500, 15.9 points scored), Robby Anderson ($6400, 17.4 points scored), Jacobi Meyers ($5800, 7.7 points scored)
Wide Receiver: Keenan Allen ($8200)
Allen continues to be a target monster, and outside of his performance against the Dolphins, there has been no real reason to believe that he wouldn’t be able to put together another solid performance in Buffalo. Allen did end up having another double digit target game, but only ended up with four catches. Luckily, one of those catches was a touchdown, which definitely padded the numbers a bit. While I wish I was a genius who played Tyreek Hill in this spot, there just wasn’t a situation where I’d consider Tyfreak a cash play this week.
Wide Receiver: Justin Jefferson ($7000)
No Adam Thielen and no Irv Smith meant that possibly 15 additional targets would be spread around. We’ve seen enough from Jefferson this season to feel very confident in his abilities, and I felt he was as safe as he has ever been thanks to a matchup against Donte Jackson. Kirk Cousins definitely tried to get Jefferson the ball a ton throughout the game, and his 7 catches and 2 touchdowns definitely helped immensely.
Tight End: Kyle Rudolph ($4600)
Since I decided to fade Dalvin Cook in favor of Derrick Henry in order to save some funds, playing two Vikings pass catchers was not out of the question. In theory, my decision came down to only Kelce or Rudolph, and in reality, I had to go with Rudolph all the way through. My lineup needed a little bit more salary relief and the match actually worked out perfectly. It started out a bit slow, but Rudolph had a hell of a game, scoring 7 catches on 8 targets for 68 yards, which is by far, his best game of the season.
Other TE’s considered: Travis Kelce ($8000, 12.2 points scored), Darren Waller ($7100, 4.3 points scored)
Flex: Derrick Henry ($8300)
I would be a fool to say that Dalvin Cook wasn’t in play. Looking over projected ownership, I knew that Cook would be one of the highest owned players on today’s slate, but after playing with my lineup, I realized that a lineup with $11000 Dalvin Cook would be way too expensive, and cause me to have a lineup with two many holes. I knew that Henry had a great matchup against a Colts defense that he has performed well against numerous times in the past. Given the multitude of injuries to the Colts D-Line, I couldn’t picture a situation where Cook would outscore Henry to the point where it would be worth the $2700 difference between the two stud running backs. This decision was outlined in my Cheat Sheet, and I hope everyone who played cash on FanDuel decided to roll with it. Henry was a monster while Cook had a very forgettable game. Henry’s performance basically put me in a position where I had a cash locked in just 90 minutes into the morning games.
Defense/Special Teams: New Orleans Saints ($4800)
I mean, when you have a defense that was going to be in play with Drew Lock at quarterback, are you really going to fade them when you know it’s going to be a Practice Squad Wide Receiver with zero practice reps? Enough said. I actually had the Rams defense locked in until we found out that Kendall Hinton would be starting for the Broncos, and ironically, the Rams did end up scoring more fantasy points. Luckily it didn’t matter.
Other D/ST’s considered: Dolphins ($5000, 14 points scored), Rams ($4500, 15 points scored), Giants ($4300, 12 points scored)
Last week I talked about wanting to find consistency in my cash game lineups. Two EASY wins in a row is definitely a good start, but I still have a lot of work to do. We’ve got just five more weeks to go in the season, and it would be a very very nice way to build up my NHL bankroll if I could string together five straight weeks of cashes. That’s what’s going to keep my motivation going, and hopefully we can keep things going next week.